However, four of our experts -- Michael Fairman (Michael Fairman Soaps), Roger Newcomb (We Love Soaps) and Gold Derby's Tom O'Neil and Paul Sheehan -- are predicting it to prevail this year with its seventh bid.
One of our experts -- Dan Kroll (Soap Central) -- is backing reigning champ "General Hospital." It has already racked up a record 11 wins as Best Drama Series -- 1981, 1984, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2011 -- from 23 nominations.
Another expert -- Nelson Branco (Soap Opera Uncensored) -- forecasts victory for "One Life to Live" -- axed by ABC last year but back online now -- to win a bookend to its 2002 prize. It has only been nominated five times in 40 years.
None of our experts expect "The Young and the Restless" -- which has seven wins (1975, 1983, 1985, 1986, 1993, 2004, 2007) from a record 32 nominations -- to take the top award.
Nor do they foresee a win for NBC's lone daytime drama -- "Days of Our Lives." That sudser, which began in 1965, has only one win (1978) from 16 nominations. It was a suprise nominee last year. Prior to that it last contended in 2009 and before that it had been a decade since this show was nominated. Compare that to a run of six straight bids starting with the first Daytime Emmys in 1974.
See how our experts rank predictions in each category. See charts detailing their racetrack odds (click "More" within each category box to see extended data). Review contenders here and enter your predictions here.
Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever
Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.