As you can observe from looking at our chart, "Breaking Bad" was initially tied with last year's champ "Homeland" soon after nominations were announced in July, but its strength has grown consistently and dramatically ever since.
Currently, it leads the experts' predictions with 1 to 3 odds over "Homeland" with 6 to 1, "Game of Thrones" at 14 to 1 and "House of Cards" at 50 to 1. See full odds rundown here.
Experts backing "Breaking Bad": Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum and Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Mike Cidoni and Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), A.J. Hammer (CNN HLN Showbiz Tonight), Melanie McFarland (IMDB), Tom O'Neil and Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Steve Pond (TheWrap), Piya Sinha-Roy (Reuters), Ken Tucker (freelance) and Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times).
Six out of eight Gold Derby's editors also bet on "Breaking Bad": Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble, David Schnelwar plus O'Neil and Sheehan. Two opt for "Homeland": Chris Beachum and Marcus Dixon. See their rankings.
Our Top 24 Users who scored best last year when predicting Emmys are now split over which program is ahead: 11 pick "Breaking Bad," 11 choose "Homeland" and one opts for "Game of Thrones." See their breakdown. Compare that to what all of our site users think: 59% pick "Breaking Bad," 22% say "Homeland" and 9% say "Game of Thrones." See more.
Below: Make your predictions now and try to beat the experts.
"Homeland" is a two-time nominee as Best Drama Series that won this category last year. It is a Showtime program starring Claire Danes and Damian Lewis about a CIA agent and former POW. It won a total of six Emmys for its freshman season out of nine nominations. It has 11 nominations in 2013.
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See contenders' momentum in easy-to-read graphs here. Click links on left side of that page to see more categories. Click here to see the racetrack odds generated when the Experts' predix are combined.
Jonathan was our top User at predicting the Golden Globe film nominations. He scored a staggering 86% when forecasting the lineup of 10 categories. That put him six percentage points ahead of our best Expert -- Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood) -- and eight ahead of our leading Editor, Daniel Montogomery.
Christian aced the winners of the Los Angeles Film Critics Assn., scoring 82%. That was almost 20 percentage points ahead of our top Expert (Edward Douglas of ComingSoon ) and Editor (Matt Noble), both of whom earned scores of 64%. Christian foresaw that surprise screenplay win for "Before Midnight."
Cinemateo21 tied with one other User (dottardi) at 34% of the winners of the National Board of Review awards. However, he wagered his points strategically and scored three times as many to win the contest. Both are to be commended as only three of our editors got even one winner correct while our Experts were shut out entirely.
Likewise, Ryan Fernand tied with RobertPius at 67% of the winners of the New York Film Critics Circle but won on points. His margin of victory in that tally was closer (about 30% difference) but highlights how important it is where you place your Super (500 points) and Big (200) bets.
All of them win a $100 Amazon gift certificate as do Buddy (67% of Globe TV noms), me123 (78% of SAG TV noms) and trebor76 (80% of Grammy noms).
Hurry up and give us your predix for the Critics' Choice nominations, which will be unveiled on Monday. Be our next winner.
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