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Directors Guild Awards: Complete list of winners

By Gold Derby News Desk
By Gold Derby News Desk
Jan 25 2014 20:10 pm
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The 66th edition of these kudos took place on Saturday, Jan. 25, at the Hyatt Regency Century Plaza. Jane Lynch ("Glee") once again hosted and the following prevailed. 

FILM AWARDS

FEATURE FILM 
X -- Alfonso Cuarón – "Gravity"
Paul Greengrass – "Captain Phillips"
Steve McQueen – "12 Years a Slave"
David O. Russell – "American Hustle"
Martin Scorsese – "The Wolf of Wall Street"

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Zachary Heinzerling – "Cutie and the Boxer"
X -- Jehane Noujaim – "The Square"
Joshua Oppenheimer – "The Act of Killing"
Sarah Polley -–"Stories We Tell"
Lucy Walker – "The Crash Reel"

TELEVISION AWARDS 

DRAMA SERIES
Bryan Cranston – "Breaking Bad" ("Blood Money")
David Fincher – "House of Cards" ("Chapter 1")
X -- Vince Gilligan – "Breaking Bad" ("Felina")
Lesli Linka Glatter – "Homeland" ("The Star")
David Nutter – "Game of Thrones" ("The Rains of Castamere")

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Grammys all-star lineup: Beyonce, Jay-Z, Madonna, Macklemore & Ryan Lewis, Taylor Swift, Katy Perry ...

By Chris Beachum
By Chris Beachum
Jan 25 2014 14:30 pm
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Oct 03 2014 10:56 am
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The 56th annual edition of the Grammys airs on CBS Sunday night, live in the east and tape delayed in the west.

Among the talent scheduled to appear during the 3.5 hour kudocast emceed once again by LL Cool J are:

Sara Bareilles and Carole King
Beyonce and Jay-Z
Gary Clark, Jr.
Daft Punk, Nile Rodgers, Pharrell Williams and Stevie Wonder
Merle Haggard, Kris Kristofferson, Willie Nelson and Blake Shelton
Hunter Hayes
Kendrick Lamar and Imagine Dragons
Miranda Lambert and Billie Joe Armstrong (tribute to Phil Everly/In Memoriam)
John Legend
Lorde
Macklemore and Ryan Lewis with Madonna
Paul McCartney and Ringo Starr
Metallica and Cultural Ambassador to China Lang Lang
Kacey Musgraves
Nine Inch Nails, Lindsay Buckingham, Dave Grohl and Queens of the Stone Age (show finale)
Katy Perry
Pink and Nate Ruess
Taylor Swift
Robin Thicke and Chicago
Trombone Shorty and Orleans Avenue
Keith Urban

And slated to take to the stage of the Staples Center to present the prizes and introduce the musical acts are: 

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5 Oscar nominees you didn't know were already on Netflix

By Marcus James Dixon
By Marcus James Dixon
Jan 25 2014 06:00 am
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Oct 14 2014 14:59 pm
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At this year's Oscar party, you're not allowed to claim ignorance about the roster of documentary features and a certain foreign language film thanks to Netflix making early streaming available for five of 2013's nominees.

The four Best Documentary Feature nominees available on Netflix are: "The Act of Killing," "Cutie and the Boxer," "Dirty Wars" and "The Square." The fifth -- "20 Feet from Stardom" -- is still in theatrical release. (Read Daniel Montgomery's take on the Best Documentary race here.)

The sole Best Foreign Film contender now streaming on Netflix is "The Hunt."

Netflix has reason to be happy this awards derby, as "The Square" was produced by the streaming website and resulted in its first-ever Oscar nomination.

This comes on the heels of Netflix winning its first Golden Globe award for Best TV Drama Actress Robin Wright ("House of Cards") earlier this month as well as a trio of Emmys for that series last  September: Best Drama Director (David Fincher), Best Drama Casting and Best Single-Camera Series Cinematography. 

Where do these five streaming films fall in terms of our predictions for the Oscars?

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How DGA win could seal Best Picture Oscar for 'Gravity' or '12 Years a Slave'

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Jan 25 2014 05:50 am
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Oct 20 2014 23:34 pm
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Last Sunday, "12 Years a Slave" and "Gravity" were both named Best Picture at the Producers Guild Awards in an unprecedented tie. So, if one of them wins the Directors Guild Award on Saturday, is the Oscar race for Best Picture pretty much over?

The PGA has a strong track record predicting Oscar's Best Picture: they have previewed the champ 17 out of 24 times (71%), including the last six years in a row. The DGA's record is even better: 52 out of their 65 winners (80%) have gone on to see their films named Best Picture by the acadmy.

And when you combine these two guilds, you have an even better Oscar crystal ball.

PGA and DGA have picked the same film 18 times in the past 24 years and 15 of those went on to win Best Picture at the Oscars. That's an accuracy rate of 83%. The three outliers were:

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How likely is 'Gravity' to land all those craft Oscars?

By Riley Chow
By Riley Chow
Jan 24 2014 15:55 pm
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Oct 20 2014 23:34 pm
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Gravity” is the latest in a string of critically-acclaimed, effects-driven blockbusters to reap Oscar bids across many of the craft categories. It is our absolute odds-on favorite to win Cinematography, Editing, Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. (Its helmer Alfonso Cuaron is the frontrunner for Best Director, the film figures in our top three for Best Picture and it is in second for Actress and Production Design.) 

But is its Oscar fate really so cut-and-dry? Let's look at what happened with four similar contenders -- "Avatar," "Inception," "Hugo" and "Life of Pi" -- in recent years.

All four were nominated for Best Picture, as is "Gravity," as well as six of the same craft categories: Cinematography, Production Design (formerly called Art Direction), Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. “Inception” was the only one snubbed for Director and Editing; “Avatar” was the only one not nominated for screenplay; "Gravity" was likewise left out of contention for its script. 

All four won Cinematography and Visual Effects, along with one to three others, varying by film, as detailed below.

“Avatar” (2009)
MetaCritic score: 83
Box office: $2.78 billion
Oscar wins: 3/9 nominations: Art Direction, Cinematography, Visual Effects

“Inception” (2010)
MetaCritic score: 74
Box office: $825 million 
Oscars wins: 4/8 nominations: Cinematography, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects

"Hugo" (2011)
MetaCritic score: 83
Box office: $186 million
Oscar wins: 5/11 nominations - Art Direction, Cinematography, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects

"Life of PI" (2012)
MetaCritic score: 79
Box office: $609 million 
Oscar wins: 4/11 nominations - Director, Cinematography, Score, Visual Effects

Why do we expect "Gravity" to take all these below the line races, save Production Design, when none of these did?

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Will Lupita Nyongo and Barkhad Abdi join 15 Oscar winners for film debuts?

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Jan 24 2014 12:15 pm
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Oct 20 2014 23:34 pm
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oscars lupita nyong'o 12 years a slave barkhad abdi captain phillips

Both Lupita Nyongo ("12 Years a Slave") and Barkhad Abdi ("Captain Phillips") have earned Oscar nominations for their feature film debuts, making this the first time in 17 years that two actors have done so. The last time was Edward Norton ("Primal Fear") and Emily Watson ("Breaking the Waves") in 1996; if their careers are any indication, Nyongo and Abdi have a lot to look forward to regardless of the Oscar results.

Since winning at Critics' Choice and the SAG Awards, Nyongo has dramatically widened her lead in the Best Supporting Actress race over Golden Globe champ Jennifer Lawrence ("American Hustle"). Indeed, Supporting Actress has crowned more debuts that any other category; Nyongo would be the ninth, following:

Gale Sondergaard ("Anthony Adverse," 1936)
Katina Paxinou ("For Whom the Bell Tolls," 1943)
Mercedes McCambridge ("All the King's Men," 1949)
Eva Marie Saint ("On the Waterfront," 1954)
Jo Van Fleet ("East of Eden," 1955)
Tatum O'Neal ("Paper Moon," 1973)
Anna Paquin ("The Piano," 1993)
Jennifer Hudson ("Dreamgirls," 2006)

Another four women won lead Oscars for their film debuts:

Shirley Booth ("Come Back, Little Sheba," 1952)
Julie Andrews ("Mary Poppins," 1964)
Barbra Streisand ("Funny Girl," 1968)
Marlee Matlin ("Children of a Lesser God," 1986)

Unfortunately for Abdi, Oscar isn't nearly as fond of male newcomers. If he can overcome his steep 50/1 odds to win Best Supporting Actor, he will join only three other fellows who won for their screen debuts, all of them also in the supporting category:

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Why can't black-and-white films win Cinematography Oscar?

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Jan 24 2014 12:10 pm
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Oct 20 2014 23:34 pm
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oscars cinematography phedon papamichael the artist man who wasn't there nebraska white ribbon good night and good luck

Why can't black-and-white movies manage to win Best Cinematography at the Oscars?

Since the academy merged its color and black-and-white categories in 1967, only one of the latter has won: "Schindler's List" 20 years ago.

Usually the most conspicuous achievement in below-the-line Oscar categories prevails. The biggest period gowns tend to win Costume Design, the most elaborate sets win Production Design, the loudest movies win Sound, and so on. And if any kind of cinematography stands out in the modern era, it's black-and-white. But it hasn't worked out that way.

In recent years, the Best Cinematography Oscar has gone to the director of photography who points the camera at the most CGI ("Avatar," "Inception," "Hugo," "Life of Pi"). This year that tradition is likely to continue, with Emmanuel Lubezki far out front for his work on "Gravity."

And if I were an academy member, I'd be hard-pressed to vote against Lubezki – "Gravity" is such a visual marvel I think Visual Effects and Cinematography Oscars are equally warranted and he is long overdue – but I'd quibble with previous results. "Inception" over "True Grit"? "Hugo" over "The Tree of Life"? Those awards felt like the academy not paying enough attention.

This year another black-and-white film is in the running: "Nebraska," shot by Phedon Papamichael. Discussing his decision to go monochromatic, Alexander Payne said at the New York Film Festival last fall, "It's just so darn beautiful," and he's right. Full of associations with classic Hollywood, it has a nostalgic quality that enhances "Nebraska's" stroll through old Woody Grant's (Bruce Dern) hometown. (Watch our interview with Papamichael here.)

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Will Directors Guild Awards give us clearer picture of Oscars?

By Paul Sheehan
By Paul Sheehan
Jan 24 2014 11:32 am
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Oct 21 2014 02:32 am
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Following Sunday's tie by "Gravity" and "12 Years a Slave" at the PGA Awards and the win by "American Hustle" of Best Ensemble at Saturday's SAG Awards, we can be fairly certain that one of these three will win Best Picture at the Oscars?

But which one?

We might have a better sense this Saturday when the Directors Guild of America reveals their winner. After all, in the 65-year history of these kudos, the guild choice has helmed the academy's pick for Best Picture 52 times, including last year when Oscar-snubbed Ben Affleck won with the DGA while "Argo" went on to take the top Academy Award. 

This 80% success rate at predicting the Best Picture champ eclipses that of both the PGA (17/24 -71%) and SAG (9/18 -- 50%). 

The 13 exceptions to the DGA rule (and three of these also number among the seven instances where the DGA champ did not also win Best Director at the Oscars) were:

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Alfonso Cuaron ('Gravity') predicted to win Directors Guild Award

By Paul Sheehan
By Paul Sheehan
Jan 24 2014 11:07 am
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Oct 21 2014 02:32 am
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Alfonso Cuaron ("Gravity") is all but certain to win the top prize at the 66th annual edition of the Directors Guild of America Awards on Saturday.

This first-time nominee is far out in front, with the support of all of our Experts save for Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), all of our Editors, 21 of our Top 24 Users from last year and 85% of All Users. That support gives him odds of 1/5. 

Stone, those three Top 24 Users and 10% of All Users are backing the bid by another rookie contender Steve McQueen ("12 Years a Slave") who has odds of 8/1. 

With just a smattering of support each, second-time nominee David O. Russell ("American Hustle") has odds of 33/1 while 2006 champ Martin Scorsese -- who reaped his eight film nomination for "The Wolf of Wall Street" is at 50/1 and another newcomer, Paul Greengrass ("Captain Phillips"), ranks last with odds of 100/1. 

All but Greengrass also contend for Best Director at the Oscars; he was bumped out there by Alexander Payne ("Nebraska"). 

In the 65-year history of the DGA awards, it's winner has gone on to take home the Oscar on 58 occasions. Not surprisingly then, Cuaron is the overwhelming favorite at the Oscars too. The seven exceptions have been:

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Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever

Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Experts
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
9/2
2 UnbrokenUnbroken
6/1
3 BirdmanBirdman
15/2
4 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
15/2
5 InterstellarInterstellar
12/1
6 The Theory of EverythingThe Theory of Everything
12/1
7 Gone GirlGone Girl
12/1
8 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
16/1
9 American SniperAmerican Sniper
33/1
10 SelmaSelma
50/1
See complete statistics by Clicking Here

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Oscars 2014: Key Categories

BEST PICTURE:
'Boyhood' fights off strong challenges from 'Birdman' 'The Imitation Game.'
 
BEST DIRECTOR:
Past nominee Bennett Miller ('Foxcatcher') vs. rookies Linklater, Jolie. 
 
BEST ACTOR:
Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything') rising; Steve Carell ('Foxcatcher') falling.

 
BEST ACTRESS:
New entry Julianne Moore ('Still Alice') leaps ahead of Amy Adams ('Big Eyes').
 
BEST S. ACTOR:
Vet J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash') extends lead over Mark Ruffalo, ('Foxcatcher').
 
BEST S. ACTRESS: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood') far in front for her 12-year commitment to film. 
,
 
Predictions
See how each of these groups ranks the nominees for Best Picture according to likelihood of winning. Click through the links on top of that page to see more categories:
Here's the breakdown of their collective views:
See which ponies the real pros (Gold Derby's editorial staffers) are betting on:
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