Whenever Rotten Tomatoes editor Matt Atchity chats with Gold Derby, the videos get thousands of extra plays beyond the usual tally. That's because viewers appreciate his shrewd views expressed in firm harrumphs.
For example, in our latest yapfest, Atchity asserts: "The Oscar race isn't about the best movies! It's about what the academy likes." Testify, bro! He notes that the academy will probably like "Argo" because "it's based on a true story. It's exciting. It's a well-made movie and Hollywood saves the day."
Thus "Argo" is strong contender for Best Picture, Atchity says, and "Ben Affleck has a really, really good shot of taking home Best Director."
In terms of the Best Actor race, he adds, "I'm going to go out on a limb and say it's going to come down to Daniel Day-Lewis and Denzel Washington and at this point I'm going to give the edge to Daniel Day-Lewis."
Hey, why no mention of Joaquin Phoenix, who led the derby just two months ago when "The Master" lit up the Toronto and Venice film festivals?
"The damage is done," Atchity says, referring to Phoenix bashing Oscar as "total, utter bullshit … and the stupidest thing in the whole world."
"If he gets nominated, he's going to have to do some serious lobbying and mea culpas and I do't see him doing that," Atchity adds.
See his latest Oscar predictions here.
Win $1,000 predicting the Oscars
Win $100 Amazon gift certificates predicting the guild awards, Razzies and other kudos
Read more about entry and rules here. Make your initial Oscar predictions now. Change them later as often as you wish up until Oscar Day. Below, meet our past winners of recent award prediction contests.
Oscar Nominations: New York state resident Tim Kressner (gufa54) won $1,000 for reaping the highest percentage (78%) when predicting Academy Award noms. Watch our video chat with him here and learn his strategy for making picks. See the leaderboard here. See Kressner's predix here.
Golden Globes (Film): Mario Gomez, a med studen in Mexico, won our contest with the highest percentage of correct picks (86%) and highest point score (2,693). See our video chat with him here. Two other contestants also scored 86%: lulo1989 and eastwest. Tom O'Neil reaped best Experts' score. David Schnelwar had top score among our Editors. See the leaderboard here to see if you made the top tier.
Critics Choice Nominations: Bryce H scored an impressive 83% when sizing up 20 categories. That was one percentage point ahead of our smartest Editor, Daniel Montgomery. Our top Expert was also one of our Editors, Paul Sheehan, who reaped 74%. To see how you performed, check out our leaderboard plus the score section of your account page.
Golden Globe (Film) Nominations: Jonathan was our top User, reaping a staggering 86% when forecasting the lineup of 10 categories. That put him six percentage points ahead of our best Expert -- Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood) -- and eight ahead of our leading Editor, Daniel Montogomery. Did you made the cut on the leaderboard score breakdown?
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Award Winners: Christian aced all rivals, scoring 82%. That was almost 20 percentage points ahead of our top Expert (Edward Douglas of ComingSoon ) and Editor (Matt Noble), both of whom earned scores of 64%. Christian foresaw that surprise screenplay win for "Before Midnight." See leaderboard.