MTV Video Music Awards: Handicapping

= Odds to Win

Wide Awake (Katy Perry)

"Wide Awake" is also nominated for Best Art Direction and Best Visual Effects. This is the second nomination in this category for Katy Perry; she won last year for "Firework."

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We Found Love (Rihanna)

"We Found Love" is also nominated for Best Female Video and Best Pop Video. Including her nomination for "Take Care," this is the third nomination in this category for Rihanna. She won Video of the Year in 2007 for "Umbrella."

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Take Care (Song) (Drake feat. Rihanna)

"Take Care" is also nominated for Best Male Video, Best Art Direction, and Best Cinematography. This is the first nomination in this category for Drake. Including her nomination this year for "We Found Love," this is the third nomination in this category for Rihanna; she previously won Video of the Year for "Umbrella."

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Somebody That I Used to Know (Gotye)

"Somebody That I Used to Know" is also nominated for Best Editing. These are the first VMA nominations for Gotye.

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Bad Girls (M.I.A.)

"Bad Girls" is also nominated for Best Cinematography and Best Direction. This is the first nomination in this category for M.I.A.

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