I have heard a lot of members in the Gold Derby forums saying that Leonardo DiCaprio either has been criminally snubbed by the academy or should have plenty more nominations by now. I have read comments from fans moping about how DiCaprio will never get an Oscar since he couldn't get nominated for "Django Unchained" as if it were the last DiCaprio movie that will ever get made.
It's starting to irritate me a little bit. DiCaprio has been one of the most successful men in Hollywood, and his fortune at the Oscars should not be overshadowed by his box office draw.
To get an Oscar nomination would certainly be an honor for any actor. To get two nominations is such a rare feat that only 72 living male actors have pulled that off, and to manage three nominations is an accomplishment only 39 living actors have done so. DiCaprio is among this last group, having reaped a trio of bids so far: "What's Eating Gilbert Grape?" (1993), "The Aviator" (2004) and "Blood Diamond" (2006).
That's quite an accomplisment considering that, at age 38, he's younger than any other male nominated for multiple acting Oscars. Close behind is recent three-time nominee Joaquin Phoenix, who is just two weeks younger than DiCaprio, followed by Jude Law (age 40, two nominations), Jeremy Renner (age 41, two nominations), Matt Damon (age 42, two nominations), Edward Norton (age 43, two nominations), Javier Bardem (age 43, three nominations), Will Smith (age 44, two nominations), Jamie Foxx (age 45, two nominations), and Philip Seymour Hoffman (age 45), who holds the record for the youngest male among four-time nominees.
Of these 10 "junior" multiple nominees, only Bardem, Foxx and Hoffman have ever won, with one trophy apiece.
To say that DiCaprio will never win an Oscar if he hasn't by now just sounds whiney. What we need to remember is that DiCaprio is still very young, and, as Tom O'Neil has pointed out on numerous occasions, the Oscars aren't quick to award the young, good-looking male A-list movie stars. They might just be waiting for the "right" role to come along, and he may be in his 50s before the academy realizes he's overdue, or perhaps once his peers start to make up the larger portion of the voting membership (remember, 86% of Academy voters are over the age of 50, with a median age of 62).
Last year, "W.E." won the period prize while the final "Harry Potter" picture took the fantasy genre and "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" claimed the contemporary category.
"W.E" edged out three of the other period pictures that were in the running at the Oscars -- "The Artist," "Jane Eyre" and "Hugo" -- along with "Anonymous." The final CDG nominee, "The Help," was snubbed by the academy. However, it was "The Artist" which prevailed at the Oscars.
In 2010, two of the three CDG period nominees -- "The King's Speech" and "True Grit" -- reaped Oscar bids. In 2009, three of the CDG choices for period film costumes made the final five at the Oscars while in both 2008 and 2007 four made the cut.
By naming only three period pictures in 2010, the CDG left the Oscar field open and two of its fantasy nominees -- "Alice in Wonderland" and "The Tempest" -- made the grade with the Academy. Indeed, "Alice in Wonderland" won awards from both groups, marking the seventh time in the 14-year history of the the CDG that a champ of theirs prevailed at the Oscars.
Four of the five Oscar nominees for Sound Editing -- "Argo," "Django Unchained," "Life of Pi" and "Skyfall" -- contend for the top Golden Reel Award bestowed by the Motion Picture Sound Editors. The fifth Oscar contender -- "Zero Dark Thirty" -- was snubbed by the MPSE.
The other nominees for this MPSE prize -- Best Sound Editing: Sound Effect and Foley in a Feature Film -- are: "The Avengers," "The Dark Knight Rises," "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" and "Prometheus."
Overall, "Argo," The Hobbit," "Life of Pi" and "Skyfall" reaped three bid apiece at the 60th edition of these kudos. They also contend in categories for dialogue & ADR and music.
Winners will be announced during a Feb. 17 ceremony at the Westin Bonaventure Hotel in Los Angeles. Ang Lee will receive the filmmaker award and Foley artist John Roesch will be feted for career achievement.
Last year, "War Horse" won this precursor prize" but lost the Oscar to "Hugo." The other Oscar nominees were "Drive," "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" and "Transformers: Dark of the Moon."
"Super 8," which led with three MPSE bids, won dialogue & ADR. It was snubbed by the Oscars in both sound categories.
When Academy Awards nominations were unveiled, "Lincoln" seemed to be way out front since it led with the most nominations – 12 – that's just two shy of the record held by "Titanic" and "All About Eve." The pic with the most bids prevails more than two-thirds of the time, historically speaking.
But "Lincoln" also led with the most Golden Globe and Critics Choice Awards nominations recently, then ended up losing to "Argo," thus mixing up prognosticators' tea leaves. While Critics Choice tends to be a key Oscar indicator, agreeing on Best Picture 10 times in the past 13 years, the Golden Globe does not, concurring only twice in the past 8 years.
The 10 pundits who now pick "Argo" to bag the top Oscar too are: Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Edward Douglas (Comingsoon), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Guy Lodge (Hitfix), Steve Pond (TheWrap), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Chuck Walton (Fandango) and me.
Backing "Lincoln": Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly), Richard Horgan (Mediabistro), Dave Karger (Fandango), Michael Musto (Village Voice), Kevin Polowy (Next Movie), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Alex Suskind (Moviefone), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood, Indiewire), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today).
Betting on "Silver Linings Playbook": Jeff Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere).
Jennifer Lopez tells E! that she wants to win an Oscar: "'I think everybody that has ever taken acting seriously would love to be recognized in that way,' Lopez told me yesterday ... 'Of course! Why not?'"
Kathryn Bigelow defends he depiction of torture on "Zero Dark Thirty": "Those of us who work in the arts know that depiction is not endorsement ... On a practical and political level, it does seem illogical to me to make a case against torture by ignoring or denying the role it played in U.S. counter-terrorism policy and practices." Los Angeles Times
Pulitzer Prize-winner Steve Coll has an alternate view of torture in "Zero Dark Thirty": "In virtually every instance in the film where Maya extracts important clues from prisoners, then, torture is a factor. Arguably, the film’s degree of emphasis on torture’s significance goes beyond what even the most die-hard defenders of the CIA interrogation regime, such as [Jose Rodriguez Jr., a former leader of the CIA Clandestine Service], have argued. Rodriguez’s position in his memoir is that 'enhanced interrogation' was indispensible to the search for bin Laden—not that it was the predominant means of gathering important clues." New York Review of Books
Following Oscar nominations, Fox Searchlight will re-release "Beasts of the Southern Wild" to select theaters on January 18, exactly one year after the film made its debut at the Sundance Film Festival: "We are thrilled to bring this special film back to theaters a year after it debuted to standing ovations in Park City. With the Academy Award nominations, we hope Benh’s sublime vision can continue to win over audiences as it has around the globe for the last year," say Fox Searchlight Pictures Presidents Stephen Gilula and Nancy Utley.
Gay Susman on why the ACE Eddie Awards matter more to the Oscars than who won at the Golden Globes or Critics' Choice Awards. Moviefone
Baldwin's SAG reign as TV Comedy Actor for "30 Rock" is one for the record books. So far, he's undefeated in his role as Jack Donaghy on the long-running NBC comedy, earning six trophies over the past six years. That doesn't even count the extra ensemble trophy he won in 2009 as part of the "30 Rock" cast.
His individual tally becomes even more impressive when it's taken into consideration that SAG combines the lead and supporting races, making Baldwin the true king of TV comedy. For comparison's sake, over on the TV Drama side, Julianna Margulies ("ER," "The Good Wife") is the reigning SAG champ with only four individual trophies.
Since Baldwin's winning streak began in 2007, he's prevented such popular comic actors as Jeremy Piven ("Entourage"), Steve Carell ("The Office"), Jon Cryer ("Two and a Half Men"), Ty Burrell ("Modern Family") and Eric Stonestreet ("Modern Family") from claiming a SAG award of their own.
This marks the final chance for Baldwin to prevail for his "30 Rock" role since the show will air its series finale this month. According to Gold Derby's Experts, Editors and Users, Baldwin has 14/5 odds to win his seventh award, putting him in second place behind Louis C.K. ("Louie") with 12/5 odds.
Will Baldwin break his own record, or will somebody new finally be rewarded? Find out Jan. 27, when the 19th Screen Actors Guild Awards will air live on TNT and TBS.
When Meryl Streep earned her third Oscar last February, she joined an exclusive club. Only four other people have won at least three Academy Awards for acting in the 84-year history of these kudos.
It had been 14 years since Jack Nicholson picked up his third trophy when Streep received hers. This year, a quartet of two-time champs are in the hunt for a third Oscar: Daniel Day-Lewis ("Lincoln"), Robert De Niro ("Silver Linings Playbook"), Sally Field ("Lincoln"), and Denzel Washington ("Flight").
Day-Lewis is the likeliest of these to win for his role as President Abraham Lincoln in the Steven Spielberg biopic. He has odds of 27/20 to claim his record third Best Actor prize on just his fifth nomination. All our Experts, eight of nine Editors, and almost half our Users predict him to prevail. He picked up trophies this past week at the Critics' Choice Awards and Golden Globe Awards. He won Oscars for "My Left Foot" (1989) and "There Will Be Blood" (2007).
In "Flight," Washington plays Whip Whitaker, an airline pilot who saves a plane from crashing despite being intoxicated. Of six nominations, he earned trophies in supporting for "Glory" (1989) and in lead for "Training Day" (2001). He is currently in third place against Day-Lewis with 6/1 odds.
De Niro has not contended at the Oscars since 1991 when he lost a Best Actor bid for "Cape Fear." He won supporting actor for "The Godfather, Part II" (1974) and in lead for ("Raging Bull," 1980). He has solid 10/3 odds to win Best Supporting Actor this year for his performance as Pat Peoples, the father of a man just returned home from a mental institution. DeNiro is second behind Tommy Lee Jones ("Lincoln"), with the support of three of 16 Experts, three of nine Editors, and 19% of Users.
Field prevailed the only two times she contended at the Oscars for her lead roles in "Norma Rae" (1979) and "Places in the Heart" (1984). She is also in "Lincoln" as President's wife, Mary Todd Lincoln. Field is in second place for Best Supporting Actress but at 3/1 trails far behind Anne Hathaway ("Les Miserables"). She has support from one of 16 Experts and 22% of Users.
Katharine Hepburn is the all-time leader among performers with four Best Actress Oscars: "Morning Glory" (1933), "Guess Who's Coming to Dinner" (1967), "The Lion in Winter" (1968), and "On Golden Pond" (1981). She reaped an even dozen bids in that race.
The Oscars have announced their nominees, and now it's time for Gold Derby users to have their say on the best films of 2012.
Voting is now open till Feb. 4 for the 11th Annual Gold Derby Film Awards. Nominees will be announced Feb. 8.
If you're already registered at Gold Derby, cast your ballot by going to your home page and clicking on Gold Derby Film Awards Nominations 2012 under the heading Vote: Gold Derby Awards in the left-hand column beneath your photo.
If you are not registered, do so for free here. You can also log in with your Facebook account.
Over their first decade, the Gold Derby Film Award for Best Picture has matched the Oscars six times, including last year's winner, "The Artist." Best Director has lined up five times, while 12 out of 20 lead acting winners were the same. Click here for a complete history of these kudos.
Daniel Day-Lewis competes for his third Oscar this year for his performance as America's 16th president in "Lincoln," and he could be in the running for his fourth Gold Derby Award: he previously won Best Actor for "Gangs of New York" (2002) and "There Will Be Blood" (2007), and was honored again as Best Actor of the Decade for "Blood."
A fourth win would tie him with all-time acting champ Meryl Streep, who won Best Supporting Actress for "Adaptation" (2002) and Best Actress in three of the last four years, for "Doubt" (2008), "Julie & Julia" (2009), and "The Iron Lady" (2011).
Peter Jackson is a two-time Best Director winner, with consecutive victories for "The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers" (2002) and "The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King" (2003). He could return to the race for his "Rings" prequel "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey." 2005 champ Ang Lee ("Brokeback Mountain") could contend again for "Life of Pi," as could 2009 winner Kathryn Bigelow ("The Hurt Locker"), who was snubbed by the Oscars but could be resurrected by our users for helming "Zero Dark Thirty."
The combined predictions of our Oscar experts, editors, and users forecast only three nominations for "Amour": Best Foreign Language Film and, by close margins, Best Actress (Emmanuelle Riva) and Best Original Screenplay. Overall, we ranked the film 11th for Best Picture, and Michael Haneke a distant 9th for Best Director. Despite these odds, the film reaped all five of those nominations. Should we have seen it coming?
It's difficult enough for foreign films to break through in major categories at the Oscars. Haneke, though a director of international renown, had up to now had not made a significant impact with the Academy. He appeared for the first time as a Foreign Language Film nominee in 2009 for "The White Ribbon" (losing to Argentina's "The Secret in Their Eyes"). Part of the reason for this delayed recognition may be his cold storytelling style, a far cry from the emotional warmth the Oscars usually prefer.
The film's subject matter was also a potential disadvantage. "Amour" tells the story of an elderly woman (Riva) slowly dying after a debilitating stroke and cared for by her devoted husband (Jean-Louis Trintignant). Last year, an LA Times study revealed that the median age of Academy members is 62, while only 14% of members are under 50. A film like "Amour" might hit uncomfortably close to home for Hollywood's aging elite. Thus, there was doubt, not only about whether voters would like it, but whether they would watch it at all.
Now that "Amour" has been nominated for five Oscars, including Picture and Director -- a rare feat for a foreign film -- how many can it win?
Foreign Language Film seems like the safest bet, especially given the snub of France's blockbuster hit "The Intouchables," which seemed like its chief competition. Our odds overwhelmingly favor it to win the category. However, one can never be too sure of outcomes in this race, which is prone to controversial upsets and omissions.
Wins for Picture and Director are unlikely. Esoteric art-house films rarely win against more mainstream Hollywood productions; "The Hurt Locker" was an exception, but "Amour" makes "The Hurt Locker" look like "Avatar."
However, victories in its remaining two categories are certainly in the realm of possibility.
Riva could be a dark horse in the Best Actress race. Hers is the kind of physically, emotionally demanding performance voters often honor, and she is not only liked but beloved by the film's supporters. The actress turns 86 on Oscar night and would be the all-time oldest winner of any acting award, breaking the record set by Christopher Plummer last year at age 82. This gives her candidacy added historical import.
However, foreign films seldom win acting awards. Not counting foreign-language roles in primarily English-language films, only three have ever won: Sophia Loren in "Two Women," Roberto Benigni in "Life is Beautiful," and Marion Cotillard in "La Vie en Rose." And while Riva's performance will certainly appeal to Hollywood aesthetes, winners are determined by the Academy's entire membership, who historically have preferred young starlets like Riva's competitors Jennifer Lawrence ("Silver Linings Playbook") and Jessica Chastain ("Zero Dark Thirty").
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