ABOVE: Gold Derby editors Tom O'Neil, Rob Licuria and Chris Beachum duke it out over who'll win the Globes in the comedy-musical film categories.
According to exclusive Gold Derby statistics, the silent black-and-white film "The Artist" has a commanding lead with 2/5 odds to take home the Golden Globe this weekend for Best Comedy/Musical Picture. The throwback film directed and written by Michel Hazanavicius has reaped many prizes from critics and appears right now as the film to beat at the Academy Awards. The film is predicted to win by all 13 of our Experts, all nine Editors and 68% of our Users.
The spoiler in this race could be "Midnight in Paris" (a romantic comedy starring nominee Owen Wilson directed and written by Woody Allen) with 13/2 odds. Allen won this very race three years ago with "Vicky Christina Barcelona."
In 2009, the raunchy comedy "The Hangover" prevailed in this category, so perhaps "Bridesmaids" (starring and co-written by nominee Kristen Wiig) could win as well; it has odds of 10/1. "My Week with Marilyn," a film about legendary actress Marilyn Monroe starring nominee Michelle Williams, has 20/1 odds. And "50/50," a buddy comedy where the character of nominee Joseph Gordon-Levitt is fighting cancer, has 33/1 odds.
Williams is one of the biggest locks of the night with 2/5 odds to win Best Comedy/Musical Actress. All of our Experts and Editors and 69% of users expect her to claim her first Golden Globe after losses for "Brokeback Mountain" and "Blue Valentine." Charlize Theron ("Young Adult") is a previous winner for "Monster" but trails this year with 15/2 odds. Wiig is a first-time nominee and has only 9/1 odds. The two female stars of "Carnage" fill out this category, and while both Kate Winslet ("Revolutionary Road," "The Reader") and Jodie Foster ("The Accused," "Silence of the Lambs") are two-time Globe champs, they have very distant 20/1 and 33/1 odds, respectively.
Jean Dujardin ("The Artist") has a comfortable lead in the race to win Best Comedy/Musical Actor. The little known French actor enjoys 8/15 odds and is predicted by 12 Experts, seven Editors and 69% of Users. Gordon-Levitt, who contended in this category two years ago for "500 Days of Summer," stands in second place with 15/2 odds. Next in line is Wilson with 9/1 odds, who is enjoying his first Golden Globe bid. Ryan Gosling ("Crazy, Stupid, Love"), who is also nominated in the dramatic category for "The Ides of March," only has 12/1 odds as a comedic actor. While Brendan Gleeson ("The Guard") has a previous win for TV work, he is in last place with 20/1 odds.
Octavia Spencer ("The Help") leads the race for Best Supporting Actress with 9/10 odds. She is the choice of nine Experts, seven Editors and 52% of Users. Berenice Bejo ("The Artist") is in second position with 10/3 odds. Spencer's co-star Jessica Chastain is close behind with 11/2 odds. Shailene Woodley ("The Descendants") follows with 20/1 odds. All of those ladies are rookie nominees at the Golden Globes. Janet McTeer ("Albert Nobbs"), who is in last place with 25/1 odds, won a Globe for "Tumbleweeds."
There is also a clear frontrunner for Best Supporting Actor as veteran thespian Christopher Plummer ("Beginners") is far ahead with 8/13 odds. He is the pick of 10 Experts, all nine Editors and 62% of user votes. Comedic actor Albert Brooks offered a villianous turn in "Drive" and follows with 4/1 odds. Kenneth Branagh portrayed the legendary actor Laurence Olivier in "My Week with Marilyn" and is next up with 10/1 odds. The only Globe rookie in this field is Jonah Hill ("Moneyball"), who has distant 20/1 odds to win. The final spot is held by Viggo Mortensen (in the role of Sigmund Freud in "A Dangerous Method") with 25/1 odds.
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See contenders' momentum in easy-to-read graphs here. Click links on left side of that page to see more categories. Click here to see the racetrack odds generated when the Experts' predix are combined.
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