This year's Oscar derby gives Keith Simanton (IMDB) a creepy feeling. "It kind of reminds me of when 'Saving Private Ryan' lost to 'Shakespeare in Love'" back in 1998, he says in our webcam chat, noting that this year's race pits "a Spielbergian, historical drama vs. something essentially about putting on a show."
Simanton calls Steven Spielberg's "Lincoln" "a masterwork -- it's unimpeachable, great filmmaking," but "Argo" -- a film about sneaky Hollywooders putting on a campy sci-fi show in order to fool Iranians -- suddenly seems to have the mojo, according to the predictions of 22 of the 25 pundits (including Simanton) polled by Gold Derby.
"I think Best Supporting Actor is still pretty open," he adds. "I don't really understand the Tommy Lee Jones brouhaha. To me, it was a very one-note performance."
He also believes the widely perceived "Jennifer Lawrence lock may not be such a lock" considering how often the Oscars do not repeat the SAG champ for Best Actress. Last year, for example, SAG voters went for Viola Davis ("The Help") while academy member embraced Meryl Streep ("The Iron Lady").
Gold Derby presents 4 sets
of Oscar predictions
See contenders' momentum in easy-to-read graphs here. Click links on left side of that page to see more categories. Click here to see the racetrack odds generated when the Experts' predix are combined.
JOSH, Jake and trebor76 all reaped the best scores (80%), but trebor76 wins our contest prize of a $100 Amazon gift certificate because he also had highest point score. Always remember to wager your game points when making predix at Gold Derby. READ MORE
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