Last year, the TV academy combined telefilms and miniseries into one category and the PBS four-parter "Downton Abbey" won. With seven installments this year, that show has shifted over to the drama race.
Prior to the merger, HBO had held almost a complete lock on the Best TV Movie award, winning for 15 of the last 17 years of the category's existence. It took the final prize in 2010 for "Temple Grandin" and for the previous five years in a row as well. And HBO won Best Miniseries seven times since 1998.
The political drama is based on the book of the same name by Mark Halperin and John Heilemann about the 2008 presidential campaign, focusing primarily on the Republican ticket -- John McCain (Ed Harris) and Sarah Palin (Julianne Moore).
One Expert and one Editor predict that FX's "American Horror Story" will win over Emmy voters. While "Downton Abbey" contends as a drama series, this ongoing show shifted to the movie/mini race because each season will tell a distinct story.
One Expert sees victory for PBS' "Sherlock: Scandal in Belgravia," a modern-day version of Arthur Conan Doyle's famed London detective.
And one of our Editors was won over by History's highly-rated retelling of the feud between the "Hatfields and McCoys."
Also expected to contend is HBO's telefilm "Hemingway and Gellhorn" which revisits the love affair between writer Ernest Hemingway (Clive Owen) and war correspondent Martha Gellhorn (Nicole Kidman).
Rounding out the race should be BBC America's six-parter "The Hour," a period piece about the early days of television in England.
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