Directors Guild Awards showdown: Ben Affleck vs. Steven Spielberg
And, after last weekend's double whammy of wins at both the PGA and SAG, his film is now the overwhelming favorite to be named Best Picture at the Oscars.
Backing the bid by Affleck are: Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post) and Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby). That support, along with those of seven of our Editors and an overwhelming number of our Users, gives Affleck odds of 17/10.
Forecasting victory for Spielberg are: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly) and Sasha Stone (Awards Daily). He is also expected to prevail by two of our Editors and about 20% of our Users. This support translates into odds of 12/5.
The other three helmers in contention -- Kathryn Bigelow ("Zero Dark Thirty"), Tom Hooper ("Les Miserables") and Ang Lee ("Life of Pi") -- do not figure in the predicitons of our Experts and Editors and each has only a smattering of support from our Users.
Bigelow won the DGA for "The Hurt Locker" (2009), Hooper for "The King's Speech" (2010) and Lee for "Brokeback Mountain" (2005). All three went on to repeat at the Oscars.
While "Argo" is only Affleck's third film as a director, Spielberg has won a record three ("The Color Purple," 1985; "Schindler's List," 1993; and "Saving Private Ryan," 1998) of his past 10 DGA races. He last contended in 2005 for "Munich." He won Oscars for helming "Schindler's List" and "Saving Private Ryan." http://www.goldderby.com/stats/experts/oscars-2012/best-director.html
If Spielberg loses at the DGA, he is predicted to get a pretty nice consolation prize -- another Oscar. Of the DGA nominees, only he and Lee are in contention at the Oscars. That race is rounded out by Michael Haneke ("Amour"), David O. Russell ("Silver Linings Playbook") and Benh Zeitlin ("Beasts of the Southern Wild").
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