Blog: News & Views

Will Julie Bowen ('Modern Family') win Emmy #3?

By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 11 2013 06:03 am

Last year, Julie Bowen ("Modern Family") won her second consecutive Emmy for Best Comedy Supporting Actress. And she is tipped to make it a hat trick this year. With the backing of five editors and two-thirds of users she has leading odds of 2 to 1

Only three of her competitors return to possibly contend again in 2013 as Kristen Wiig is no longer on "Saturday Night Live," and Kathryn Joosten ("Desperate Housewives") passed away last year.

Of this trio, Bowen's co-star Sofia Vergara is the strongest threat. She has also contended for all three seasons of the show and is the pick of one editor and 20% of users. That translates into odds of 3 to 1. 

While Mayim Bialik ("The Big Bang Theory") is likely to reap her second straight bid for this hit laffer, she has only 2% of users predicting her to prevail. That lack of support gives her odds of only 12 to 1 which puts her in fifth place. 

Merritt Wever ("Nurse Jackie") was a surprise nominee in this category last year and with odds of 50 to 1 is unlikely to return this year. 

RELATEDWill 'Modern Family' win fourth consecutive Comedy Series Emmy? 

RELATED: Will Julia Louis-Dreyfus ('Veep') win Comedy Actress Emmy again?

Two women who have contended in this category in the past are poised to make comebacks.

Jessica Walter ("Arrested Development") was a nominee in 2005 for the second season of this laffer and is likely to reap another bid for the return of this cult hit on Netflix. She has the support of 5% of users which is good enough for odds of 8 to 1. 

And Jane Krakowski is likely to reap a bid for the final season of "30 Rock." For her fourth nomination (after contending in 2009 - 2011), she is ranked in fourth place with odds of 10 to 1. 

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'Behind the Candelabra' or 'American Horror Story' for Best Movie/Mini at Emmys?

By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 08 2013 11:40 am

Behind the Candelabra Michael Douglas Matt Damon American Horror Story Emmys TV news

Last year, the first season of "American Horror Story" lost the newly combined category of Best Movie/Miniseries to "Game Change." 

This year, it faces a fierce foe in HBO's biopic of Liberace, "Behind the Candelabra." While "American Horror Story: Asylum" showcases two-time Oscar winner Jessica Lange, Steven Soderbergh's film features a pair of Oscar champs -- Michael Douglas and Matt Damon as the showman and his consort. 

Currently, "Candelabra" has the edge, with five of our editors and 60% of our users predicting it to prevail. That gives it leading odds of 12 to 5

"Asylum" has the backing of two editors and 30% of users for odds of 10 to 3. 

The crime thriller "Top of the Lake" headlined by another Oscar winner, Holly Hunter, has the support of one editor and 5% of users for odds of 6 to 1. 

RELATED: You decide: Who will win the Emmys?

The Brit hit "Parades End" has a smattering of votes and odds of 9 to 10. 

Another HBO biopic, "Phil Spector," pairs up Oscar winners Al Pacino and Helen Mirren as the music mogul accused of murder and his attorney. It has odds of 10 to 1.

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Thompson Square vs Sugarland duel for Best Duo at ACMs

By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 08 2013 08:24 am

Academy of Country Music ACM Awards Thompson Square Sugarland music news

Last year, Thompson Square finally won Best Vocal Duo at the Academy of Country Music Awards. They edged out Sugarland which had won the previous two years running.

The two duos face off again this year, with the defending champs having the slight edge. They are the pick of three of our editors and about 60% of users. That translates into leading odds of 19 to 10

Sugarland has the support of two of our editors and 25% of users for odds of 13 to 5. 

First-time nominees Florida Georgia Line are in third with the backing of 10% of users and odds of 11 to 2. They also contend for Best New Artist. 

Returning nominees Love and Theft have little support and odds of 15 to 2. 

RELATED: You decide who will Academy of Country Music Awards

And while this is nomination #7 for Big and Rich, they are unlikely to be lucky this time around as they are the longshots with odds of 8 to 1. 

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Can 'Oz: The Great and Powerful' work magic at Oscars?

By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 08 2013 07:07 am

Oz The Great and Powerful James Franco Sam Raimi movies news

"Oz: The Great and Powerful" opened Friday to mostly mediorcre notices. Indeed, it only merits a score of 44 at MetaCritic. However, while critics found fault with the plot and performances, they were enthusiastic about the look and sound of the film.

That makes this $200 million plus epic from Disney a strong contender at the Oscars in a slew of below-the-line categories: Cinematography, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, Production Design, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects.

Three years ago this weekend, Disney debuted Tim Burton's take on "Alice in Wonderland." That 3-D extravaganze only earned a score of 53 at Metacritic but went on to win two of its three Oscar bids: Art Direction (as Production Design was then called) and Costumes. It lost Visual Effects to "Inception." 

Robert Stromberg, who shared that Art Direction Oscar with Karen O'Hara, handles these same duties solo on "Oz." And Oscar nominee Gary Jones ("The Talent Mr. Ripley") crafted the costumes for the picture. 

"Oz" star James Franco first worked with helmer Sam Raimi on the "Spider-Man" trilogy. The second film in that franchise won Best Visual Effects in 2004 (The first had contended in 2002, losing to "Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers.") 

Two of the men who shared in that Oscar win -- John Frazier and Scott Stokdyk -- are the visual wizards of "Oz." 

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Is Claire Danes ('Homeland') a lock to repeat as Drama Actress at Emmys?

By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 07 2013 16:50 pm

Claire Danes Homeland Emmys Emmy Awards Julianna Margulies TV news

At last year's Emmys, Claire Danes won Best Drama Actress for the first season of "Homeland." And our editors and users agree that she is all but certain to pick up a bookend this year. 

With all of our editors and more than 90% of our users predicting her to prevail again, she has leading odds of 9 to 5. 

In second place is 2011 champ Julianna Margulies ("The Good Wife") with about 5% of users expecting her to win again. That gives her odds of 4 to 1. 

With the backing of a handful of users, Michelle Dockery ("Downton Abbey") has odds of 6 to 1. 

RELATED: You decide: Who will win the Emmys

RELATED: Will 'Homeland' win Drama Series again at Emmys?

Two-time category champ Glenn Close ("Damages") is expected to contend for the final season of the show but has odds of only 12 to 1. 

Robin Wright is likely to reap a bid for the first season of "House of Cards" but has odds of only 16 to 1.

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Will Alec Baldwin win a third Emmy for '30 Rock'?

By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 07 2013 16:16 pm

Emmys Emmy Awards Alec Baldwin 30 Rock Louis CK Jim Parsons Arrested Development Big Bang TV news

Alec Baldwin has won two of his six Best Comedy Actor Emmy bids for "30 Rock" and is tipped to take home a third trophy for the final season of the laffer. He has the backing of five of our editors and two-thirds of our users for leading odds of 21 to 10.

In second place is multi-hyhenate Louis C.K. for "Louie." With the support of one editor and about 20% of users, he has odds of 4 to 1. 

Two-time Emmy champ Jim Parsons ("The Big Bang Theory") is predicted to prevail by one editor and 10% of users. That translates to odds of 11 to 2. 

RELATEDWill 'Modern Family' win fourth consecutive Comedy Series Emmy? 

RELATED: Will Julia Louis-Dreyfus ('Veep') win Comedy Actress Emmy again?

Jason Bateman never won an Emmy for the first run of "Arrested Development" but one editor and 3% of users expect him to this time around. That equals odds of 8 to 1. 

Don Cheadle is predicted to contend again for the second season of "House of Lies." However, minimal support means odds of 12 to 1. 

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Emmy campaign season begins with shipment of NBC DVD

By Tom O'Neil
Mar 06 2013 20:10 pm

NBC DVD Emmy campaign

Emmy campaign season officially began just days before Oscar winners were unveiled in late February when NBC, as usual, became the first contender to ship DVDs to TV academy members.

The screener featured episodes of NBC's new fall series "Chicago Fire," "Go On," "Guys with Kids," "The New Normal" and "Revolution" plus "The Mindy Project," which airs on Fox, but is produced by Universal Television. Also included was a passcode to permit Emmy voters to view all of NBC's rivals streaming at NBCAwardsScreeningRoom.com. The streaming option was first pioneered back in 2008 by NBC Entertainment EVP Richard Licata when he headed up Showtime's Emmy drives and now it's widely copied across the TV industry.

"Through the years, we've seen a huge escalation in people using the streaming site," Licata tells Gold Derby. "Last year we had more than 50,000 hits." In 2012, he also introduced another new innovation: an iPad app.

Now his latest campaign breakthrough reaches new Emmy heights. "This year we thought we'd take it 37,000 feet," Licata adds. "We have a deal with American Airlines to show our Emmy contenders on flights between New York and Los Angeles in May when academy members are going back and forth to see network upfronts and in June during Emmy voting. We figured people are sitting there, captive, so let's use the opportunity to show them our programs in case they were too busy to view them on TV or at our microsite. We're always trying to make it easy for the voters."

Licata isn't shy about getting his contenders in voters' faces. Again this year, he will tout them brazenly in huge promos plastered on the sides of double-decker busses and on billboards and electronic signs across Hollywood.

The TV industry pays careful attention and his Emmy rivals often copy his tactics because Licata reigns as one of the deans of the FYC craft. Back in the 1980s and 1990s, he pioneered early Emmy campaigning – first at HBO, then at Fox and Rogers & Cowan – and has had much success.

RELATED: See latest Emmy predictions by Gold Derby editors

When he was at Showtime in 2008, "Dexter" joined "Damages" and "Mad Men" as the first non-HBO cable show to be nominated for best drama or comedy series. One year later, "Weeds" popped up in the comedy contest, followed by "Nurse Jackie" in 2010. And he's championed many wins, including Edie Falco ("Nurse Jackie"), Toni Collette ("United States of Tara"), Holly Hunter ("The Positively True Adventures of the Alleged Texas Cheerleader-Murdering Mom"), Blythe Danner ("Huff"), Tony Shalhoub ("Monk") and Michael Chiklis ("The Shield").

RELATED:

You decide: Who will win the Emmys

Will 'Homeland' win Drama Series again at Emmys?

Photo: Richard Licata (NBC)

 

Will Miranda Lambert make it four in a row for Female Vocalist at ACMs?

By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 06 2013 03:36 am

Miranda Lambert Taylor Swift Carrie Underwood Academy of Country Music Awards ACMs music news

Miranda Lambert has owned Female Vocalist for the last three years running at the Academy of Country Music Awards. 

She is tipped to take home this prize for a fourth consecutive time, tying the record of Reba McEntire (1984 - 1987). Lambert has the backing of three of our editors and just under two-thirds of our users for leading odds of 19 to 10.

Fighting for her first win in this category is Taylor Swift. Despite being named Entertainer of the Year for the past two years running, she can't get any love in this race. This is her sixth consecutive bid and she has odds of only 14 to 5 based on the backing of 20% of users.

RELATED: You decide who will Academy of Country Music Awards

Three-time category champ Carrie Underwood has the support of just less than 20% of users which translates to odds of 4 to 1.

ACM newcomer Kacey Musgraves also contends for New Female Vocalist and Music Video. She has odds of only 8 to 1. 

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Will 'Homeland' win Drama Series again at Emmys?

By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 06 2013 03:33 am

Emmys Emmy Awards Homeland Breaking Bad Downton Abbey TV news

At last year's Emmys, "Homeland" pulled off a shocking upset, winning Best Drama Series for its freshman season.

The hit political thriller returns to defend its title this year. And with four editors and two-thirds of users predicting it to prevail again, it has leading odds of 9 to 4

In second place is perennial also-ran "Breaking Bad." It had been expected to win this race last year. This time around, two editors and 10% of users are forecasting victory, giving it odds of 10 to 3.

"Downton Abbey," which won Best Movie/Miniseries in 2010 for its first season, contended in this category last year. This time around, one editor and 5% of users expect it to win, for odds of 11 to 2. 

RELATED: Will 'Modern Family' win fourth consecutive Comedy Series Emmy? 

Four-time champ "Mad Men" was completely shut out at last year's Emmys. This year, it has so little support that its odds are 15 to 2. 

Third time is unlikely to be the charm for "Game of Thrones," which has odds of 16 to 1.  

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