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Experts' Emmy predictions: 'Breaking Bad' will win Best Drama Series

By Tom O'Neil
By Tom O'Neil
Sep 18 2013 14:48 pm
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"Breaking Bad" has broken out of the pack of Emmy nominees for Best Drama to emerge as the overwhelming frontrunner among the experts polled by Gold Derby. See their rankings here.

As you can observe from looking at our chart, "Breaking Bad" was initially tied with last year's champ "Homeland" soon after nominations were announced in July, but its strength has grown consistently and dramatically ever since.

Currently, it leads the experts' predictions with 1 to 3 odds over "Homeland" with 6 to 1, "Game of Thrones" at 14 to 1 and "House of Cards" at 50 to 1. See full odds rundown here.

Experts backing "Breaking Bad": Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum and Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Mike Cidoni and Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), A.J. Hammer (CNN HLN Showbiz Tonight), Melanie McFarland (IMDB), Tom O'Neil and Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Steve Pond (TheWrap), Piya Sinha-Roy (Reuters), Ken Tucker (freelance) and Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times).

Team "Homeland": Daniel Manu (TelevisionWithoutPity), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood). Picking "Game of Thrones": Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly).

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Six out of eight Gold Derby's editors also bet on "Breaking Bad": Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble, David Schnelwar plus O'Neil and Sheehan. Two opt for "Homeland": Chris Beachum and Marcus Dixon. See their rankings.

Our Top 24 Users who scored best last year when predicting Emmys are now split over which program is ahead: 11 pick "Breaking Bad," 11 choose "Homeland" and one opts for "Game of Thrones." See their breakdown. Compare that to what all of our site users think: 59% pick "Breaking Bad," 22% say "Homeland" and 9% say "Game of Thrones." See more.

Below: Make your predictions now and try to beat the experts.

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Inside Track: Emmy Voting

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Every actor submits only one sample episode, which will be judged by other actors (ranging from 25 to 75 per category jury) between July 28 and August 14. TV series submit six, which will be split into three pairs to be distributed randomly to about 300 voters. We now have uncovered every single title submitted for the 2014 races. CLICK HERE FOR THE EPISODES

We analyze the pros and cons
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Who submitted well? Click links below to read our in-depth analysis of each actor's episode entry. 

DRAMA GUEST ACTOR
Dylan Baker ("The Good Wife")
Beau Bridges ("Masters of Sex")
Reg E. Cathey ("House of Cards")
Paul Giamatti ("Downton Abbey") 
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obert Morse ("Mad Men")
Joe Morton ("Scandal")


DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS
Kate Burton ("Scandal")
Jane Fonda ("The Newsroom")
Allison Janney ("Masters of Sex")
Kate Mara ("House of Cards")
Margo Martindale ("The Americans")
Diana Rigg ("Game of Thrones")
 

COMEDY GUEST ACTOR
Steve Buscemi ("Portlandia")
Louis C.K. ("SNL")
Gary Cole ("Veep")
Jimmy Fallon ("SNL")
Nathan Lane ("Modern Family")
Bob Newhart ("The Big Bang Theory")
 

COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS
Uzo Aduba ("OITNB")
Laverne Cox ("OITNB")
Joan Cusack ("Shameless")
Tina Fey ("SNL")
Melissa McCarthy ("SNL")
Natasha Lyonne ("OITNB")

 

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