Blog: News & Views

Darrin Dortch: Why 'Lonely Boy' will win Record of the Year at Grammys

By Darrin Dortch
By Darrin Dortch
Jan 24 2013 03:00 am
0
Comments

Grammys Grammy Awards Taylor Swift Fun Black Keys Kelly Clarkson Frank Ocean music entertainment news 13579086

The Record of the Year nominees at this year's Grammys are:

"Lonely Boy" - The Black Keys

"Stronger (What Doesn't Kill You)" - Kelly Clarkson

 "We Are Young" - Fun. featuring Janelle Monae

"Somebody That I Used To Know" - Gotye featuring Kimbra

 "Thinkin Bout You" - Frank Ocean

 "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" - Taylor Swift

Let’s immediately eliminate Frank Ocean and Taylor Swift. This is the sole nomination for their songs. Singles that were snubbed in genre fields usually don’t win here. And, in Ocean’s case, an R&B song has never won this category.

Kelly Clarkson was a surprise nominee here and her track is nominated for Song of the Year. But big pop singles almost never win the top prize unless they’re huge with the adult contemporary crowd.

According to Billboard and VH1, “Somebody That I Used to Know” was the most popular song of 2012. However, Gotye was shockingly snubbed in Best New Artist. He was also a dark horse Album of the Year contender.

Voters usually give this prize to veterans (e.g., Ray Charles, Robert Plant) or the hot artist of the moment (e.g., Adele, Amy Winehouse). Gotye and Kimbra don’t fall into either category. In addition, a song that contained a sample has never won in this category. Voters always favor singles with live instrumentation.

I think Fun. and Black Keys will duke it out for the win here. Tracks nominated for Song of the Year usually win this category so that gives Fun. a slight edge. It only helps that Fun. is the only act to score nominations in all four general field categories this year.

However, despite their Song of the Year snub, the Keys are the frontrunners here. Their song is the only one that contains live instrumentation, they had a critically and commercially successful year and they’re the only veterans in this lineup. The four pop songs (and one R&B song) will cancel each other out leaving the Keys with the win.

Related: Why 'We Are Young' will win Song of the Year

 
Related News
Follow Gold Derby
Click Here

Advertisement

Content on this page requires a newer version of Adobe Flash Player.

Get Adobe Flash player

Hot Links from the Web
Inside Track: Emmy Voting

EXCLUSIVE: See the episodes
submitted to Emmy judges
by actors and TV series

Every actor submits only one sample episode, which will be judged by other actors (ranging from 25 to 75 per category jury) between July 28 and August 14. TV series submit six, which will be split into three pairs to be distributed randomly to about 300 voters. We now have uncovered every single title submitted for the 2014 races. CLICK HERE FOR THE EPISODES

Photo Galleries: Oscars, Emmys, ...
Emmy Nominees: Video Interviews
Subscribe to our free news service

Advertisement