Meryl Streep has won Best Actress twice at the Critics' Choice Awards but has had to share the spotlight both times and tonight may be no different. While she leads with odds of 7/5 for her performance in "The Iron Lady," Viola Davis ("The Help") is just behind at 17/10.
Two years ago, Streep tied Sandra Bullock ("The Blind Side") who went on to beat her at the Academy Awards. And in 2007, she won for "Doubt" tying with Anne Hathaway ("Rachel Getting Married"). They both lost the Oscar to Kate Winslet who got bumped up to lead after winning the supporting actress award here for "The Reader."
Of tonight's other nominees, Michelle Williams ("My Week with Marilyn") and Tilda Swinton ("We Need to Talk About Kevin") are competitive, according to our Experts, Editors and Users, with odds of 8/1 and 10/1 respectively.
However, Charlize Theron ("Young Adult") and Elizabeth Olsen ("Martha Marcy May Marlene") are longshots with odds of 50 and 100 to one. While the other Critics' Choice nominees are expected to reap Oscar bids, these two may be edged out by Glenn Close ("Albert Nobbs"), who was snubbed here, for that fifth Best Actress slot.
These kudos have proven to be the most accurate precursor prizes to the Oscars. The 250 members of the Broadcast Film Critics Assn. have predicted nine of the past 16 Best Actress winners, including last year's champ Natalie Portman ("Black Swan"). Five of the six BFCA nominees contended at last year's Oscars.
The 17th annual Critics' Choice Awards air live on VH1 Thursday evening (Jan. 12) beginning at 5 p.m. PT/8 p.m. ET from the Palladium in Hollywood.