I think that Michelle Williams is the most likely to be nominated after the “consensus five.” In any year I think she would be nominated, but I don’t know who she would push out. Most likely Robbie, but I don’t see her being snubbed.
Patricia Arquette might not have been amazing but her category was crazy weak and she was by far the best. Her scene at the end in the kitchen was a real Oscar scene, I don’t know what people are talking about. And if you think she wasn’t worthy, then what would her narrative be? I don’t think she fits into this situation.
Chau got surprise nominations at CC, then GG, and now SAG. Downsizing hasn’t even come out yet so people are underestimating her individual buzz. The fifth spot is the one people are going to be fighting over, specifically Spencer, Hunter, Manville and Haddish in that order.
I will not deny Oprah’s incredible contributions to the entertainment industry throughout her illustrious career, and if we’re going by the official description of the award then she’d be be completely deserving in my eyes. But I always saw the Cecil B. Demille award as going to someone in specifically the film industry, an actor or a filmm…[Read more]
Miles replied to the topic Who will be the Emily Blunt/Sarah Silverman/Naomi Watts of this year at SAG? in the forum Movies 2 days, 19 hours ago
Doesn’t Steve Carell in Battle of the Sexes fit the bill? I mean, I know he showed up at the Golden Globes but that was in Comedy Actor. It might not be the same thing but pretty close I’d say.
Miles replied to the topic WHAT 'TEALEAVES' ARE YOU USING TO PREDICT BEST PICTURE RIGHT NOW? in the forum Movies 2 days, 19 hours ago
To address your stats:
1. I think Guadagnino bumps Spielberg out of Director leaving Del Toro, Nolan, Gerwig, McDonaugh and Guadagnino.
2. Call Me By Your Name will be a Best Picture nominee
3. 3B and Lady Bird both lose Director to del Toro, one of them wins Screenplay. Whichever wins Screenplay wins Picture (leaning towards 3B)
Under normal circumstances, this would eliminate Streep from the win. But she’s Streep and the film released late. If Hanks and ensemble were nominated and Streep was not I’d be worried. But this means that Streep HAS to win the Golden Globe and BAFTA. She has no chance of winning CC over Hawkins, McDormand, and Ronan. It’s going to be hard for…[Read more]
It seems pointless to compare Dench and Chastain since they seem to have no chance but I think Dench has the edge. But I agree that it doesn’t really matter because the five seem pretty locked up.
After GG and SAG snubs, Michael Stuhlbarg is not looking good. Armie Hammer could still make it. It seems that Dafoe, Rockwell, and Jenkins are pretty much locks after making appearances at CC, GG, and SAG. If Armie Hammer makes it, then there’s one spot left which could go to Woody Harrelson or Christopher Plummer or someone new altogether. U…[Read more]
Miles replied to the topic SAG Film Awards 2018 (Predictions Center Now Open) in the forum Movies 3 days ago
I think Tom Hanks gets snubbed at the Oscars. But The Post’s snub is freaking me out. Can it just be chalked down to a late release? What do the actors really think about it? We’ll never really know.
So maybe BAFTAs will clear this up? Tom Hanks doesnt seem to have the performance to back up a nomination so he’d have to pulled along with the…[Read more]
Miles replied to the topic SAG Film Awards 2018 (Predictions Center Now Open) in the forum Movies 3 days, 4 hours ago
If Judi Dench had been nominated over Robbie or Ronan, I’d say she was a threat, but the fact that she was nominated over Streep makes me think that she’s not an actual threat.
Miles replied to the topic SAG Film Awards 2018 (Predictions Center Now Open) in the forum Movies 3 days, 10 hours ago
Today I caved in and took CMBYN out for Get Out. It’s really popular and I think it will do well among actors. CMBYN is a smaller ensemble, which sometimes gets in, but La La Land couldn’t and this year has a lot of films with large ensembles.
I also have Daniel Kaluuya getting in over Tom Hanks. Not sure about that prediction because he’s Tom…[Read more]
I don’t think that Jessica Chastain is as big as a threat to Margot Robbie as Michelle Williams. For all we know, Christopher Plummer’s nod was all political, but Michelle Williams must have a good performance behind her. And with the late release and late breaking momentum, she could show up at BAFTA or something. But I think that those five seem…[Read more]
Miles replied to the topic SAG Film Awards 2018 (Predictions Center Now Open) in the forum Movies 4 days, 1 hour ago
1. The Post
2. Lady Bird
3. Three Billboards…
4. The Shape of Water
5. Call Me By Your Name
1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
2. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
3. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
4. James Franco, The Disaster Artist
5. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
1. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
2. Sally…[Read more]
I agree. Guadagnino, Spielberg, Nolan and even Gerwig could lose out. I think I think that Spielberg and Nolan are the only ones in real danger, but I agree that del Toro seems to be the only lock and think that he’s the probable DGA winner.
@Andrew D I like your predictions. I think that The Florida Project, while missing out on a Globe Drama nod, is looking pretty safe for a Picture nod.
Also, I think that Best Actress looks pretty locked up for nominations (anyone could win though) but if Robbie misses out, I think that the only real threat would be Williams. She’s a late b…[Read more]
Miles replied to the topic Full Awards Calendar 2017-18 (Including critics circles) UPDATING in the forum Movies 4 days, 5 hours ago
^ Interesting Win for Frances McDormand
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