MTV Video Music Awards: Handicapping

= Odds to Win

What Makes You Beautiful (One Direction)

"What Makes You Beautiful" is also nominated for Best New Artist. These are the first VMA nominations for One Direction.

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We Found Love (Rihanna)

"We Found Love" is also nominated for Best Female Video and Video of the Year. This is Rihanna's first nomination in this category.

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We Are Young (Fun. feat. Janelle Monae)

"We Are Young" is also nominated for Best New Artist. These are the first VMA nominations for Fun. Janelle Monae's "Tightrope" was nominated for Best Choreography in 2010.

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Payphone (Maroon 5 featuring Wiz Khalifa)

This is the only VMA nomination for "Payphone" and the first nomination in this category for Maroon 5.

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Boyfriend (Justin Bieber)

"Boyfriend" is also nominated for Best Male Video. This is Justin Bieber's first nomination in this category.

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