Blog: News & Views

SAG vs. AMPAS: By the numbers

By Paul Sheehan
Dec 17 2010 23:16 pm

Just how many of the Screen Actors Guild Awards nominees will go on to contend at the Oscars? The 2100 SAG members who sit on the nominating committee have proven to be remarkably prescient at predicting which performances will find favor with the 1205 voters in the acting branch of the academy.

Last year, a staggering 19 of the 20 SAG nominees also reaped Oscar bids. The only difference of opinion came in the Supporting Actress race: SAG went with Diane Kruger ("Inglorious Basterds") while Oscar nominators were more impressed by late-entry Maggie Gyllenhaal ("Crazy Heart"). All four of the SAG champs -- leads Jeff Bridges ("Crazy Heart") and Sandra Bullock ("The Blind Side") and supporting players Mo'Nique ("Precious") and Christoph Waltz ("Inglorious Basterds") -- also prevailed at the Oscars.

In 2008, 18 of the 19 SAG acting nominees repeated at the Oscars. As double SAG nominee Kate Winslet was bumped up by the Oscars from supporting to lead for "The Reader," she was denied a lead Oscar bid for "Revolutionary Road." She won both awards for "The Reader" while Meryl Streep took the SAG lead prize for "Doubt." With that promotion of Winslet, the Oscars had room for the addition of Marisa Tomei ("The Wrestler") in the supporting race -- she lost to Penelope Cruz ("Vicky Christina Barcelona"). Michael Shannon ("Revolutionary Road") knocked SAG supporting nominee Dev Patel of "Slumdog Millionaire" out of contention at the Oscars -- they both lost their respective races to Heath Ledger ("The Dark Knight"). The lead actor roster matched up perfectly and Sean Penn ("Milk") won both prizes.

Three years ago, 15 of the 20 SAG nominees went on to compete at the Oscars. The only SAG lead actress nominee not needing a babysitter come Oscar night was Angelina Jolie ("A Mighty Heart"), whose spot went to "The Savages" star Laura Linney. While Julie Christie ("Away From Her") prevailed at SAG, Marion Cotillard ("La Vie en Rose") was the champ on Oscar night. The supporting actress race also went four for five with SAG nominee Catherine Keener ("Into the Wild") replaced by Saoirse Ronan of "Atonement." While Ruby Dee ("American Gangster") won over the SAG voters, it was Tilda Swinton ("Michael Clayton") who took home the Oscar.

The 2007 lead actor Oscar race went three for five as SAG nominees and relative newcomers Emile Hirsch ("Into the Wild") and Ryan Gosling ("Lars and the Real Girl") were replaced by Hollywood vets Johnny Depp ("Sweeney Todd") and Tommy Lee Jones ("In the Valley of Elah"). Daniel Day-Lewis ("There Will Be Blood") won both awards. While SAG supporting nominee Tommy Lee Jones ("No Country for Old Men") was replaced by Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Charlie Wilson's War"), it was Javier Bardem ("No Country") who took both races.

In 2006, a staggering 19 of the 20 SAG nominees contended at the Oscars with the one variation coming from the same film -- "The Departed" -- as SAG supporting nominee Leonardo DiCaprio was replaced at Oscar time by Mark Wahlberg. And the supporting actor race was the only one with different winners -- Eddie Murphy ("Dreamgirls") at SAG and Alan Arkin ("Little Miss Sunshine") at the Oscars. Forest Whitaker ("The Last King of Scotland"), Helen Mirren ("The Queen") and Jennifer Hudson ("Dreamgirls") won both awards.

Related News


Content on this page requires a newer version of Adobe Flash Player.

Get Adobe Flash player

Reality TV Predix

See top scores among Derbyites predicting this week's episodes and the whole seasons so far. See full leaderboards here -- did you make the lists? Prizes include $100 Amazon gift certificates plus your own personal chats with hosts Jeff Probst and Phil Keoghan.

CLICK HERE to log your predictions for lots of reality TV series, including "American Idol," "Dancing with the Stars" and "The Voice" plus Emmys and MTV Movie Awards. Learn more HERE. And see latest odds HERE.

News Headlines
Subscribe to our free news service
Photo Galleries: Emmys & More
Latest Forum Posts
Movie Yearbook 2014: Films You've S..
Hits:The Wind RisesThe Grand Budapest HotelMr Peabody & ShermanCaptain America T..
Long Shot Nominations You'd Love to..
Sufe Bradshaw -- Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series for Veep
Official RUPAUL REALITY Thread (S6 ..
What do we have to do to get RuPaul nominated for Reality Show host at the Emmy ..
Best Song Game
"Yesterday" Tracy Chapman
This Performance or That? PT 2
Frances Conroy, American Horror Story: Coven Jerry Seinfeld, Seinfeld vs. Fr..
Film Titles A-Z
I Think I Love My Wife
Best Performance Game
The Sand Pebbles Forest Whitaker