"Argo" was the surprise winner at the Screen Actors Guild Awards, winning Best Film Ensemble in an upset victory against "Lincoln," "Les Miserables," and "Silver Linings Playbook." "Best Exotic Marigold Hotel" was also nominated. "Argo" has been well-liked by the industry thus far, this weekend also winning the Producers Guild Award for Best Picture.
"Les Miserables" won one of its four. Though it didn't claim Best Ensemble, Best Stunt Ensemble, or Best Actor (Hugh Jackman), Anne Hathaway continued her Best Supporting Actress winning streak for her role as Fantine in Tom Hooper's musical.
The SAG Awards have become a reliable barometer of Academy tastes since their inception in 1994. Likely due to the overlap of members between SAG and the Academy -- the actors' branch is the Academy's largest -- nominees and winners at the SAG Awards often predict the Oscars. Last year, of the 20 Oscar nominees for acting, 17 were nominated by SAG, and in the last five years, only four individual SAG winners failed to repeat at the Oscars.
SAG and Oscar overlap less when it comes to their top races. SAG honors a film's ensemble cast, and only eight of its 18 winners have won the Oscar for Best Picture, though SAG did foreshadow upset wins by "Shakespeare in Love" and "Crash."