The New York Film Critics Circle (NYFCC) will be the first organization to announce its picks for the best of 2012. The group, whose members include Time's Richard Corliss, Rolling Stone's Peter Travers, and Entertainment Weekly's Lisa Schwarzbaum and Owen Gleiberman, reveals its winners on Monday, Dec. 3.
In the last ten years, four of NYFCC's Best Picture winners have gone on to take the top Oscar: "The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King" (2003), "No Country for Old Men" (2007), "The Hurt Locker" (2009), and "The Artist" (2011). You have to go back to 2002 to find a NYFCC winner that wasn't at least nominated for the Best Picture Oscar: Todd Haynes's "Far from Heaven."
"The Master" helmer Paul Thomas Anderson is also the favorite to win Best Director. It would be the first win for the filmmaker, who was the runner-up in 2007 for his last film, "There Will Be Blood." "The Master" gets best odds in two other categories: Best Screenplay and Best Supporting Actor for Philip Seymour Hoffman.
Daniel Day-Lewis leads with 11 to 8 odds for Best Actor as the title character in "Lincoln." He has already won a remarkable four awards from the NYFCC: Best Actor for "There Will Be Blood" (2007), "Gangs of New York" (2002), and "My Left Foot" (1989), and Best Supporting Actor in 1986 for both "My Beautiful Laundrette" and "A Room with a View."
Oscar-favorite Jennifer Lawrence is expected to win Best Actress for "Silver Linings Playbook." She gets 21 to 10 odds against her nearest rival, Marion Cotillard ("Rust and Bone"). Another Oscar frontrunner, Anne Hathaway, is the favorite to win Best Supporting Actress for her work in "Les Miserables."
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Below, meet our past winners of recent award prediction contests.
Oscar Nominations: New York state resident Tim Kressner (gufa54) won $1,000 for reaping the highest percentage (78%) when predicting Academy Award noms. Watch our video chat with him here and learn his strategy for making picks. See the leaderboard here. See Kressner's predix here.
Golden Globes (Film): Mario Gomez, a med studen in Mexico, won our contest with the highest percentage of correct picks (86%) and highest point score (2,693). See our video chat with him here. Two other contestants also scored 86%: lulo1989 and eastwest. Tom O'Neil reaped best Experts' score. David Schnelwar had top score among our Editors. See the leaderboard here to see if you made the top tier.
Critics Choice Nominations: Bryce H scored an impressive 83% when sizing up 20 categories. That was one percentage point ahead of our smartest Editor, Daniel Montgomery. Our top Expert was also one of our Editors, Paul Sheehan, who reaped 74%. To see how you performed, check out our leaderboard plus the score section of your account page.
Golden Globe (Film) Nominations: Jonathan was our top User, reaping a staggering 86% when forecasting the lineup of 10 categories. That put him six percentage points ahead of our best Expert -- Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood) -- and eight ahead of our leading Editor, Daniel Montogomery. Did you made the cut on the leaderboard score breakdown?
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Award Winners: Christian aced all rivals, scoring 82%. That was almost 20 percentage points ahead of our top Expert (Edward Douglas of ComingSoon ) and Editor (Matt Noble), both of whom earned scores of 64%. Christian foresaw that surprise screenplay win for "Before Midnight." See leaderboard.