What a crazy Oscar race! 4 films jockeyed for lead

By Tom O'Neil
By Tom O'Neil
Feb 15 2013 19:11 pm
8
See Tom's
Predictions
Dec 21 2014 20:08 pm
Get Gold Derby's free news alerts and predictions

Usually, the Oscar race for Best Picture involves two films jockeying for the lead -- like "The King's Speech" vs. "The Social Network" (2010) or "The Hurt Locker" vs. "Avatar" (2009). However, this derby season has been extraordinary -- four films have moved in and out of the front position six times.

"Silver Linings Playbook" initially broke out of the pack at the Toronto International Film Festival back in September, then "Les Miserables" leapt ahead in mid-October after word spread that audiences went wild for it at a secret test screening in Hollywood. A week later, "Argo" opened and quickly grabbed the lead thanks to boffo b.o. and huzzahs from film critics -- and there it remained for more than a month.

RELATED: See latest predictions of 25 top Oscarologists

That is, up until "Les Miserables" was finally shown to Hollywood industry insiders, who greeted it with cheers, tears and loud applause. To the vast crowd who first saw it at Grauman's Chinese Theater in late November, "Les Miz" seemed to live up to its early promise. Most of Gold Derby's Oscar pundits were in attendance and they rushed home afterward to shove it back into the frontrunner position now that they'd finally seen it.

But that was before the macho bullies emerged and started pummeling "Les Miz" into saw dust. Our Oscarologists abandoned it within three weeks. Then "Lincoln" surged ahead after it snagged the most nominations from the Golden Globes and the Critics' Choice Awards.

"Lincoln" remained in the lead until "Argo" bagged the Golden Globe and Producers' Guild of America Award. It's remained the frontrunner thereafter.
 

SEPT. 9
1. ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
2. ‘Lincoln’
3. ‘Argo’
4. ‘Les Miz’
5. ‘The Master’
 OCT. 15
1. ‘Les Miz’
2. ‘Argo’
3. ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
4. ‘Lincoln’
5. ‘Life of Pi’
OCT. 22
1. ‘Argo’
2. ‘Les Miz’
3. ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
4. ‘Lincoln’
5. ‘Zero Dark Thirty’
 
NOV. 26
1. ‘Les Miz’
2. ‘Argo’
3. ‘Lincoln’
4. ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
5. ‘Zero Dark Thirty’
DEC. 17
1. ‘Lincoln’
2. ‘Zero Dark Thirty’
3. ‘Argo’
4. ‘Les Miz’
5. ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
JAN. 10
1. ‘Lincoln’
2. ‘Argo’
3. ‘Zero Dark Thirty’
4. ‘Les Miz’
5. ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
JAN. 25
1. ‘Argo’
2. ‘Lincoln’
3. ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
4. ‘Life of Pi’
5. ‘Zero Dark Thirty’
FEB. 15
1. ‘Argo’
2. ‘Lincoln’
3. ‘Silver Linings Playbook’
4. ‘Life of Pi’
5. ‘Zero Dark Thirty’ 
 

 

 
Related News
Make your Oscars & reality TV predictions. Win prizes.
pop up close

Advertisement

Content on this page requires a newer version of Adobe Flash Player.

Get Adobe Flash player

Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

Oscars Predictions by Top Experts

See the latest Oscar predictions of our famous pundits — Click Here. See the category rankings when their predictions are combined - Click Here. Sample below. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Experts
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
7/2
2 BirdmanBirdman
6/1
3 SelmaSelma
13/2
4 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
8/1
5 The Theory of EverythingThe Theory of Everything
10/1
6 WhiplashWhiplash
16/1
7 The Grand Budapest HotelThe Grand Budapest Hotel
16/1
8 Gone GirlGone Girl
20/1
9 UnbrokenUnbroken
20/1
10 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
20/1
See complete statistics by Clicking Here
Hot Links from the Web
Photo Galleries: Oscars, Emmys, ...
Latest Forum Posts
INHERENT VICE Thread
Goldderby Q&A Thread (Pt. 22)
Tirez sur le pianiste Eyes Without a Face Delicatessan Le Samourai Le Cha..
The Colbert Report series finale
I'm sure he is rather going to submit either the Barack Obama episode, or the on..
Subscribe to our free news service

Advertisement