Our experts are almost evenly split over who will win the Grammy for Best New Artist. They forecast a close two-way race between indie pop trio Fun. and critically hailed hip-hop artist Frank Ocean.
Five out of nine predict Fun. will win: Glenn Gaboa (Newsday), Edna Gundersen (USA Today), Shirley Halperin (Hollywood Reporter), and Gold Derby's Tom O'Neil and Paul Sheehan.
The remaining four are backing Ocean: Phil Gallo (Billboard), Leah Greenblatt (Entertainment Weekly), Lyndsey Parker (Yahoo! Music), and Chris Willman.
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Grammy history may favor Fun. over Ocean. Solo male artists rarely win the category, and though both are tied with six nominations, Fun. is the only artist nominated in all four general field categories (also: Record, Song, and Album of the Year), and those artists usually win the New Artist prize.
None of our experts are predicting a win for any of the other three nominees: Alabama Shakes, Hunter Hayes, or The Lumineers, who have no other nominations in the general field.