Oscars 2012: Handicapping

= Odds to Win

War Witch

This raw look at the world of child soldiers in the Congo is told through the eyes of an expectant teenage mother who recounts her story to her unborn child. Won Best Narrative Feature at Tribeca Film Festival.

Representing Canada, which has one previous win in this category.

100/1

The Intouchables

Based on a true story, this heartwarming film tells the story of the unlikely friendship that develops between Philippe, a wealthy quadraplegic (Francoise Cluzet), and Driss, a poor young man (Omar Sy), who is hired as his live-in carer. All-time box office champ in France.

Representing France, which has 12 previous wins in this category.

100/1

The Deep

This intense film tells the true story of a fisherman marooned on a volcanic island.

Representing Iceland, which has one previous nomination.

100/1

Sister

This family drama explores the world of a young boy forced to steal from guests at a ski resort to support himself and his sister. The film won the Silver Bear at the Berlin Film Festival.

Representing Switzerland, which has won this category twice.

100/1

No

This political thriller stars Gael Garcia Bernal as a political neophyte drafted into the 1988 referendum campaign to oust dictator Augusto Pinochet. The film won the Directors Fortnight prize at the Cannes Film Festival.

Representing Chile.

100/1

Kon-Tiki

Historical drama following Thor Heyerdahl's Kon-Tiki expedition.

Representing Norway, which has four previous nominations.

100/1

Beyond the Hills

Inspired by a true story of an exorcism, the film opens with Alina (Cristina Flutur) visiting Voichita (Cosmina Stratan) at the convent where she is about to take her vows. When Alina stays on to convince her to leave the order, things begin to unravel quickly. Cristian Munju, who was snubbed for his last film "4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days" won Best Screenplay while the leads shared Best Actress at the Cannes Film Festival.

Representing Romania.

100/1

Amour

The story of a married couple, both in their eighties, who are challenged when she suffers an attack. The film won the Palme d'Or at the Cannes Film Festival.

Representing Austria, which has one previous win in this category.

100/1

A Royal Affair

This costume drama, set in the court of 18th century King Christian VII, tells the true story of the mad monarch, his young bride and her affair with the royal doctor. It was well-received at Telluride and Toronto film festivals.

Representing Denmark, which has three previous wins in this category.

100/1

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