Last Sunday's WGA Awards threw a wrench into Oscar's Best Adapted Screenplay race, with "Argo" scribe Chris Terrio defeating presumed frontrunner Tony Kushner ("Lincoln") and further establishing that film's status as Best Picture frontrunner. Can Kushner still win, or have his hopes now been dashed?
Terrio's screenplay is now ahead in the Oscar race with 17/10 odds, with support from 21 out of 26 experts, eight out of nine editors, and 54% of users.
Before winning the WGA Award, Terrio was awarded by the Los Angeles Film Critics Association, the Online Film Critics Society, and the USC Scripter Awards. He was also nominated by BAFTA, Critics' Choice, and the Golden Globes.
Kushner's script ranks second with 3/1 odds. Five experts and 32% of users think he will win.
This season, he has won awards from Critics' Choice, the National Society of Film Critics, the New York Film Critics Circle, and the Chicago Film Critics Association. He was also nominated by BAFTA, the Golden Globes, and the WGA.
This is Kushner's second Oscar nomination. He was previously nominated in this category for co-writing "Munich," also for Steven Spielberg.
Russell has won writing awards from BAFTA and the National Board of Review and was nominated by Critics' Choice, the Golden Globes, and the WGA. He also contends at the Spirit Awards for his screenplay.
Including his bid for directing "Silver Linings," this is Russell's third Oscar nomination and his first for writing.