Blog: News & Views

Keith Simanton: Oscars have creepy parallel to 1998

By Tom O'Neil
By Tom O'Neil
Jan 31 2013 11:26 am
0
Comments

This year's Oscar derby gives Keith Simanton (IMDB) a creepy feeling. "It kind of reminds me of when 'Saving Private Ryan' lost to 'Shakespeare in Love'" back in 1998, he says in our webcam chat, noting that this year's race pits "a Spielbergian, historical drama vs. something essentially about putting on a show."

Simanton calls Steven Spielberg's "Lincoln" "a masterwork -- it's unimpeachable, great filmmaking," but "Argo" -- a film about sneaky Hollywooders putting on a campy sci-fi show in order to fool Iranians -- suddenly seems to have the mojo, according to the predictions of 22 of the 25 pundits (including Simanton) polled by Gold Derby.

He believes Anne Hathaway has Best Supporting Actress in the bag and "Best Actor is Daniel Day-Lewis unless the Mayan apocalypse happens a couple months late.

"I think Best Supporting Actor is still pretty open," he adds. "I don't really understand the Tommy Lee Jones brouhaha. To me, it was a very one-note performance."

He also believes the widely perceived "Jennifer Lawrence lock may not be such a lock" considering how often the Oscars do not repeat the SAG champ for Best Actress. Last year, for example, SAG voters went for Viola Davis ("The Help") while academy member embraced Meryl Streep ("The Iron Lady").

See Simanton's predictions here. See how they stack up against the prophecies of 24 other top pundits. See the rankings and racetrack odds of all pundit predictions when they're combined.


 

 
Related News
Follow Gold Derby
Click Here

Advertisement

Content on this page requires a newer version of Adobe Flash Player.

Get Adobe Flash player

Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever

Our Oscars Prediction Center is now open. See our Users' rankings. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Users
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
5/1
2 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
5/1
3 UnbrokenUnbroken
8/1
4 Gone GirlGone Girl
10/1
5 BirdmanBirdman
12/1
6 InterstellarInterstellar
12/1
7 Inherent ViceInherent Vice
14/1
8 The Grand Budapest HotelThe Grand Budapest Hotel
25/1
9 Into the WoodsInto the Woods
33/1
10 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
33/1
See complete statistics by Clicking Here
Hot Links from the Web
Photo Galleries: Oscars, Emmys, ...
Latest Forum Posts
This Actor or That
Albert BrooksOprah Winfrey -vs- Ellen DeGeneres
William H Macy Albert Brooks vs Tim Robbins
Best Performance Game
The Heat Kelsey Grammer
Tooth Fairy 2 Marlon Wayans
This Music Artist or That? #1
XscapeFrank Sinatra -vs- Tony Bennett
Nelly Furtado Jade vs. Xscape
Film Titles A-Z #2
Won't Back Down
Vacancy
This Movie or That Part 2
Stepmom Save The Last Dance vs. Stomp The Yard
If there was no Veep, who would hav..
Her and Janney
Subscribe to our free news service

Advertisement