Taylor Swift will perform her new single at the VMAs: "Taylor Swift is never ever getting back together with her mystery ex, but she still has a thing for the Video Music Awards: Swift will hit the VMA stage Thursday, September 6, to bring you the debut live performance of a new song from her upcoming fourth studio album 'Red.' Swift joins previously announced performers Green Day, Pink, Alicia Keys and One Direction for the Kevin Hart-hosted show." MTV
Timetable announced for the next Golden Globes. From the press release: "The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) and producer dick clark productions (dcp) present 'The 70th Annual Golden Globe Awards' live on Sunday, January 13, 2013. Next year’s show will air live on NBC coast-to-coast from 5-8 p.m (PT) and 8-11 p.m. (ET) from the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association, dick clark productions and NBC made the announcement today. Nominations for 'The 70th Annual Golden Globe Awards' will be announced at 8 a.m. (ET) on Thursday, December 13."
Lauren Graham campaigns for her "Parenthood" costar Jason Ritter to win an Emmy: "Emmy voters have through the end of the week to cast their ballots for this year's TV honors, so The Hollywood Reporter's original short-form political commercials for the 2012 Emmy race continue. Joining previous stumpers Ben Schwartz ('House of Lies') and Cameron Monaghan ('Shameless'), 'Parenthood' star Lauren Graham makes a plea in this latest spot for the object of her on-screen affection. Outstanding guest actor in a drama series nominee Jason Ritter joins his co-star on the set of the NBC series, where she bombards him with compliments and probing questions -- such as 'What have you learned from Lauren Graham?'" HOLLYWOOD REPORTER
The Grammys announce the date for its nominations concert. From press release: "'The Grammy Nominations Concert Live!! — Countdown To Music's Biggest Night' is set to take place in Nashville, Tenn., at the Bridgestone Arena and will air live on CBS Wednesday, Dec. 5 10 p.m. ET/PT and 9 p.m. CT. This will mark the first time the special — which officially kicks off Grammy season by revealing nominations in several categories while featuring unique performances from past Grammy winners and/or nominees — has taken place outside of Los Angeles."
Michael J. Fox returns to regular series television in 2013: "NBC nabbed the untitled single-camera comedy co-created by Sam Laybourne ('Cougar Town') and Will Gluck with an 22-episode series order for fall 2013 premiere. The setup for the Sony TV-produced comedy, loosely based on Fox’s real life, has him play a husband and father of three in New York City dealing with family, career, and challenges – including Parkinson’s Disease. (Fox, himself a father of four, has Parkinson’s and lives with his family in New York where the series will be filmed.)" DEADLINE
"The Office" will end after its upcoming ninth season: "NBC is closing 'The Office.' The veteran comedy — and NBC’s highest-rated scripted series (gulp!) — will conclude after the upcoming ninth season. Despite its status as the network’s top entertainment program, the show fell to an all-time ratings low last season following the exit of Steve Carell and general sense among fans that the comedy’s best days were behind it. Now original showrunner (seasons 1-5) Greg Daniels is retaking the creative reins for one last season." EW.COM
Last year's champ Ty Burrell gets the best odds from our Editors (5/4) and Users (9/5), while still-Emmyless Ed O'Neill leads among Experts (9/4). Eric Stonestreet, who won in 2010, is ranked third by our Editors with 11 to 2 odds, but he falls into distant fifth place among Experts and Users behind Jesse Tyler Ferguson and "New Girl" star Max Greenfield. Bill Hader ("Saturday Night Live") trails all three lists.
The reason that "Modern Family" stars are so heavily favored is because there are so many of them. At other awards, multiple submissions might cause the support of a TV series to split among its contenders, but Emmy voting is different. A winner is chosen by about 70 to 80 voters (fellow actors) who judge one sample episode submitted by each contender as an example of his best work. Because Burrell, for example, can be seen on the episodes submitted by Stonestreet, Ferguson and O'Neill, he's getting far more screen time than Greenfield and Hader.
Ty Burell, “Modern Family” (“Lifetime Supply”)
Burrell is the defending champ and is looking pretty good for a repeat.
Pro: Of the men on the show, he is the standout with an arguably lead role. “Lifetime Supply” has Phil facing his mortality in a very humorous way. And once again, Burell gets an overall great showcase thanks to his co-stars.
Con: What could work against him is fatigue for the show, that he has already won or the desire to recognize the entire adult cast of the show.
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, “Modern Family” (“Leap Day”)
As the “straight man” in the Cam and Mitchell pairing, Ferguson receives his third consecutive nomination.
Pro: Ferguson is coming off of his best-received season yet and has been mentioned by many as being the season’s MVP.
Con: He gets out of the “straight man” mold in “Leap Day” which has Mitchell planning the perfect birthday party with hijinks ensuing. He is good, but it is subtle performance that is up against some of showier ones.
Max Greenfield, New Girl (“Control”)
As one of this past season’s breakouts, Greenfield receives his first nomination as the lovable womanizer on the hit Fox series.
Pro: He practically stole the show from star Zooey Deschanel. In “Control”, we get to see two sides of Schmidt, the uptight control freak and carefree hippie, and both are played effortlessly by Greenfield.
Con: Greenfield’s youth and the “Modern Family” men's stronghold on this category.
In past years, repeat Emmy champs like Oprah Winfrey, Ellen DeGeneres, Candice Bergen and Bill Cosby pulled themselves or their programs out of the derby in order to share the glory with other contenders. Jon Stewart's "The Daily Show" has hogged Best Variety Series for the past nine years and is heavily favored by Gold Derby's Experts, Editors and Users to triumph again. Is it time for "The Daily Show" to step aside ... and let, perhaps, its spinoff show "The Colbert Report" or another worthy rival win? Cast your vote below and check out the heated debate in our message boards.
Kathryn Joosten won two Emmys for guesting on "Desperate Housewives." Less than seven weeks after her death on June 2, TV academy members paid tribute to her with a nomination as Best Comedy Supporting Actress for her role as the busybody neighbor Karen McCluskey.
While four of our Experts, two Editors and many Users are predicting her to win, Emmy history says otherwise. Voters just aren't sentimental when it comes to giving out their trophies. Since 1980, 13 performers were nominated after they died but only one -- Raul Julia for his lead performance in the 1995 telefilm "The Burning Season" -- prevailed. VIEW GALLERY
In the dramatic categories, the posthumous nominees were Michael Conrad ("Hill Street Blues"), Jim Davis ("Dallas"), Ossie Davis ("The L Word") and Nancy Marchand ("The Sopranos").
Comedic nods went to the late Nicholas Colasanto ("Cheers"), Selma Diamond ("Night Court"), Phil Hartman ("NewsRadio"), John Ritter ("8 Simple Rules"), and Danny Thomas ("Empty Nest").
In addition to Julia, the TV movie/miniseries bids were by the recently-departed Jack Albertson ("My Body, My Child"), Richard Burton ("Ellis Island"), and J.T. Walsh ("Hope").
Songs from “Saturday Night Live” have won two of the last five Emmy races for Best Original Music and Lyrics. However, both of those winning tunes -- "D*** in a Box" (2009) and "Monologue" (2011) -- featured performances by Justin Timberlake who also claimed Comedy Guest Actor for his hosting of the show in 2011.
This year, a song featured on the long-running variety show contends against three category newcomers and the Tonys, which was nominated just once before back in 1994.
“I Can’t Believe I’m Hosting” was sung by "How I Met Your Mother" star Jason Segel in his opening monologue on "SNL." While it’s cute that he’s joined by the Muppets for his performance, there’s no inventiveness to the lyrics and the humor comes from dialogue between Segel and the Muppets as opposed to the song.
The frontrunner in this race is “It’s Not Just For Gays Anymore,” the opening number from the 2011 Tony Awards sung by host Neil Patrick Harris, who also features on "HIMYM." The song was penned by David Javerbaum and Adam Schlesinger. Javerbaum has won an impressive 11 Emmys as a writer and producer of “#The Daily Show with Jon Stewart#” and Schlesinger has been nominated for two Grammys as a member of the group Fountains of Wayne. The pair contended for a Tony Award in 2008 for the score of “Cry-Baby.” Given this category’s penchant for rewarding funny and sometimes raunchy tunes (“D**k in a Box” and “I’m F***ing Matt Damon”) this song sounds like a winner. (See the number in the video below)
Freshman series “Smash” goes behind the scenes of the making of a Broadway musical. Tony champs Marc Shaiman and Scott Wittman ("Hairspray," 2003) penned “Let Me Be Your Star,” sung by Megan Hilty and Katharine McPhee. The song is a solid one but this category has not been kind to tunes from series outside the variety and animated genres. Yes, Randy Newman won for "When I'm Gone" from the comedy series “Monk,” two years ago. But prior to that it was way back in 1991 that a song from another scripted series prevailed; that too was a Newman tune -- -- from the short-lived "Cop Rock."
The Comedy Actress race used to be won by the same leading lady repeatedly. Mary Tyler Moore took home three Emmys in the 1970s for her self-titled show as did "All in the Family" star Jean Stapleton. More recently, Candice Bergen collected five trophies for "Murphy Brown" beginning in 1989 and Helen Hunt ("Mad About You") then won four straight.
However, after Patricia Heaton picked up two in a row for "Everybody Loves Raymond" in 2000 and 2001, there has been a different winner each year. The first of these was Jennifer Aniston ("Friends," 2002) while the most recent was Melissa McCarthy ("Mike & Molly"). To see all the single ladies in between VIEW GALLERY
Among those McCarthy defeated last year was 2007 winner Tina Fey ("30 Rock") and defending 2010 champ Edie Falco ("Nurse Jackie"). All three of them are back in the running this year but rank well behind their other four competitors.
Leading this year's race is Julia Louis-Dreyfus who won this award in 2006 for "The New Adventures of Old Christine." She contends now for the first season of "Veep" and with the backing of six Experts and six Editors as well as a plurality of Users leads with odds of 17 to 10.
Her closest rival is Amy Poehler who hopes that third time proves the charm as she is nominated again for "Parks and Recreation." With the support of four Experts, one Editor and a sizeable number of Users, she has odds of 3 to 1 to prevail.
At last year's SAG Awards, Dick Van Dyke presented the lifetime achievement prize to his one-time costar Mary Tyler Moore. The actors union announced Tuesday that it is his turn to be honored this year. Van Dyke, a five-time Emmy winner as well as Tony and Grammy champ, will be feted at the 19th annual SAG Awards on Jan. 20, 2013.
In making the announcement, SAG president Ken Howard said, “Dick is the consummate entertainer - an enormously talented performer whose work has crossed nearly every major category of entertainment. From his career-changing Broadway turn in 'Bye Bye Birdie' and his deadpan humor in the Emmy winning 'Dick Van Dyke Show,' to his unforgettable performance as Bert in 'Mary Poppins,' he sets a high bar for actors."
Added SAG-AFTRA co-president Roberta Reardon: "With Dick, it's so much more than the proverbial triple threat. He started his career as a radio announcer, game show host and comedian and was a spokesman for Kodak, among numerous other roles over his nearly 60-year career." She added: "His contributions to the success of the business and to his fellow performers is legendary as is his work with a number of the leading ladies of our times, including Julie Andrews and Mary Tyler Moore - both previous Life Achievement Award recipients."
Dan Savage, who writes a sex advice columnist, is one of the more unexpected Emmy nominees this year. He contends for Best Children’s Nonfiction, Reality or Reality-Competition Program for "It Gets Better," which aired on MTV.
Since then, thousands of videos have been uploaded to the project’s website. The contributors include celebrities, organizations and everyday people looking to send out a positive message. Among the highest profile people to participate are President Barack Obama, Vice President Joe Biden and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
The other nominees are “Sesame Street: Growing Hope Against Hunger” (PBS) and “The Weight of the Nation for Kids: The Great Cafeteria Takeover” (HBO).
Jerry Seinfeld on what it would take for him to host the Oscars: "Earlier this month, it was rumored that Jimmy Fallon would host the next Academy Awards, with his former 'Saturday Night Live' boss Lorne Michaels producing. Shortly after, Fallon gracefully set the record straight, revealing that 2013 would not be his year to headline the Oscars. But whose year will it be? In a new episode of Jerry Seinfeld’s Web series 'Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee,' which depicts comedians (or, in this case, one comedian and one comedic actor) getting coffee in one of Seinfeld’s cars (this time, a signal-red 1970 Mercedes 280SL), guest Alec Baldwin asks Seinfeld what it would take to get the beloved personality and never-before-Oscar-host up on that Kodak Theater stage. The exchange occurred as the pair took a break from trading Burt Lancaster stories and anecdotes about growing up in Massapequa, New York." VANITY FAIR
The Writers Guild calls for submissions for Best Documentary Screenplay Award. From the press release: "Submissions for the WGA’s top doc writing award may be received from August 20 through November 16, 2012. WGA Documentary Screenplay nominees will be announced on January 3, 2013, as well as Original and Adapted Screenplay nominees. The WGA Documentary Screenplay Award will be presented, along with other film, TV, new media, radio, news, and videogame award categories, at the 2013 Writers Guild Awards on Sunday, February 17, 2013, at simultaneous ceremonies in Los Angeles and New York City ... The WGA Documentary Screenplay Award was established to recognize the fact that the majority of non-fiction feature films are written, continuing to showcase the Guilds’ ongoing outreach efforts to allow those writers working within the diverse nonfiction film community to receive the benefits of a Writers Guild contract."
There is surprisingly little overlap between Best Comedy and Best Comedy Writing at the Emmys: "Among the many shocks foisted upon sleepy journalists Emmy nomination morning was the odd revelation that only one show nominated for outstanding comedy series -- HBO's 'Girls' -- also had earned a slot on the ballot for writing (that would be wunderkind Lena Dunham). This means only one of the six contenders for Emmy's second-most-prestigious prize had writing that voters loved ... So what gives? Television Academy senior vp awards John Leverance offers some clarity. 'There are 15,000 voters for the program categories and 1,400 writer voters for those categories,' he says ... A smaller voting block for writers races means more fringey entrants (like 'Community') could creep in, giving the writing races their own unique, unpredictable flair." HOLLYWOOD REPORTER
TV Academy chairman Bruce Rosenblum talks about his first Emmy campaign: "Warner Bros Television Group president Bruce Rosenblum is in the midst of his first Emmy campaign as chairman of the TV Academy, a post he took over in January that makes him the first top Hollywood player in two decades to lead the organization. His first major TV appearance as TV Academy chief was at the Emmy nominations announcement last month where he shared the stage with pajama-clad Primetime Emmy Awards host Jimmy Kimmel. Kimmel’s stint was a departure from tradition (forced by an unexpected travel complications for Nick Offerman), just like Rosenblum is looking to change things up at the TV Academy." DEADLINE
A "Challenging" road ahead for a documentary short: "'Challenging Impossibility,' a short documentary about meditation master turned weightlifter Sri Chinmoy, has been shown in some 70 festival in more than 40 nations, and won seven best documentary prizes at various festivals. It has now been tipped for an Oscar nomination ... There's only one problem: It hasn't been released yet. It's one of the few prerequisites for a nomination: You need a release in New York or Los Angeles (and festivals don't count). But unless your name is Michael Moore or Morgan Spurlock, it's hard to get a documentary in the cinemas. If your doco is a short, it's an even tougher sell." HUFFINGTON POST
Germany narrows down its list of possible Foreign Film entraants for the next Oscars: "New films from Til Schweiger, Margarette von Trotta, Christian Petzold and Leander Haussmann are among the short list candidates for Germany's entry for the 2013 Oscar for Best Foreign Language Film. Schweiger's action thriller 'Guardian Angels,' von Trotta's biopic 'Hannah Arendt' and Petzold's East German period drama 'Barbara' are arguably the front runners in the short-list, which also includes Haussmann's tragicomedy 'Hotel Lux' and the neo-Nazi drama 'Kriegerin' from first-time director David Wnendt. Other German Oscar contenders are Ulrike Schamoni's 'Abscheid von den Froschen' and 'Die Verlorene Zeit' from director Anne Justice." HOLLYWOOD REPORTER
Golden Globes Predictions
SAG Awards Predictions
Critics' Choice Awards Predictions
Gold Derby presents 4 sets
of Oscar predictions
Meet the guys who had our best scores predicting Golden Globe and Critics' Choice nominations (video)
Critics Choice Nominations: Bryce H scored an impressive 83% when sizing up 20 categories. That was one percentage point ahead of our smartest Editor, Daniel Montgomery. Our top Expert was also one of our Editors, Paul Sheehan, who reaped 74%. To see how you performed, check out our leaderboard plus the score section of your account page.
Golden Globe (Film) Nominations: Jonathan was our top User, reaping a staggering 86% when forecasting the lineup of 10 categories. That put him six percentage points ahead of our best Expert -- Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood) -- and eight ahead of our leading Editor, Daniel Montogomery. Did you made the cut on the leaderboard score breakdown?
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Award Winners: Christian aced all rivals, scoring 82%. That was almost 20 percentage points ahead of our top Expert (Edward Douglas of ComingSoon ) and Editor (Matt Noble), both of whom earned scores of 64%. Christian foresaw that surprise screenplay win for "Before Midnight." See leaderboard.
National Board of Review Award Winners: Cinemateo21 tied with one other User (dottardi) at 34% of the winners of the National Board of Review awards. However, he wagered his points strategically and scored three times as many to win the contest. Both are to be commended as only three of our editors got even one winner correct while our Experts were shut out entirely. See leaderboard.
New York Film Critics Circle Award Winners: Likewise, Ryan Fernand tied with RobertPius at 67% of the winners of the New York Film Critics Circle but won on points. His margin of victory in that tally was closer (about 30% difference) but highlights how important it is where you place your Super (500 points) and Big (200) bets. See leaderboard.
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See contenders' momentum in easy-to-read graphs here. Click links on left side of that page to see more categories. Click here to see the racetrack odds generated when the Experts' predix are combined.