All of this year's Best Comedy Guest Actor nominees have contended for at least one other Emmy in their careers.
Bobby Cannavale (“Nurse Jackie”) and Justin Timberlake (“Saturday Night Live”) have both won this award before -- Cannavale in 2005 for “Will and Grace" and Timberlake for both his previous bids for "SNL" in 2009 and 2011.
Bob Newhart (“The Big Bang Theory”) was inducted into the TV academy’s Hall of Fame in 1993. He has had seven Emmy nominations but no wins. If he prevails, he would be by far the oldest winner in this category at 84 years old.
Cannavale and Nathan Lane (“Modern Family”) are both double nominees this year. Cannavale competes as Best Drama Supporting Actor for “Boardwalk Empire.” Lane competes as Best Drama Guest Actor for “The Good Wife.”
Most Comedy Guest Actor wins (3): Mel Brooks (“Mad About You”).
Most Comedy Guest Actor nominations with no wins (4): Will Arnett (“30 Rock”), Nathan Lane ("Frasier," Mad About You," "Modern Family," Fred Willard (“Everybody Loves Raymond,” “Modern Family”).
"Modern Family" has the best odds to prevail, but beware: only four shows have ever won Best Comedy Series four or more times ("Frasier," "All in the Family," "Cheers," "The Dick Van Dyke Show"). Has voter fatigue finally set in?
"30 Rock" also won Best Comedy three times (until "Modern Family" put a stop to it in 2010) and now it leads with the most nominations (13) among laffers. Voters may be tempted to give it a farewell hug like other past comedies that won in their final season ("Everybody Loves Raymond," "Barney Miller"). But "30 Rock" hasn't reaped a single Emmy since 2009. It got shut out 13 times last year, 14 times in 2011 and 15 times in 2010.
Maybe "The Big Bang Theory" can finally triumph? It's the most viewed program today (old episodes appear everywhere in TV syndication) and it doesn't matter that it lost twice during its first four seasons. Many shows didn't win a best-series award (comedy or drama) until their fifth season -- like "24" and "The Sopranos." However, it isn't nominated for writing or directing and, over the past 15 years only one show won Best Comedy without one or the other bid: "Friends."
"Veep" isn't nominated for writing or directing either, but it has the kind of snob appeal usually required to win. (Remember, the program that's won more Emmys than any other – 37 – is about two uppity brothers squabbling over opera and vintage wine: "Frasier.") "Veep" looks like "The West Wing" (four time winner of Best Drama Series) with laughs.
"Louie" is nominated for writing, directing, acting and editing (scoring a bid for the latter is often key to victory), but it's essentially a one-man show. Ensembles usually dominate.
"Homeland" pulled off an upset last year, winning Best Drama Series for its freshman season. In the process, it took down undefeated, four-time champ "Mad Men" and also prevailed for acting (Claire Danes, Damian Lewis) and writing. The Showtime hit returns to defend its crown in 2013 with an increase in nominations (11 vs. 9), including bids for newcomers Morena Baccarin, Mandy Patinkin, and Rupert Friend.
Four of its 2012 competitors are back in 2013 to contend again: "Breaking Bad," "Downton Abbey," "Game of Thrones," and "Mad Men." Rookie show "House of Cards" completes the field. For the second time ever, there are no broadcast programs in this race.
"Breaking Bad" has the best odds among our Experts, Editors, and Users to triumph for its fifth season after suffering four losses in the past. If it finally triumphs this year, it will join "The Sopranos" (2004) and "24" (2006) for finally prevailing upon its fifth time at bat. Voters are usually biased in favor of more snobbish, stylish programs ("Homeland," "Mad Men," "The West Wing"), but "Breaking Bad" has a strong plus this year. AMC is airing its final episodes during the Emmy voting period when all Hollywood will be bidding a tearful goodbye to the critically hailed show (recent winner of Best Program of the Year at the TV Critics' Association Award). This year "Breaking Bad" reaped the same number of nominations as last year (13), one of them was its first-ever bid for writing. It also has key nominations for editing and sound mixing (often examples of wide voter support).
"Game of Thrones" leads with the most nominations (16, up from 11 last year) and is also critically hailed (TCA just voted it Best Drama Series), but voters usually spurn programs with fantasy elements. Only one has won in recent Emmy history. "Lost" bagged this category in 2005, but that show's supernatural elements weren't prominently on display yet in that first season as "Lost" focused more on personal character stories.
Breaking new ground as the first web-based /streamed show in this race is Netflix's "House of Cards," which also has bids for acting (Kevin Spacey, Robin Wright), directing (David Fincher) and editing among its total tally of nine nominations. "House of Cards" has the requisite Cool Factor and snob appeal with a twist. Offering inside glimpses of Washington D.C. politics, it's like past four-time champ "The West Wing," starring anti-heroes instead of heroes.
British import "Downton Abbey" dropped back to 12 nominations this year from 16. Although it won as Best Miniseries in 2011, the only major category it nabbed in 2012 was for Maggie Smith as Best Supporting Actress. However, don't underestimate its Emmy odds. No nominee in this race has more snob appeal, since it's an expose of the British class system just like "Upstairs, Downstairs," which won this category three times as Best Drama Series (1974, 1975, 1977) and once as Best Miniseries/ Limited Series (1976). In fact, the original "Upstairs, Downstairs" never lost when competing in a program category.
More than 350 Gold Derby readers predicted the winners of this year's Television Critics Assn. Awards. In total, our Users logged almost 4,000 predictions. To see how you fared, log in to your account and under your profile picture click on TCA Awards 2013.
Despite surprises in several top categories, jhaddad correctly predict 84% of the races. Scoring 75% each were: thedemonhog, indelibleMarko, blazingeagles, JaredK and DamianWayne.
Among Gold Derby editors, Chris Beachum led the way with 75%, followed by Rob Licuria with 59%, Daniel Montgomery and David Schnelwar at 50% and Marcus Dixon scoring 42%.
While the "Orphan Black" star didn't have the best odds to win her first-ever TCA Award in the Individual Achievement in Drama race (Bryan Cranston of "Breaking Bad" was predicted to prevail), her victory shouldn't be a surprise as it was handed out by Maslany's biggest supporters: TV critics.
Just how much do television journalists love this young actress?
Two months ago, Maslany claimed victory at the Critics Choice Television Awards, bestowed by yet another group of TV scribes. Unlike the TCA Awards where men, women, lead and supporting roles are combined into one category, the CCTA kudos bestowed by the Broadcast TV Journalists Assn., are set up more like the Emmys, and Maslany prevailed in the race for Best Drama Actress.
Despite all the love coming Maslany's way for her much-heralded role as several distinct clones on the freshman BBC America series "Orphan Black," she missed out on a bid for the biggest TV trophy: the Emmy.
Emmy voters just weren't able to get past their bias of sci-fi/fantasy shows. Despite a few notable exceptions in recent years -- "Lost" and "Game of Thrones" -- the Emmys have stayed clear of rewarding genre shows.
Maslany's circumstances are reminescent of Mary McDonnell, who, despite universal acclaim from fans and critics alike, could never break through at the Emmys for her sci-fi drama "Battlestar Galactica." And then there's Sarah Michelle Gellar, whose series "Buffy the Vampire Slayer" is ground zero for cult shows that were continuously snubbed.
Third time proved to be the charm for "Breaking Bad" which finally won the coveted Program of the Year prize at the Television Critics Assn. Awards on Saturday. The TCA, which is comprised primarily of print and web writers, capped off the summer press tour with these kudos at the Beverly Hilton.
Last year's winner of the top award, "Game of Thrones," had to settle for claiming the drama series trophy for the first time in three bids.
"Breaking Bad" star Bryan Cranston was denied a chance to become a three-time TCA champ when hot newcomer Tatiana Maslany won the individual drama performance prize for her work as multiple characters on "Orphan Black."
Over on the comedy front, Louis C.K. had to settle for repeating as the individual comedy winner while his show "Louie," the reigning laffer, ceded its title to two series -- "The Big Bang Theory" and "Parks and Recreation."
"The Americans," which lead with four bids, was named best new program.
"The Daily Show with Jon Stewart," which is enjoying a 10-year winning streak at the Emmys, has only won the News and Information Program prize from the TCA once and that was way back in 2004. This year, it was bested by the Ken Burns documentary "The Central Park Five."
"Behind the Candelabra" won the TV Movie/Mini race over Emmy rival "American Horror Story: Asylum."
And "Bunheads," which was axed after just one season, picked up the consolation prize of Youth Series.
Our exclusive odds based on the predictions of our editors and users favor "Breaking Bad" and "Louie" dominating the 28th annual Television Critics Assn. awards on Saturday. The TCA, which is comprised primarily of print and web writers, caps off the summer press tour with these kudos.
"Breaking Bad" is forecast to take the top prize of Program of the Year for the first time. And it is expected to claim Achievement in Drama again after wins in 2010 and 2012 while star Bryan Cranston should pick up a bookend to his 2009 trophy for Individual Achievement in Drama.
Likewise, look for "Louie" to repeat for both Achievement in Comedy and Individual Achievement in Comedy (Louis C.K.).
"The Americans," which leads with four bids, is expected to be named only Best New Program.
While last year's Program of the Year champ, "Game of Thrones," contends again, it is a longshot to as only one program has ever repeated in this top race: "The Sopranos" (1999 and 2001).
"The Daily Show with Jon Stewart," which is enjoying a 10-year winning streak at the Emmys, has only won the News and Information Program prize from the TCA once and that was way back in 2004. However, it is predicted to finally pick up a matching bookend tonight.
"Behind the Candelabra" is forecast to win the TV Movie/Mini race over Emmy rival "American Horror Story: Asylum."
Billy Bob Thornton cast in a lead role in FX's upcoming limited-series "Fargo." He'll play Lorne Malvo, a manipulative man who meets a small time insurance salesman. The 10-part "Fargo" series will follow a different story and different characters than the 1996 Oscar-winning film.
The FXX network, which launches September 2, and will broadcast the Creative Arts Emmys. The ceremony will be taped on September 15 and aired September 21 at 9pm. Hollywood Reporter
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