HuffPo entertainment editors Michael Hogan, Christopher Rosen and I strongly disagree over what movie is ahead to win Best Picture. Hogan opts for "Lincoln," Rosen says "Argo" and I think it's "Les Miserables."
In our video chat, Hogan defends his choice: " I think 'Lincoln' is an incredible, towering achievement. It's got one of the best scripts to come round in a long time. It's going to have a lot of acting nominations. Certainly, Daniel Day-Lewis is the favorite to win Best Actor at this point."
Rosen backs up his choice: " All of the reasons we loved 'Argo' a month or two ago are still in play. It's a lot of fun. It's a very audience-friendly film and Hollywood-friendly film. There's Ben Affleck's big comeback story. 'Argo' is still the least polarizing of those three films. I think 'Les Miz' is going to have a lot of detractors by the time the nominations come around. I like 'Lincoln' a lot, but I don't think it will be the one that gets in there."
I disagree and so do the largest chunk of Oscarologists making predictions at Gold Derby where "Les Miserables" leads with 9-to-2 odds. See my full predictions here. See Hogan's here. See Rosen's here. See how our Best Picture rankings compare side by side here.