This year she contends in the most coveted category for the first time. While she is far ahead among our Users predicting this race, our Editors are split about who will prevail. Two of them back her bid but three of them favor 2010 champ Justin Bieber.
Last year, the teen sensation was snubbed by the AMAs, not even reaping a nomination for Artist of the Year and losing Favorite Pop/Rock Male Artist to Bruno Mars.
Also in contention is two-time also-ran Katy Perry who could pull off a surprise here as she did at last year's MTV VMAs.
These are the guys you need to beat to win our prizes for best 'Survivor' and 'Amazing Race' predictions
Now you can predict these events at Gold Derby: ACM & MTV Movie Awards, Emmy & Daytime Emmy nominations, "Survivor," "American Idol" and "Dancing with the Stars."
Below: Leaderboards of our current weekly champs. There is still time for YOU to pull ahead of these folks before end of TV season. Make your predix now.