Our editors and users agree that he is all but certain to take home Emmy #3 this year. With the backing of seven editors and two-thirds of users, he has leading odds of 19 to 10.
RELATED: You decide: Who will win the Emmys
Sam Waterston, who contended unsuccessfully in the lead race for his last two drama series -- "Law & Order" and "I'll Fly Away" -- is likely to reap a bid for the first season of "The Newsroom." However, he has odds of only 10 to 1.
While Paul's co-star Jonathan Banks is likely to land his first nomination, he has odds of only 12 to 1.
These are the guys you need to beat to win our prizes for best 'Survivor' and 'Amazing Race' predictions
Now you can predict these events at Gold Derby: ACM & MTV Movie Awards, Emmy & Daytime Emmy nominations, "Survivor," "American Idol" and "Dancing with the Stars."
Below: Leaderboards of our current weekly champs. There is still time for YOU to pull ahead of these folks before end of TV season. Make your predix now.