Forum Replies Created
December 16, 2017 at 10:40 am #1202441933
If Guadagnino misses BAFTA and DGA, he’s gone.December 14, 2017 at 12:21 pm #1202440469
Lmaoooo what “personal narrative” does Dench have other than she’s old and going blind?
And no, Meryl is not missing no matter how much people want that to happen. DiCaprio, Lawrence, Waltz, Bale, Cooper, Adams, Mara, Huppert all made it in without hitting SAG and so did Meryl herself for Adaptation.December 14, 2017 at 11:33 am #1202440433
Nobody actually loves Reputation though. There’s no passion for it.
From who? Fans? Critics? Radio? Because Pitchfork, Billboard, and Rolling Stone all gave it positive reviews. She’s back on Country Radio. Her tour is set to put gross her last. I mean come on people just try to be unbiased when talking about her work. She’s probably going to be nominated for AotY, Pop Album, and Country Song at least next year. Depending on the success of future singles Pop/Country solo, Pop Duo/Group, and Song/Record. I hope she releases Dress or Delicate but I don’t think they’ll chart high. But they’re very well written.
I said PASSION. When its highest score on MC is an 80, that doesn’t scream passion. Positive reviews that are 4/5 or 3.5/5 isn’t passionate. It’s basically decent or serviceable. None of them actually are in love with this album like you want them to be.December 14, 2017 at 11:20 am #1202440426
Friendly reminder that Jonah Hill got an Oscar nom without any of the 4 big precursors. So there’s always that outside possibility! Conversely, Jake Gyllenhaal got nominated at all 4 precursors and missed out for the single best performance of that year. Anything can happen! Maybe Michael Shannon will pull a Michael Shannon and get nominated in the end.
Yeah but that was cause the Academy winded up liking The Wolf of Wall Street enough and Hill was already a previous nominee. Gyllenhaal can’t do that with a movie barely anyone saw and Shannon can’t do it when Richard Jenkins is taking all of the heat.December 13, 2017 at 6:21 pm #1202439743
This had several screenings and they all went good. Paramount was gonna release it this year but they fucked up by choosing Mother, Downsizing and Suburbicon and all three flopped.December 13, 2017 at 6:15 pm #1202439735
CMBYN gets 5 noms, including Picture and Stuhlbarg. And it’ll still indefinitely win Adapted Screenplay.
I can’t see how it gets 5 noms, including BP and Stuhlbarg, unless you think that Luca is getting snubbed of Best Director and Stuhlbarg is getting in over Hammer. I’d say that 6 nominations is the floor for CMBYN, with the potential for up to 8. Picture Director Actor Supp Actor Screenplay Song + Supp Actor #2 Cinematography 8 noms is probably too optimistic, but fellow gay films Milk, Brokeback Mountain, The Imitation Game, and Moonlight all scored 8 nominations (and all won for screenplay). James Ivory’s A Room With A View and The Remains of the Day also both recieved 8 noms (ARWAV won screenplay). I think that 8 noms, with a screenplay win, would be very appropriate for an Ivory-written gay film. I don’t think it’ll happen, but I want it.
I think he can get snubbed. And I also think Armie won’t make it in now. The film has underperformed at the guilds so far and it shows that they don’t love it like we thought they would have with the exception of Chalamet. Even Carol did better.December 13, 2017 at 6:11 pm #1202439731
Under normal circumstances, this would eliminate Streep from the win. But she’s Streep and the film released late. If Hanks and ensemble were nominated and Streep was not I’d be worried. But this means that Streep HAS to win the Golden Globe and BAFTA. She has no chance of winning CC over Hawkins, McDormand, and Ronan. It’s going to be hard for her to keep momentum if she just wins the Globe. She needs the BAFTA too if she’s going to win the Oscar.
What needs to happen is The Post needs to do well in theatres. If it smashes, then she can for sure win the Globe. CC I don’t see her winning, yeah but I also can’t see The Post losing all 8 of its nominations there. If she wins, it’ll be in a tie.December 13, 2017 at 4:19 pm #1202439638
CMBYN gets 5 noms, including Picture and Stuhlbarg. And it’ll still indefinitely win Adapted Screenplay.December 13, 2017 at 10:03 am #1202439206
SAG Ensemble stat is too strong. I mean there’s an off chance it could be broken because of the way this year is but I don’t see it.December 13, 2017 at 9:47 am #1202439165
Kaluuya is the only one in his category to have an Ensemble nod.December 13, 2017 at 8:47 am #1202439032
I meant out of the consensus five (McDormand, Hawkins, Ronan, Streep, Robbie). I, Tonya is the only one that’s a non factor in Picture.December 13, 2017 at 8:41 am #1202439020
Robbie is also the one who doesn’t have a Picture contender out of the four.December 13, 2017 at 8:29 am #1202438981
Carol was doing better than CMBYN is now albeit NBR….But maybe Stuhlbarg is the one who gets the Supporting Actor nod ala Mark Ruffalo.