It is youth vs. experience as Evan Rachel Wood ("Mildred Pierce") battles Dame Maggie Smith ("Downton Abbey") for the Emmy Award as Best TV Movie/Miniseries Supporting Actress. Our exclusive Gold Derby statistics show a virtual dead heat with Wood's 27/20 odds slightly ahead of the 8/5 odds for Smith.
Wood is the only lady in this competition without a major award on her mantle. In the HBO miniseries, she played Veda Pierce, the outspoken and conniving daughter of Mildred (Kate Winslet). She is being predicted to win by four experts, six editors, and 28% of our users (157 votes).
Smith is a two-time Oscar champ ("The Prime of Miss Jean Brodie," 1969; "California Suite," 1978) and Emmy winner ("My House in Umbria," 2003). For this British production which aired on PBS in America, she played Violet, the Dowager Countess of Grantham, and was always quick with a quip or putdown. She is the overwhelming favorite with users (51% and 281 votes) plus has the support of experts Tim Appelo (The Hollywood Reporter) and Jace Lacob (Daily Beast) and five of our editors.
Next with a shot and 11/2 odds is newly crowned Oscar winner Melissa Leo ("The Fighter"), who played friend and neighbor Lucy Gessler on "Mildred Pierce." She is the pick of experts Frazier Moore (Associated Press) and Jill Serjeant (Reuters), editor Matthew Cormier, and 13% of our users.
The other two ladies in the race are previous Emmy winners but have no real chance this time against such fierce competition. Dame Eileen Atkins ("Upstairs, Downstairs") won this category in 2008 for "Cranford" but now only has 50/1 odds. And way back with 100/1 odds is Mare Winningham ("Mildred Pierce") who won this category in both 1980 ("Amber Waves") and 1998 ("George Wallace").
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