Oscars 2012: Handicapping

= Odds to Win

Historical drama following Thor Heyerdahl's Kon-Tiki expedition.

Representing Norway, which has four previous nominations.

A Royal Affair

This costume drama, set in the court of 18th century King Christian VII, tells the true story of the mad monarch, his young bride and her affair with the royal doctor. It was well-received at Telluride and Toronto film festivals.

Representing Denmark, which has three previous wins in this category.

War Witch

This raw look at the world of child soldiers in the Congo is told through the eyes of an expectant teenage mother who recounts her story to her unborn child. Won Best Narrative Feature at Tribeca Film Festival.

Representing Canada, which has one previous win in this category.


The story of a married couple, both in their eighties, who are challenged when she suffers an attack. The film won the Palme d'Or at the Cannes Film Festival.

Representing Austria, which has one previous win in this category.

No (Movie)

This political thriller stars Gael Garcia Bernal as a political neophyte drafted into the 1988 referendum campaign to oust dictator Augusto Pinochet. The film won the Directors Fortnight prize at the Cannes Film Festival.

Representing Chile.



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