Ben Affleck predicted to win Directors Guild award for 'Argo'
Backing the bid by Affleck are: Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Thom Geier (EW), Richard Horgan (MediaBistro), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Guy Lodge (HitFix), Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Alex Suskind (Moviefone), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today). That support, along with those of eight of our Editors and an overwhelming number of our Users, gives Affleck odds of 7/5.
Forecasting victory for Spielberg are: Keith Simanton (IMDB), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times). He is also expected to prevail by one of our Editors and about 20% of our Users. This support translates into odds of 14/5.
The other three helmers in contention -- Kathryn Bigelow ("Zero Dark Thirty"), Tom Hooper ("Les Miserables") and Ang Lee ("Life of Pi") -- do not figure in the predicitons of our Experts and Editors and each has only a smattering of support from our Users.
Bigelow won the DGA for "The Hurt Locker" (2009), Hooper for "The King's Speech" (2010) and Lee for "Brokeback Mountain" (2005). All three went on to repeat at the Oscars.
After last weekend's double whammy of wins at both the PGA and SAG, "Argo" is now the overwhelming favorite to be named Best Picture at the Oscars.
While "Argo" is only Affleck's third film as a director, Spielberg has won a record three ("The Color Purple," 1985; "Schindler's List," 1993; and "Saving Private Ryan," 1998) of his past 10 DGA races. He last contended in 2005 for "Munich." He won Oscars for helming "Schindler's List" and "Saving Private Ryan."
If Spielberg loses at the DGA, he is predicted to get a pretty nice consolation prize -- another Oscar. Of the DGA nominees, only he and Lee are in contention at the Oscars. That race is rounded out by Michael Haneke ("Amour"), David O. Russell ("Silver Linings Playbook") and Benh Zeitlin ("Beasts of the Southern Wild").
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