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How well will PGA Awards nominations preview Oscars?

By Paul Sheehan
Jan 02 2013 07:25 am
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The Producers Guild of America will unveil its 10 nominees for Best Picture on Thursday, Jan. 3. The PGA is sticking with this expanded slate even though the motion picture academy revised its selection process last year. There will be between five and 10 Best Picture contenders when Oscar nominations are announced next Thursday (Jan. 10).  

With this wiggle room, the PGA is likely to cite all eight of our top contenders for Best Picture: "Lincoln," "Zero Dark Thirty," "Argo," "Les Miserables," "Silver Linings Playbook," "Life of Pi," "Django Unchained" and "Beasts of the Southern Wild." Beyond this, the guild may go for critical darlings "The Master" and "Moonrise Kingdom" or opt for more populist fare like "Best Exotic Marigold Hotel" and "Skyfall" to round out its list of nominees. 

Last year, the PGA predicted seven of the eventual nine Best Picture contenders, including "The Artist" which won with both groups. The other PGA nominees that repeated at the Oscars were:  "The Descendants," "The Help" "Hugo," "Midnight in Paris," "Moneyball" and "War Horse." The PGA filled out their slate with popular pictures "Bridesmaids," "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" and "The Ides of March" while the Oscars went with "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close" and "The Tree of Life,"

Two years ago, the PGA foresaw nine of the eventual 10 Best Picture Oscar nominees. The guild went for "The Town" while the academy opted for "Winter's Bone" for the tenth slot. Both groups chose "The King's Speech" as the Best Picture of the year. The guild and Oscars have agreed on 16 of the last 23 Best Picture champs, including the last five in a row. 

In 2009, the Oscars concurred with the PGA on eight of the 10 contenders. PGA nominated "Invictus" and "Star Trek" over Oscar choices "The Blind Side" and "A Serious Man." Both groups picked as best pic "The Hurt Locker."

The PGA will also reveal the five nominees for Best Animated Feature. Last year, they went three for five with the Oscars, nominating eventual Oscar winner "Rango" as well as "Kung Fu Panda 2" and "Puss in Boots." However, the PGA champ was "The Adventures of Tintin," which was snubbed by the academy as was the critically derided PGA nominee "Cars 2" in favor of "A Cat in Paris" and "Chico and Rita." 

While most of the TV nominees were announced on Nov. 28, the PGA will also unveil the contenders for TV Movie/Miniseries on Thursday. 

All of this year's winners will be revealed during a Jan. 26 ceremony at the Beverly Hilton Hotel.

 
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