Darrin Dortch: Why 'Lonely Boy' will win Record of the Year at Grammys

By Darrin Dortch
By Darrin Dortch
Jan 24 2013 03:00 am
0
4
0
Email this to a friend
close
See Darrin's Predictions
Get Gold Derby's free news alerts and predictions

Grammys Grammy Awards Taylor Swift Fun Black Keys Kelly Clarkson Frank Ocean music entertainment news 13579086

The Record of the Year nominees at this year's Grammys are:

"Lonely Boy" - The Black Keys

"Stronger (What Doesn't Kill You)" - Kelly Clarkson

 "We Are Young" - Fun. featuring Janelle Monae

"Somebody That I Used To Know" - Gotye featuring Kimbra

 "Thinkin Bout You" - Frank Ocean

 "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" - Taylor Swift

Let’s immediately eliminate Frank Ocean and Taylor Swift. This is the sole nomination for their songs. Singles that were snubbed in genre fields usually don’t win here. And, in Ocean’s case, an R&B song has never won this category.

Kelly Clarkson was a surprise nominee here and her track is nominated for Song of the Year. But big pop singles almost never win the top prize unless they’re huge with the adult contemporary crowd.

According to Billboard and VH1, “Somebody That I Used to Know” was the most popular song of 2012. However, Gotye was shockingly snubbed in Best New Artist. He was also a dark horse Album of the Year contender.

Voters usually give this prize to veterans (e.g., Ray Charles, Robert Plant) or the hot artist of the moment (e.g., Adele, Amy Winehouse). Gotye and Kimbra don’t fall into either category. In addition, a song that contained a sample has never won in this category. Voters always favor singles with live instrumentation.

I think Fun. and Black Keys will duke it out for the win here. Tracks nominated for Song of the Year usually win this category so that gives Fun. a slight edge. It only helps that Fun. is the only act to score nominations in all four general field categories this year.

However, despite their Song of the Year snub, the Keys are the frontrunners here. Their song is the only one that contains live instrumentation, they had a critically and commercially successful year and they’re the only veterans in this lineup. The four pop songs (and one R&B song) will cancel each other out leaving the Keys with the win.

Related: Why 'We Are Young' will win Song of the Year

 
Related News
Share
Email this to a friend
close
X

Advertisement

Content on this page requires a newer version of Adobe Flash Player.

Get Adobe Flash player

Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever

Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Experts
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
9/2
2 UnbrokenUnbroken
6/1
3 BirdmanBirdman
15/2
4 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
15/2
5 The Theory of EverythingThe Theory of Everything
12/1
6 InterstellarInterstellar
12/1
7 Gone GirlGone Girl
12/1
8 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
16/1
9 American SniperAmerican Sniper
33/1
10 SelmaSelma
50/1
See complete statistics by Clicking Here
Hot Links from the Web
Photo Galleries: Oscars, Emmys, ...
Latest Forum Posts
Martin Scorsese Films (Elimination ..
+ twows- The Age of InnocenceThe Wolf of Wall Street : 51GoodFellas: 23Taxi Driv..
66th Primetime Emmy Awards Program ..
+ Breaking Bad- The Colbert ReportBreaking Bad (119)Game of Thrones (28)American..
40 Actors Without Oscar Nominations..
+ Richard Gere- John GoodmanRichard Gere: 221Kevin Bacon: 94John Goodman: 67Elim..
SAG Awards - Motion Picture Cast En..
+ The Help- Sideways2011- The Help (122)2006- Little Miss Sunshine (35)2004- Sid..
39 actors with 5 or more Emmy noms ..
+ Hall- Wendt Michael C. Hall, Dexter -- 65Cristina Hendricks, Mad Men -- 50Ang..
Subscribe to our free news service

Advertisement