Oscars 2012: Handicapping

= Odds to Win

Skyfall

Screenplay by team of Neal Purvis and Robert Wade, who picked up a BAFTA nod for the Bond film "Casino Royale" and three-time Oscar nominee John Logan ("Gladiator," "Aviator," "Hugo") won the 2010 Tony for his play "Red." 

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Rise of the Guardians

Screenplay by Pulitzer Prize-winning playwright David Lindsay-Abaire ("Rabbit Hole"), based on the children's books by William Joyce.

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Bernie

Screenplay by director Richard Linklater and Skip Hollandsworth, based on a magazine article by Hollandsworth. Linklater has a previous Oscar nomination for his screenplay for "Before Sunset."

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Hitchcock

Screenwriter John J. McLaughlin adapted the book "Alfred Hitchcock and the Making of 'Psycho'" by Stephen Rebello. He previously penned "Black Swan" but has no previous Oscar nominations.

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Perks of Being a Wallflower

Screenplay by Stephen Chobosky, who adapted his own popular novel and also directed the film. He has no previous Oscar nominations.

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The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Screenplay by Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens, and Guillermo Del Toro, based on the popular novels by J.R.R. Tolkien. Jackson and Walsh won three Oscars each for their work on "The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King." Boyens won an Oscar with them for her work on the screenplay. Del Toro was previously nominated for his screenplay for "Pan's Labyrinth," which was also nominated for Best Foreign Language Film.

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Frankenweenie

Story by Tim Burton and Leonard Ripps. Screenplay by John August. Burton has one previous Oscar nomination for Best Animated Feature ("Corpse Bride"). Ripps and August have no previous Oscar nominations.

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Argo

Screenplay by Chris Terrio, based on an article by Joshuah Bearman. He has no previous Oscar nominations.

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This is 40

Screenplay by Judd Apatow, who also directed. Based on characters from Apatow's film "Knocked Up." He has no previous Oscar nominations.

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Silver Linings Playbook

Screenplay by David O. Russell, who also directed. Russell has a previous Oscar nomination for directing ("The Fighter"), but none for writing.

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The Sessions

Screenplay by Ben Lewin, who also directed. He has no previous Oscar nominations.

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The Dark Knight Rises

Story by David S. Goyer and director Christopher Nolan. Screenplay by Christopher Nolan and Jonathan Nolan. Christopher Nolan has three previous Oscar nominations: for writing and producing "Inception" and for writing "Memento." Jonathan Nolan was previously nominated for writing "Memento." Goyer has no previous Oscar nominations.

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Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Screenplay by Ol Parker. He has no previous Oscar nominations.

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Rust and Bone

Story by Craig Davidson. Screenplay by Thomas Bidegain and director Jacques Audiard. Audiard's "A Prophet" was nominated for Best Foreign Language Film. Bidegain and Davidson have no previous Oscar nominations.

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Quartet

Ronald Harwood, who won this category in 2002 for "The Pianist," adapted his play of the same name. He also contended in 1983 for doing the same with "The Dresser" and in 2007 for his adaptation of Jean-Dominique Bauby's memoir "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly." 

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On the Road

Jose Rivera adapted Jack Kerouac's famous novel. He has one previous Oscar nomination for writing ("The Motorcycle Diaries").

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Lincoln

Screenplay by Tony Kushner, a Tony, Emmy, and Pulitzer Prize winner for "Angels in America" and an Oscar nominee for co-writing Steven Spielberg's "Munich."

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Life of Pi

Screenplay by David Magee, previously nominated for his adapted screenplay for "Finding Neverland."

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Les Miserables

Adapted from Victor Hugo's novel and the popular Broadway musical by writer William Nicholson, who has two previous Oscar nominations for writing ("Gladiator," "Shadowlands").

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Killing Them Softly

Screenplay by Andrew Dominik, who also directed. He has no previous Oscar nominations.

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Great Expectations

David Nicholls adapted Charles Dickens's classic novel. The screenwriter/novelist has no previous Oscar nominations.

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Cloud Atlas

Adapted from David Mitchell's novel by Lana Wachowski, Andy Wachowski, and Tom Tykwer, who are also the film's directors. They have no previous Oscar nominations.

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Beasts of the Southern Wild

Director Benh Zeitlin and Lucy Alibar adapted Alibar's stage play. They have no previous Oscar nominations.

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Anna Karenina

Oscar winner Tom Stoppard ("Shakespeare in Love"), who also has four Tonys for his plays, adapted Leo Tolstoy's 1877 novel of doomed love. 

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