Given his track record, we probably should have guessed that "Django Unchained" would be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars but that Leonardo DiCaprio wouldn't receive a corresponding Best Supporting Actor bid. Though he has been nominated three times before, this is the fifth time he has been snubbed for his performance in a Best Picture nominee.
Many were surprised in 1997 when DiCaprio wasn't nominated for "Titanic"; the blockbuster romance tied the record for the most nominations (14) and went on to win 11, including Best Picture. What's more, two actresses were nominated for playing his on-screen love interest: Kate Winslet and Gloria Stuart.
In 2002 he starred in "Gangs of New York," his first of several films with director Martin Scorsese, but the lion's share of acclaim went to his co-star Daniel Day-Lewis, who had a showier role as villainous Bill the Butcher and was nominated for Best Actor instead.
Scorsese finally won the Best Director Oscar in 2006 for "The Departed," which also won Best Picture, but DiCaprio didn't go along for the ride. He wasn't completely overlooked that year, though; he didn't make the cut for "The Departed," but received a Best Actor nomination for "Blood Diamond."
Most recently, DiCaprio headlined Christopher Nolan's 2010 sci-fi thriller "Inception," a blockbuster hit that earned eight nominations, including Best Picture, but unfortunately for DiCaprio none of those nominations were for acting.
There was one exception to DiCaprio's Best Picture curse. His second collaboration with Scorsese was "The Aviator" (2004), in which he played the title character, reclusive billionaire Howard Hughes. The film was up for Best Picture, and he was nominated for Best Actor, though the Oscar went to his eventual "Django" co-star Jamie Foxx for "Ray."
DiCaprio has two high-profile films opening in 2013, both potential awards contenders – Scorsese's "The Wolf of Wall Street," and Baz Luhrmann's "The Great Gatsby" – which means he'll have two more chances not to be nominated for a Best Picture contender.
Win $1,000 predicting the Oscars
Win $100 Amazon gift certificates predicting the guild awards, Razzies and other kudos
Read more about entry and rules here. Make your initial Oscar predictions now. Change them later as often as you wish up until Oscar Day. Below, meet our past winners of recent award prediction contests.
Oscar Nominations: New York state resident Tim Kressner (gufa54) won $1,000 for reaping the highest percentage (78%) when predicting Academy Award noms. Watch our video chat with him here and learn his strategy for making picks. See the leaderboard here. See Kressner's predix here.
Golden Globes (Film): Mario Gomez, a med studen in Mexico, won our contest with the highest percentage of correct picks (86%) and highest point score (2,693). See our video chat with him here. Two other contestants also scored 86%: lulo1989 and eastwest. Tom O'Neil reaped best Experts' score. David Schnelwar had top score among our Editors. See the leaderboard here to see if you made the top tier.
Critics Choice Nominations: Bryce H scored an impressive 83% when sizing up 20 categories. That was one percentage point ahead of our smartest Editor, Daniel Montgomery. Our top Expert was also one of our Editors, Paul Sheehan, who reaped 74%. To see how you performed, check out our leaderboard plus the score section of your account page.
Golden Globe (Film) Nominations: Jonathan was our top User, reaping a staggering 86% when forecasting the lineup of 10 categories. That put him six percentage points ahead of our best Expert -- Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood) -- and eight ahead of our leading Editor, Daniel Montogomery. Did you made the cut on the leaderboard score breakdown?
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Award Winners: Christian aced all rivals, scoring 82%. That was almost 20 percentage points ahead of our top Expert (Edward Douglas of ComingSoon ) and Editor (Matt Noble), both of whom earned scores of 64%. Christian foresaw that surprise screenplay win for "Before Midnight." See leaderboard.