Five-time Emmy champ Michael J. Fox is favored to make it an even half dozen this Saturday, winning Best Comedy Guest Actor for spoofing himself on "Curb Your Enthusiasm." However, while Fox leads with odds of 6 to 5, Jimmy Fallon could play spoiler for hosting the Christmas edition of "Saturday Night Live." He has odds of 23 to 10.
In his 30-year television career, Fox has won four Emmys as Best Comedy Actor ("Family Ties," 1986, 1987, 1988; "Spin City," 2000). He also won in 2009 for guesting on the drama "Rescue Me." This year, he contends for "Larry vs. Michael J. Fox," the season finale of the HBO laffer, where he battles annoying neighbor Larry David. Four of our Experts, five Editors, and 45% of Users are predicting Fox to prevail.
Fallon won an Emmy in 2010 for his "Late Night" website. He is nominated this year for his first return to his "SNL" roots where he played a range of characters including Boston Sully, Justin Bieber, Russell Brand, Sting, and Beethoven. He also performed a singing monologue and returned to his anchor chair on Weekend Update. One Expert, seven Editors, and 27% of our Users favor Fallon.
The gap widens dramatically after these two with Bobby Cannavale ("Nurse Jackie"), who won this category in 2005 for "Will & Grace," coming in at 10/1 with support from one Expert and 3% of Users. His submission "Disneyland Sucks" was the second episode of the season and is an early introduction to his mostly dramatic, antagonistic role as Dr. Mike Cruz.
Jon Hamm has yet to win an Emmy despite four consecutive bids for Drama Actor for "Mad Men" and two nods in this category for playing Dr. Drew Baird on "30 Rock" in 2009 and 2010. This year, he is nominated for both starring and producing "Mad Men" and is back in this race for playing two other characters on the live episode of "30 Rock" -- newsman David Brinkley and in blackface for a parody of "Amos and Andy." He has odds of 14 to 1 with the support of 13% of Users.
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Greg Kinnear received his first Emmy bid last year as President John F. Kennedy for the miniseries "The Kennedys" and has now earned another for guesting on "Modern Family." In the episode "Me? Jealous?," his character Tad is an overly affectionate neighbor to Phil (Ty Burrell) and Claire (Julie Bowen). He is tied for last place at 20/1 with 7% of User votes.
Sharing that final position is Will Arnett ("30 Rock") who picked up his fourth nomination for the role of Devin Banks, a former rival NBC executive of Jack Donaghy (Alec Baldwin) still trying to gain the upper hand in the episode "Idiots Are People Three." Also at 20/1 odds, he has 5% of User votes.