This year's Emmys race for Best Drama Supporting Actor is almost a clean slate compared to last year. Four of the six 2010 nominees won't be back. Last year's champ Aaron Paul is taking a break from Emmy contention as "Breaking Bad" did not air any episodes during the eligibility period. Neither did "Damages" which featured Martin Short. And "Lost," which featured winners Michael Emerson and Terry O'Quinn, left the airwaves. Of the two nominees still in contention, John Slattery ("Mad Men") will certainly repeat while Andre Braugher ("Men of a Certain Age") may succumb to this year's heavy competition.
Three of the supporting players on "The Good Wife" have good shots at these slots: Alan Cumming (nominated last year in the guest actor category), Josh Charles and Chris Noth. Other actors from returning shows looking for their first bids for current roles include recent Critics Choice Award winner John Noble ("Fringe"), Critics Choice nominee Walton Goggins ("Justified"), Jared Harris and Vincent Kartheiser ("Mad Men"), Emmy champ Craig T. Nelson ("Parenthood"), Michael Cudlitz and Critics Choice nominee Shawn Hatosy ("Southland"), and Alexander Skarsgard and Tony winner Denis O'Hare ("True Blood").
Potential contenders from freshman series include Donnie Wahlberg ("Blue Bloods"), recent Critics Choice nominee Peter Dinklage and Mark Addy ("Game of Thrones"), Derek Jacobi ("The Borgias"), Billy Campbell and Brent Sexton ("The Killing"), Scott Caan ("Hawaii Five-0"), and five fellows from "Boardwalk Empire" -- Michael Pitt, Michael Shannon, Michael Stuhlbarg, Michael K. Williams and Stephen Graham.
Gold Derby founder Tom O'Neil with senior editors Chris Beachum and Rob Licuria discuss the race in this video slugfest. They are among the experts and editors who have ranked the potential nominees in this category.
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Below, meet our past winners of recent award prediction contests.
Oscar Nominations: New York state resident Tim Kressner (gufa54) won $1,000 for reaping the highest percentage (78%) when predicting Academy Award noms. Watch our video chat with him here and learn his strategy for making picks. See the leaderboard here. See Kressner's predix here.
Golden Globes (Film): Mario Gomez, a med studen in Mexico, won our contest with the highest percentage of correct picks (86%) and highest point score (2,693). See our video chat with him here. Two other contestants also scored 86%: lulo1989 and eastwest. Tom O'Neil reaped best Experts' score. David Schnelwar had top score among our Editors. See the leaderboard here to see if you made the top tier.
Critics Choice Nominations: Bryce H scored an impressive 83% when sizing up 20 categories. That was one percentage point ahead of our smartest Editor, Daniel Montgomery. Our top Expert was also one of our Editors, Paul Sheehan, who reaped 74%. To see how you performed, check out our leaderboard plus the score section of your account page.
Golden Globe (Film) Nominations: Jonathan was our top User, reaping a staggering 86% when forecasting the lineup of 10 categories. That put him six percentage points ahead of our best Expert -- Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood) -- and eight ahead of our leading Editor, Daniel Montogomery. Did you made the cut on the leaderboard score breakdown?
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Award Winners: Christian aced all rivals, scoring 82%. That was almost 20 percentage points ahead of our top Expert (Edward Douglas of ComingSoon ) and Editor (Matt Noble), both of whom earned scores of 64%. Christian foresaw that surprise screenplay win for "Before Midnight." See leaderboard.