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Experts clash predicting SAG Awards

By Marcus James Dixon
By Marcus James Dixon
Jan 30 2011 16:00 pm
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Our panel of pundits generally agreed that the four Oscar frontrunners for acting -- Colin Firth ("The King's Speech"), Natalie Portman ("Black Swan") and "The Fighter" supporting players Christian Bale and Melissa Leo -- would prevail at the Screen Actors Guild Awards. However, they wrere divided as to what film will win Best Ensemble with "The Fighter," "The King's Speech" and "The Social Network" all logging votes.

On the TV side, our experts split on all the categories save female actor in a telefilm or mini-series where everyone expected Emmy and Golden Globe champ Claire Danes to repeat for "Temple Grandin." In the equivalent male race, almost all of our pundits forecast Al Pacino to win for "You Don't Know Jack." Beyond that, the TV races had varying degrees of predictability.

Our experts are: Tim Appelo (Hollywood Reporter), Erik Davis (Cinematical), Greg Ellwood (HitFix), Scott Feinberg (Scott Feinberg), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Joseph Kapsch (Zap2It), Dave Karger (EW), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Kevin Lewin (WENN), Guy Lodge (InContention), Michael Musto (Village Voice), Tom O'Neil (The Envelope, Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (NextMovie), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Bob Tourtellotte (Reuters), Chuck Walton (Fandango), and Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today).

See these pundits' Oscar predictions HERE. See racetrack odds based upon those predix HERE.


FILM AWARDS


BEST FILM ACTOR

Jeff Bridges, "True Grit"
Robert Duvall, "Get Low"
Jesse Eisenberg, "The Social Network" -- Polowy
Colin Firth, "The King's Speech" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Khan, Lewin, Lodge, Musto, O'Neil, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna
James Franco, "127 Hours"

BEST FILM ACTRESS
Annette Bening, "The Kids Are All Right"
Nicole Kidman, "Rabbit Hole"
Jennifer Lawrence, "Winter's Bone"
Natalie Portman, "Black Swan" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Khan, Lewin, Lodge, Musto, O'Neil, Polowy, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna
Hilary Swank, "Conviction"

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale, "The Fighter" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Lodge, Musto, Polowy, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna
John Hawkes, "Winter's Bone"
Jeremy Renner, "The Town"
Mark Ruffalo, "The Kids Are All Right"
Geoffrey Rush, "The King's Speech" -- Khan, Lewin, O'Neil

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, "The Fighter"
Helena Bonham Carter, "The King's Speech" -- Khan
Mila Kunis, "Black Swan"
Melissa Leo, "The Fighter" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Lewin, Lodge, Musto, O'Neil, Polowy, Sheehan, Stone, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna
Hailee Steinfeld, "True Grit" -- Thompson

BEST FILM ENSEMBLE
"Black Swan"
"The Fighter" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Hammond, Karger, Polowy
"The Kids Are All Right"
"The King's Speech" -- Khan, Lewin, O'Neil, Sheehan, Stone
"The Social Network" -- Feinberg, Kapsch, Lodge, Musto, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna

BEST FILM STUNT ENSEMBLE
"Green Zone"
"Inception" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Khan, Lewin, Lodge, Musto, O'Neil, Polowy, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna
"Robin Hood"

TV AWARDS

BEST TV DRAMA ACTOR
Steve Buscemi, "Boardwalk Empire" -- Appelo, Davis, Feinberg, Khan, Musto, O'Neil, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton
Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad" -- Ellwood, Lodge
Michael C. Hall, "Dexter"
Jon Hamm, "Mad Men" -- Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Lewin, Wloszczyna
Hugh Laurie, "House"

BEST TV DRAMA ACTRESS
Glenn Close, "Damages"
Mariska Hargitay, "Law & Order: Special Victims Unit"
Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Khan, Lodge, Musto, O'Neil, Thompson, Tourtellotte
Elisabeth Moss, "Mad Men" -- Lewin, Sheehan, Stone, Wloszczyna
Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer" –- Walton

BEST TV DRAMA ENSEMBLE
"Boardwalk Empire" -- Davis, Khan, Musto, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton
"The Closer"
"Dexter"
"The Good Wife"
"Mad Men" -- Appelo, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Lewin, Lodge, O'Neil, Wloszczyna

BEST TV COMEDY ACTOR
Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock"
Ty Burrell, "Modern Family" –- Karger, Tourtellotte, Walton
Steve Carell, "The Office" -- Davis, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Lodge
Chris Colfer, "Glee" -- Appelo, Khan, Musto, O'Neil, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Wloszczyna
Ed O'Neill, "Modern Family" -- Kapsch, Lewin

BEST TV COMEDY ACTRESS
Edie Falco, "Nurse Jackie" -- Hammond, Thompson
Tina Fey, "30 Rock"
Jane Lynch, "Glee" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Feinberg, Kapsch, Karger, Lewin, Lodge, Musto, O'Neil, Sheehan, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna
Sofia Vergara, "Modern Family"
Betty White, "Hot in Cleveland" -- Khan, Stone

BEST TV COMEDY ENSEMBLE
"30 Rock"
"Glee" -- Davis, Feinberg, Kapsch, Khan, Musto, O'Neil, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton
"Hot in Cleveland"
"Modern Family" -- Appelo, Ellwood, Hammond, Karger, Lewin, Lodge, Sheehan, Stone, Wloszczyna
"The Office"

BEST TV MOVIE/MINI ACTOR
John Goodman, "You Don't Know Jack"
Al Pacino, "You Don't Know Jack" -- Appelo, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Khan, Lewin, Lodge, Musto, O'Neil, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna
Dennis Quaid, "The Special Relationship"
Édgar Ramírez, "Carlos" -- Davis
Patrick Stewart, "Macbeth"

BEST TV MOVIE/MINI ACTRESS
Claire Danes, "Temple Grandin" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Feinberg, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Khan, Lewin, Lodge, Musto, O'Neil, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna
Catherine O'Hara, "Temple Grandin"
Julia Ormond, "Temple Grandin"
Winona Ryder, "When Love Is Not Enough: The Lois Wilson Story"
Susan Sarandon, "You Don't Know Jack"

BEST TV STUNT ENSEMBLE
"Burn Notice" - O'Neil
"CSI: NY" -- Khan
"Dexter" -- Feinberg, Lodge
"Southland"
"True Blood" -- Appelo, Davis, Ellwood, Hammond, Kapsch, Karger, Lewin, Musto, Sheehan, Stone, Thompson, Tourtellotte, Walton, Wloszczyna

 
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