Oscars Experts' Predictions: 'Argo' and Jennifer Lawrence zoom ahead after SAG Awards

By Tom O'Neil
By Tom O'Neil
Jan 28 2013 16:20 pm
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Argo Screen Actors Guild SAG Awards Oscars Ben Affleck

Call it Oscar "Argo"-nautics. Propelled by dramatic victories at the Producers' and Screen Actors' Guilds, "Argo" just zoomed far ahead of "Lincoln" in the race for Best Picture, according to the predictions of 25 top Oscarologists polled by Gold Derby.

Just a few days ago, 13 experts backed "Lincoln," 11 picked "Argo" and one held out hope for "Silver Linings Playbook." Now the score stands: 22 for "Argo" and three stalwarts for "Lincoln." "Argo" reaps 12-to-5 odds; "Lincoln" snags 11-to-2. See all category odds here.

Last week Jennifer Lawrence ("Silver Linings Playbook") held just a narrow edge over Jessica Chastain ("Zero Dark Thirty") in the Best Actress contest. Now she's backed by 20 pundits, who give her 9-to-5 odds. Emmanuelle Riva ("Amour") is in second place with 3 votes and 4-to-1 odds, followed by Chastain chosen by two experts giving her 10-to-3 odds.

Tommy Lee Jones ("Lincoln") was ahead for Best Supporting Actor by only a slim margin recently, but he's pulled far ahead after prevailing at SAG. Twenty Oscarologists pick him to win (8 to 5 odds), compared to four for Robert De Niro ("Silver Linings Playbook") and one for Christoph Waltz ("Django Unchained").

All 25 gurus choose Daniel Day-Lewis ("Lincoln") for Best Actor (6/5) and Anne Hathaway ("Les Miserables") is the runaway pick of 24 pundits for Best Supporting Actress (11/8).

See the experts' latest predictions - click here.

 
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Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

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Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Experts
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
9/2
2 UnbrokenUnbroken
6/1
3 BirdmanBirdman
15/2
4 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
15/2
5 The Theory of EverythingThe Theory of Everything
12/1
6 Gone GirlGone Girl
14/1
7 InterstellarInterstellar
14/1
8 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
16/1
9 WhiplashWhiplash
25/1
10 The Grand Budapest HotelThe Grand Budapest Hotel
33/1
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