See how you did predicting National Board of Review

By Gold Derby News Desk
By Gold Derby News Desk
Dec 04 2013 16:14 pm
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nbr national board of review awards winners predictions

More than 420 Gold Derby readers predicted the winners of this year's National Board of Review Awards. In total, our Users logged more than 2,600 predictions. To see how you fared, log in to your account and under your profile picture click National Board of Review Awards 2013.

Click here for a breakdown of all top scorers. To see how our predictions fared by category, click here.

The tastes of the NBR proved much harder to pin down than the New York Film Critics Circle, which announced their winners on December 3. No one predicted that "Her" would win Best Picture and Best Director. Only four predicted Emma Thompson's Best Actress win for "Saving Mr. Banks." and only one anticipated Octavia Spencer's Best Supporting Actress victory for "Fruitvale Station."

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The NBR's choices were so unpredictable that our best users -- Cinemateo21 and dottardi -- correctly picked only one third of winners. Both foresaw the Best Actor win for Bruce Dern ("Nebraska") and the Original Screenplay win for "Inside Llewyn Davis."

That's far ahead of our editors. Only three out of the seven -- Chris Beachum, Charles Bright, and Daniel Montgomery -- were correct in any categories, with one apiece. All three had the same correct prediction: Best Animated Feature for "The Wind Rises."

Four experts predicted NBR -- Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Tariq Khan (Fox News), and Gold Derby's Tom O'Neil and Paul Sheehan -- but all were shut out.

Overall, users had the best average (6%), narrowly outperforming editors (5%). That means that any bold NBR predictor with any correct predictions scored above the average.

Oscars: Curse Against Fantasy & Sci-Fi Films

'The Wizard of Oz' (1939)
'Here Comes Mr. Jordan' (1941)
'Heaven Can Wait' (1943)
'Anchors Aweigh' (1945)
'It's a Wonderful Life' (1946)
'Miracle on 34th Street' (1947)
'Mary Poppins' (1964)
'Doctor Dolittle' (1967)
'A Clockwork Orange' (1971)
'The Exorcist' (1973)
'Star Wars' (1977)
'Heaven Can Wait' (1978)
'E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial' (1982)
'Field of Dreams' (1989)
'Ghost' (1990)
'Beauty and the Beast' (1991)
'Babe' (1995)
'The Green Mile' (1999)
'The Sixth Sense' (1999)
'Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring' (2001)
'Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers' (2002)
'Lord of the Rings: Return of the King' (2003)
'Curious Case of Benjamin Button' (2008)
'Avatar' (2009)
'District 9' (2009)
'Up' (2009)
'Black Swan' (2010)
'Inception' (2010)
'Toy Story 3' (2010)
'Hugo' (2011)
'Midnight in Paris' (2011)
'The Tree of Life' (2011)
'Life of Pi' (2012)
'Gravity' (2013)
'The Wizard of Oz' (1939)

It's a fantasy to believe that Oscar voters love thes types of films. Over the past 85 years, only 33 movies with major fantasy themes have been nominated for Best Picture. And just one of these -- "Lord of the Rings: Return of the King" (2003) -- won the top prize.

However, some of the flicks have prevailed in other big categories. Acting Oscars went to players featured in "Miracle on 34th Street" (Edmund Gwenn), "Mary Poppins" (Julie Andrews), "Ghost" (Whoopi Goldberg), and "Black Swan" (Natalie Portman). "Midnight in Paris" (Woody Allen) took home screenplay honors. "Life of Pi" (Ang Lee) triumphed in directing. And many audio and visual trophies have been awarded over the years.

Take a tour through these 33 Best Picture nominees, starting with one of the most enduring classics of all time: "The Wizard of Oz" (1939).

Based on the children's book by L. Frank Baum, the film is about Dorothy Gale (Judy Garland), who is swept away to a magical land in a tornado and embarks on a quest to see the Wizard who can help her return home. At the Oscars, it had six overall nominations and won for Original Score and Original Song ("Over the Rainbow"). It lost the Best Picture race to "Gone with the Wind."

 
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Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever

Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Experts
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
9/2
2 UnbrokenUnbroken
6/1
3 BirdmanBirdman
15/2
4 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
15/2
5 The Theory of EverythingThe Theory of Everything
12/1
6 InterstellarInterstellar
12/1
7 Gone GirlGone Girl
12/1
8 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
16/1
9 American SniperAmerican Sniper
33/1
10 SelmaSelma
33/1
See complete statistics by Clicking Here
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