More than 420 Gold Derby readers predicted the winners of this year's National Board of Review Awards. In total, our Users logged more than 2,600 predictions. To see how you fared, log in to your account and under your profile picture click National Board of Review Awards 2013.
The tastes of the NBR proved much harder to pin down than the New York Film Critics Circle, which announced their winners on December 3. No one predicted that "Her" would win Best Picture and Best Director. Only four predicted Emma Thompson's Best Actress win for "Saving Mr. Banks." and only one anticipated Octavia Spencer's Best Supporting Actress victory for "Fruitvale Station."
The NBR's choices were so unpredictable that our best users -- Cinemateo21 and dottardi -- correctly picked only one third of winners. Both foresaw the Best Actor win for Bruce Dern ("Nebraska") and the Original Screenplay win for "Inside Llewyn Davis."
That's far ahead of our editors. Only three out of the seven -- Chris Beachum, Charles Bright, and Daniel Montgomery -- were correct in any categories, with one apiece. All three had the same correct prediction: Best Animated Feature for "The Wind Rises."
Overall, users had the best average (6%), narrowly outperforming editors (5%). That means that any bold NBR predictor with any correct predictions scored above the average.
It's a fantasy to believe that Oscar voters love thes types of films. Over the past 85 years, only 33 movies with major fantasy themes have been nominated for Best Picture. And just one of these -- "Lord of the Rings: Return of the King" (2003) -- won the top prize.
However, some of the flicks have prevailed in other big categories. Acting Oscars went to players featured in "Miracle on 34th Street" (Edmund Gwenn), "Mary Poppins" (Julie Andrews), "Ghost" (Whoopi Goldberg), and "Black Swan" (Natalie Portman). "Midnight in Paris" (Woody Allen) took home screenplay honors. "Life of Pi" (Ang Lee) triumphed in directing. And many audio and visual trophies have been awarded over the years.
Take a tour through these 33 Best Picture nominees, starting with one of the most enduring classics of all time: "The Wizard of Oz" (1939).
Based on the children's book by L. Frank Baum, the film is about Dorothy Gale (Judy Garland), who is swept away to a magical land in a tornado and embarks on a quest to see the Wizard who can help her return home. At the Oscars, it had six overall nominations and won for Original Score and Original Song ("Over the Rainbow"). It lost the Best Picture race to "Gone with the Wind."
Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever
Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.