As our odds predicted, "Skyfall" won the top Golden Reel Award bestowed by the Motion Picture Sound Editors on Sunday. Among those it edged out for Sound Effects Editing: Foley were three of its Oscar rivals for Sound Editing -- "Argo," "Django Unchained"and "Life of Pi."
However, "Skyfall" is not expected to repeat at the Academy Awards. Despite being snubbed by the MPSE, "Zero Dark Thirty" is far ahead in the Oscar race, with the backing of 12 of our 21 experts, three editors and almost two-thirds of our users. That support translates to leading odds of 9/4.
"Skyfall" is fourth for the Oscar, with one expert, one editor and about 10% of users predicting it to prevail. Making a stronger run are "Life of Pi" (3 experts, 3 editors, 15% of users) and "Argo" (5 editors, 1 expert, 5% of users). "Django Unchained" has only the backing of 1% of users.
"Life of Pi" picked up two MPSE awards -- Dialogue (over frontrunner "Argo") and Music in a Feature Film -- while "Les Miserables" won the Music in a Musical Film award.
As expected, "Wreck-It Ralph" prevailed in the animated category. However, "Last Call at the Oasis" surprised in the Documentary race over "Marley" and "Rust and Bone" prevailed in Foreign-Language Film over "Amour."
Winners were announced during a ceremony at the Westin Bonaventure Hotel in Los Angeles. Ang Lee received the filmmaker award and Foley artist John Roesch was feted for career achievement.
Last year, "War Horse" won this precursor prize" but lost the Oscar to "Hugo." The other Oscar nominees were "Drive," "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" and "Transformers: Dark of the Moon."
"Super 8," which led with three MPSE bids, won dialogue & ADR. It was snubbed by the Oscars in both sound categories.
In 2010, "Inception" won two of its three bids -- sound effects & foley and music -- while "The Social Network" won dialogue & ADR. "True Grit," which won over the Cinema Audio Society for its sound mixing, was shut out. At the Oscars, "Inception" prevailed over "Toy Story 3," "TRON: Legacy," "True Grit" and "Unstoppable."
In 2009, "Avatar" won the same two MPSE races as "Inception" but lost the Oscar race to "The Hurt Locker." Among the other also-rans was "Inglorious Basterds" which had won the dialogue & ADR award at the MPSE.
Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever
Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.