This year she contends in the most coveted category for the first time. While she is far ahead among our Users predicting this race, our Editors are split about who will prevail. Two of them back her bid but three of them favor 2010 champ Justin Bieber.
Last year, the teen sensation was snubbed by the AMAs, not even reaping a nomination for Artist of the Year and losing Favorite Pop/Rock Male Artist to Bruno Mars.
Also in contention is two-time also-ran Katy Perry who could pull off a surprise here as she did at last year's MTV VMAs.
Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever
Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.