Twenty-three of our 25 Oscarologists predict "Argo" will win Best Picture, but two brave pundits still stand by "Lincoln": Sasha Stone (Awards Daily – see her predix here) and Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly – see his predix).
Sasha has been a diehard "Lincoln" soldier for eons, but she briefly caved in to the momentum behind "Argo" after it swept the Producers, Screen Actors' and Directors' Guilds, then climbed back up on her feet and mustered new courage to resume her fight for "Lincoln." Noting how rarely a film has managed to win Best Picture without its director being nommed in modern times (just once – that notorious "Driving Miss Daisy" example), she says, "I have to adhere to the stats in the face of confusion – I am just built that way."
Poor Thom is waffling a bit too. At one point in our podcast chat, he admits that the other 23 Oscarologists may be right, but then he suddenly snaps out of it, rallies behind his choice of "Lincoln" and says, "I find it hard to imagine that when you're filling out a ballot with 26 categories, the only thing you're checking off is 'Argo' for Best Picture. It's possible that it could pick up some technical awards. It might pick up adapted screenplay over 'Lincoln.' It could get editing. But it's kind of hard for me to imagine an 'Argo' sweep, which is what you tend to get with a Best Picture winner."
Yes, that's true, but in our podcast I remind Thom that "Crash" only won three Oscars. Doesn't matter. For now anyway, he remains undeterred.
Every actor submits only one sample episode, which will be judged by other actors (ranging from 25 to 75 per category jury) between July 28 and August 14. TV series submit six, which will be split into three pairs to be distributed randomly to about 300 voters. We now have uncovered every single title submitted for the 2014 races. CLICK HERE FOR THE EPISODES