HuffPo entertainment editors Michael Hogan, Christopher Rosen and I strongly disagree over what movie is ahead to win Best Picture. Hogan opts for "Lincoln," Rosen says "Argo" and I think it's "Les Miserables."
In our video chat, Hogan defends his choice: " I think 'Lincoln' is an incredible, towering achievement. It's got one of the best scripts to come round in a long time. It's going to have a lot of acting nominations. Certainly, Daniel Day-Lewis is the favorite to win Best Actor at this point."
Rosen backs up his choice: " All of the reasons we loved 'Argo' a month or two ago are still in play. It's a lot of fun. It's a very audience-friendly film and Hollywood-friendly film. There's Ben Affleck's big comeback story. 'Argo' is still the least polarizing of those three films. I think 'Les Miz' is going to have a lot of detractors by the time the nominations come around. I like 'Lincoln' a lot, but I don't think it will be the one that gets in there."
I disagree and so do the largest chunk of Oscarologists making predictions at Gold Derby where "Les Miserables" leads with 9-to-2 odds. See my full predictions here. See Hogan's here. See Rosen's here. See how our Best Picture rankings compare side by side here.
Every actor submits only one sample episode, which will be judged by other actors (ranging from 25 to 75 per category jury) between July 28 and August 14. TV series submit six, which will be split into three pairs to be distributed randomly to about 300 voters. We now have uncovered every single title submitted for the 2014 races. CLICK HERE FOR THE EPISODES