Gold Derby polled 18 experts to predict this year's Primetime Emmy Awards, and despite a slew of upsets in several top races, two finished ahead of all others with a score of 47%: Melanie McFarland (IMDb) and AJ Hammer (HLN Showbiz Tonight).
Hammer was one of the few to predict the surprise victories by "Undercover Boss" as Best Reality Series and Ellen Burstyn ("Political Animals") as Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actress. He also predicted the top Emmy wins for "Breaking Bad," "Modern Family," and "Behind the Candelabra."
McFarland also predicted Burstyn's win, as well as the top program awards for "Breaking," "Modern," and "Candelabra," but she also went out on a limb for "The Colbert Report," which shocked by winning Best Variety Series against 10-time winner "The Daily Show."
Six experts predicted 37% of winners: Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Mike Cidoni (Associated Press), Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Debra Birnbaum (TV Guide Magazine), Glenn Whipp (LA Times), and Gold Derby's Paul Sheehan.
Four made predictions with 30% accuracy: Robert Bianco (USA Today), Daniel Manu (TV Without Pity), Piya Sinha-Roy (Reuters), and Ken Tucker. Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly) predicted 27% of winners.
AJ Hammer (HLN Showbiz Tonight)
Melanie McFarland (IMDb)
Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine)
Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby)
Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood)
Debra Birnbaum (TV Guide Magazine)
Mike Cidoni (Associated Press)
Lynn Elber (Associated Press)
Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter)
Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby)
Glenn Whipp (LA Times)
Robert Bianco (USA Today)
Daniel Manu (TV Without Pity)
Piya Sinha-Roy (Reuters)
Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly)
Steve Pond (The Wrap)
Sasha Stone (Awards Daily)
Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever
Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.