Prediction: Justin Timberlake will win MTV VMA for Best Male Video
Blurred Lines (Song)
, Robin Thicke
, Will Smith
, Kendrick Lamar
, Ed Sheeran
, Chris Brown
, Bruno Mars
, Justin Timberlake
, MTV Video Music Awards 2013 - Video of the Year
, MTV Video Music Awards 2013 - Best Male Video
BEST MALE VIDEO
Kendrick Lamar – "Swimming Pools (Drank)"
Bruno Mars – "Locked Out Of Heaven"
Ed Sheeran – "Lego House"
Robin Thicke f/ T.I. & Pharrell – "Blurred Lines"
Justin Timberlake – "Mirrors"
FRONTRUNNER: Justin Timberlake – "Mirrors"
TOUGHEST COMPETITION: Robin Thicke f/ T.I. & Pharrell – "Blurred Lines"
Bruno Mars, Robin Thicke, and Justin Timberlake are also competing for Video of the Year.
Timberlake leads with six nominations this year. Mars and Thicke are nominated for four moonmen apiece.
Kendrick Lamar is also up for Best Hip-Hop Video. This is Ed Sheeran's only bid.
Eminem is the biggest winner in this category's 29-year history with three wins. He's MTV's male equivalent to Madonna, who has prevailed three times for Best Female Video.
Justin Timberlake is a previous two-time champ in this race and has only lost once – to Usher in 2004. He's tied with the most victories here with Tom Petty, Beck, Will Smith and Chris Brown. If he triumphs again, he'll tie Eminem's record. Timberlake's toughest competition is Robin Thicke, whose "Blurred Lines" has topped Billboard's Hot 100 for the past 10 weeks and counting.
I predict Timberlake will win Best Male Video.
Gold Derby's prediction center agrees. Combining the forecasts of our Editors, Users and Top 24 Users, it ranks contenders with these racetrack odds:
1. Timberlake – 8/13
2. Thicke – 27/10
3. Mars – 10/1
4. Sheeran – 100/1
5. Lamar – 100/1
Gold Derby prediction rankings and racetrack odds on all top MTV VMA races
See MTV VMA predictions by Gold Derby editors
See MTV VMA predictions by Gold Derby's Top 24 Users