Roger Deakins won the American Society of Cinematographers award Sunday for "Skyfall." This marks his third ASC win from 11 nominations, having previously prevailed for "The Shawshank Redemption" (1994) and "The Man Who Wasn't There" (2001).
However, as Deakins knows all too well, these guild kudos have only predicted 10 of the past 26 Oscar winners. He did not repeat at the Oscars for either of his previous ASC wins: in 1994, John Toll won for "Legends of the Fall" and in 2001, Andrew Lesnie won for "The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Rings."
"Skyfall" marks Deakin's 10th Oscar bid. Among those he edged out for the ASC award were three of his Oscar rivals -- frontrunner Claudio Miranda ("Life of Pi") who won the BAFTA Sunday; Seamus McGarvey ("Anna Karenina"); and Janusz Kaminski ("Lincoln") -- as well as Danny Cohen ("Les Miserables"). Deakins was absent while Miranda skipped the BAFTAs to be at these awards.
The fifth Oscar nominee is three-time Oscar champ Robert Richardson ("Django Unchained"). He has lost all 10 of his ASC bids over the years.
While the ASC choice for the best in the business has presaged the eventual winner at the Oscars only half the time, the guild has predicted 105 of the 135 Oscar nominees over the past 27 years.
On the TV front, Kramer Morgenthau ("Game of Thrones") and Balazs Bolygo ("Hunted") tied for One-Hour Series while Bradford Lipson ("Wilfred") won the Half-Hour race and Florian Hoffmeister ("Great Expectations") took the Movie/Miniseries prize.
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Below, meet our past winners of recent award prediction contests.
Oscar Nominations: New York state resident Tim Kressner (gufa54) won $1,000 for reaping the highest percentage (78%) when predicting Academy Award noms. Watch our video chat with him here and learn his strategy for making picks. See the leaderboard here. See Kressner's predix here.
Golden Globes (Film): Mario Gomez, a med studen in Mexico, won our contest with the highest percentage of correct picks (86%) and highest point score (2,693). See our video chat with him here. Two other contestants also scored 86%: lulo1989 and eastwest. Tom O'Neil reaped best Experts' score. David Schnelwar had top score among our Editors. See the leaderboard here to see if you made the top tier.
Critics Choice Nominations: Bryce H scored an impressive 83% when sizing up 20 categories. That was one percentage point ahead of our smartest Editor, Daniel Montgomery. Our top Expert was also one of our Editors, Paul Sheehan, who reaped 74%. To see how you performed, check out our leaderboard plus the score section of your account page.
Golden Globe (Film) Nominations: Jonathan was our top User, reaping a staggering 86% when forecasting the lineup of 10 categories. That put him six percentage points ahead of our best Expert -- Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood) -- and eight ahead of our leading Editor, Daniel Montogomery. Did you made the cut on the leaderboard score breakdown?
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Award Winners: Christian aced all rivals, scoring 82%. That was almost 20 percentage points ahead of our top Expert (Edward Douglas of ComingSoon ) and Editor (Matt Noble), both of whom earned scores of 64%. Christian foresaw that surprise screenplay win for "Before Midnight." See leaderboard.