How many Oscars will 'Boyhood' win?

By Paul Sheehan
By Paul Sheehan
Jul 14 2014 11:11 am
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"Boyhood" did boffo box office this weekend in its first weekend of very limited release. This slice-of-life, which follows Ellar Coltrane's character as he ages from 6 to 18, played just five theaters in Gotham and LA but took in $360,000. That strong showing was buoyed by its jaw-dropping reviews: an unprecedented perfect 100 at Rotten Tomatoes and a stellar 99 at Metacritic

It is never too early to dish the Oscars
Join the fierce fight going on right now in our red-hot forums

The awards pedigree of the talent involved in this IFC release is top-notch. Writer/director Richard Linklater shared in two screenplay Oscar bids with his "Before" trilogy leads Julie Delpy and Ethan Hawke. Hawke features in "Boyhood" as the father of Coltrane's character while Emmy champ Patricia Arquette ("Medium") plays his mother. 

Our forums are on fire as posters debate as to the likeliest Oscar categories in which "Boyhood" could contend. Follow the fight and, if you dare, jump in here.

Will 'Boyhood' be nominated for Best Picture at Oscars? 

Below, just a sampler of their comments

Logan: It opened brilliantly in five theaters this weekend, and it has Cynthia Schwartz on its campaign now. I'd consider it to be a factor in Picture, Director, Screenplay, Supp. Actress (Arquette), and - though perhaps less likely - editing.

ibbster: Judging from the critical response, surely it's going to sweep the major critics prizes. That metacritic score is unprecedented for a new American release with that many reviews counted. And I have to imagine that the directors branch is itching to give Linklater a nomination here. 

DominicCobb: This could perform like the Tree of Life I think.

MalickFanboy: This seems like "Her" all over again. Best case scenario, it wins screenplay. The end.

vinny: This WILL be an Oscar contender in many catagories. I kinda am hoping for a best actor nomination as well. 

What do you think? Have your say here

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Oscars: Do They Hate Kids?

'Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2' (2011)
'Hugo' (2011)
'Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close' (2011)
Judy Garland in 'The Wizard of Oz' (1939)
Henry Thomas in 'E.T.' (1982)
'Oliver!' (1968)
Justin Henry in 'Kramer vs. Kramer' (1979)
Freddie Highmore in 'Finding Neverland' (2004)
Tatum O'Neal in 'Paper Moon' (1973)
Keisha Castle-Hughes ('Whale Rider,' 2003)
Jackie Cooper in 'Skippy' (1931)
"Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2" (2011)

"Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2" certainly deserved to be nominated for Best Picture, according to two key measures. Film critics loved it (87 score at Metacritic) and film-goers too (highest-grossing film of 2011 with $381 million in U.S. ticket sales). However, all serious Oscarologists knew that academy members would shrug it off because voters almost always treat kid-centric films as, well, kid's stuff.

Take, for example, "Billy Elliot" and "Home Alone" in past years -- both got overlooked for Best Picture too. Yes, "Toy Story 3" recently got nommed for the top Oscar, but only when the list was expanded to 10 entries. The first two installments got skunked when only five films could be nominated.

Daniel Radcliffe is keenly aware of this bias too. "I don't think the Oscars like commercial films, or kids' films, unless they're directed by Martin Scorsese," he recently growled to reporters. "I was watching 'Hugo' the other day and going, 'Why is this nominated and we're not?' I was slightly miffed."
 

Keep reading: Click the right-pointing arrow beside the photo above.

- Tom O'Neil

 
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Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever

Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Experts
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
9/2
2 UnbrokenUnbroken
6/1
3 BirdmanBirdman
15/2
4 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
15/2
5 The Theory of EverythingThe Theory of Everything
12/1
6 InterstellarInterstellar
12/1
7 Gone GirlGone Girl
12/1
8 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
16/1
9 American SniperAmerican Sniper
33/1
10 SelmaSelma
33/1
See complete statistics by Clicking Here
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