Will 'Blue Jasmine' break into Oscars Best Picture race?
On Thursday, "Blue Jasmine" reaped a Best Picture bid from the Producers Guild of America. That nomination came at the expense of "Inside Llewyn Davis" and "The Butler." Over the past four years, this guild has enjoyed an 80% success rate at forecasting the eventual slate of Best Picture nominees at the Oscars.
Remember, to be among the Best Picture nominees at the Oscars-- which will vary from five to 10 depending on the voting -- you need only to have a small but passionate group of supporters. Two years ago, Allen's last big hit -- "Midnight in Paris" -- landed a Best Picture bid. It also earned directing and original screenplay nominations for Allen -- he won the latter for a record-breaking third time -- as well as an Art Direction nod.
While Allen is unlikely to break into this year's Best Director race, he is all but certain to earn his 16th Original Screenplay nomination, extending his record in that race; he picked up his 21st WGA nomination on Friday. And, unlike "Midnight in Paris," this picture has a sure-fire acting contender in Cate Blanchett who is the clear frontrunner for Best Actress.
Her performance as a wealthy society matron whose life falls apart when the money runs out may well resonate with those academy voters who spend too much time obsessing about their status and position in Hollywood.
Besides Blanchett, the cast include current Golden Globe nominee Sally Hawkins, all-time SAG champ Alec Baldwin, two-time Emmy winner Bobby Cannavale and Oscar contender Peter Sarsgaard. While it was somewhat surprising that "Blue Jasmine" did not reap an Ensemble bid at the SAG Awards, that category is limited to five films.
Might "Blue Jasmine" replace another of our current top 10 when Oscar nominations are announced on Jan. 18?
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