Blog: News & Views

What time are the Oscars?

By Paul Sheehan
By Paul Sheehan
Mar 02 2014 04:04 am
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Nov 26 2014 03:19 am
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The 86th edition of the Academy Awards takes place on Sunday, March 2 at 8:30 pm ET/5:30 pm PT live from the Dolby Theater in Hollywood. Ellen DeGeneres is hosting this kudocast that airs on ABC for the second time. 

We are predicting that "Gravity" will prevail with seven of its 10 nominations while "12 Years a Slave" will win three of its nine bids, including Best Picture and "American Hustle" will go one for 10. (See the full list of predicted winners below). 

These predictions are based on a combination of the four sets of forecasts at Gold Derby: 30 Experts8 Editors, Top 24 Users (those who scored highest predicting last year's winners) and All Users.

"Gravity"
Best Director, Alfonso Cuaron
Best Cinematography
Best Editing
Best Score
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Visual Effects

RELATEDWhich Oscar races will point way to Best Picture winner?

"12 Years a Slave"
Best Picture
Best Supporting Actress, Lupita Nyongo
Best Adapted Screenplay

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News Nuggets: Oscar nominees celebrate final moments before the big show

By Chris Beachum
By Chris Beachum
Mar 01 2014 22:12 pm
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Nov 26 2014 20:28 pm
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entertainment news nuggetsNetflix Chief Content Officer Ted Sarandos celebrates with the director of Netflix’s "The Square" Jehane Noujaim and Charlie Rose at the home of Sarandos and his wife, Nicole A. Avant, at a toast for the Academy Award-nominated documentary “The Square” this weekend.

entertainment news nuggetsDame Helen Mirren and producer Cathy Schulman co-host the annual Women in Film pre-Oscars event in Los Angeles. Among the attendees were Oscar nominees Lupita Nyong'o ("12 Years a Slave"), June Squibb ("Nebraska"), Julie Delpy ("Before Midnight"), and producers from "Captain Phillips," "Dallas Buyers Club," "Frozen," "Philomena," and "The Wolf of Wall Street." Others included Lake Bell, Jaime King, Sarah Paulson, Elisabeth Rohm, and Gabourey Sidibe. L.A. Times.

entertainment news nuggetsSandy Cohen reveals the secrets behind Oscar rehearsals on Friday. Pharrell Williams practiced his song "Happy" with a choir of high school students and 20 pro dancers. He will be introduced by Jamie Foxx at the ceremony Sunday. Idina Menzel, who will perform "Let It Go," was "awed by the technology" and orchestra, which is playing off-site at the Capitol Records building (as they did last year). Karen O rehearsed "The Moon Song" with Vampire Weekend's Ezra Koenig on acoustic guitar. No details emerged about U2 ("Ordinary Love"), but they did stay well into the night. Huffington Post.

entertainment news nuggetsScott Feinberg is making one final change to his Oscar nominations: ditching Jennifer Lawrence ("12 Years a Slave") for Lupita Nyong'o ("12 Years a Slave") as Best Supporting Actress. He is making the change based on his conversations with several voters and because Lawrence hasn't been able to make the campaign events like Nyong'o has. Even with BAFTA and Globe wins for Lawrence (often a great indicator), he feels the SAG win for Nyong'o is even more important in an incredibly tight category. Hollywood Reporter.

entertainment news nuggets"Gravity" takes home the top trophy Friday from the Hollywood publicists guild. It defeated "American Hustle," "Despicable Me 2," "The Heat," and "Saving Mr. Banks." The television award was given to "American Horror Story: Coven," which won over "The Crazy Ones," "Glee," "The Good Wife," and "How I Met Your Mother." Variety.

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UPSET at the Razzie Awards: 'Movie 43' wins Worst Picture

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Mar 01 2014 21:01 pm
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Nov 26 2014 22:14 pm
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razzie awards movie 43The motion picture academy may have a notoriously short memory, but Razzie Award voters reached back more than a year to decide their Worst Picture.

"Movie 43," released Jan. 25, 2013, was the winner of that dubious achievement, as well as Worst Director (for 13 credited filmmakers including Elizabeth Banks, Brett Ratner, and Peter Farrelly) and Worst Screenplay (19 writers were "honored" for their unfortunate contributions).

Click here for the complete list of winners.

"Movie 43" was a strong contender as soon as it was released to scathing reviews (18 on MetaCritic, 4% freshness on Rotten Tomatoes) and poor box office (less than $30 million worldwide), but it seemed to be overshadowed last summer by the higher profile critical flops "After Earth," "The Lone Ranger," and "Grown Ups 2," which were all ahead of "Movie 43" in our racetrack odds.

Despite losing Worst Picture, "After Earth" managed to tie "Movie 43" with three wins of its own: Worst Actor (Jaden Smith), Worst Supporting Actor (Will Smith), and Worst Screen Combo for the father and son team.

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Razzie Awards: Complete list of winners

By Gold Derby News Desk
By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 01 2014 21:00 pm
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Nov 26 2014 22:14 pm
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razzie awards logo

Winners were announced for the 34th Annual Razzie Awards during an hour-long ceremony in Hollywood on Saturday, March 1, the day before the Oscars. Below is the complete list of winners.

And for our report on this year's winners, click here.

WORST PICTURE
"After Earth"
"Grown Ups 2"
"The Lone Ranger"
"A Madea Christmas"
X -- "Movie 43"

WORST ACTOR
Johnny Depp, "The Lone Ranger"
Ashton Kutcher, "Jobs"
Adam Sandler, "Grown Ups 2"
X -- Jaden Smith, "After Earth"
Sylvester Stallne, "Bullet to the Head"/"Escape Plan"/"Grudge Match"

WORST ACTRESS
Halle Berry, "The Call"/"Movie 43"
Selena Gomez, "Getaway"
Lindsay Lohan, "The Canyons"
X -- Tyler Perry, "A Madea Christmas"
Naomi Watts, "Diana"/"Movie 43"

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Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) tops all Experts predicting Independent Spirit winners

By Chris Beachum
By Chris Beachum
Mar 01 2014 20:28 pm
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Nov 26 2014 20:28 pm
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Gold Derby's very own Paul Sheehan was the best Expert with an outstanding 86% correct on his 2013 Independent Spirit Awards winner predictions. 12 film journalists took part in this year's contest.

In second place were Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly) and Steve Pond (The Wrap) with 79%.

There is then a large six-way tie at 72% right between Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Tariq Khan (Fox NewsTom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), and Peter Travers (Rolling Stone).

The final three spots are Keith Simanton (IMDB) at 65%, Susan Wloszczyna (Roger Ebert) at 58%, and Claudia Puig (USA Today) at 50%.

Click here for a breakdown of all top scorers in our leaderboard. To see the pundits' original predictions, click here.

RELATED: See how you did predicting the Spirit Awards winners.

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See how you did predicting the Independent Spirit Awards winners

By Chris Beachum
By Chris Beachum
Mar 01 2014 20:25 pm
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Nov 26 2014 20:28 pm
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Congratulations to our site User JamesNeat, who earned a score of 93% accuracy predicting the Independent Spirit Awards winners. He actually tied with Justin Poletti, GOJeffreyYounger, and DerekReviews but used his 500 and 200 point bets wisely and had the better point score of 2,537.

Over 1,100 Gold Derby readers forecasted this year's Spirit champs, logging over 14,000 predictions. To see how you fared, log in to your account and under your profile picture click Independent Spirit Awards 2013.

Click here to see our leadboard of all top scorers. To see how we fared predicting each category, click here.

RELATED: Paul Sheehan tops Experts predicting Spirit Awards winners.

Those were the only four Users who beat our best Editor -- David Schnelwar -- who came in at 86% accuracy. The other four Editors tied with 65% right -- Marcus Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, and myself.

Our overall best Expert was Gold Derby's own Paul Sheehan with an excellent 86% correct. In second place were Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly) and Steve Pond (The Wrap) with 79%.

There is then a large six-way tie at 72% right between Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Tariq Khan (Fox NewsTom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), and Peter Travers (Rolling Stone). The final three spots are Keith Simanton (IMDB) at 65%, Susan Wloszczyna (Roger Ebert) at 58%, and Claudia Puig (USA Today) at 50%.

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What do Indie Spirit Awards mean for Oscars?

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Mar 01 2014 17:15 pm
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Nov 26 2014 22:14 pm
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What did the Independent Spirit Awards tell us about the Oscars?

(For the complete list of winners, click here.)

These kudos can't influence tomorrow night's Oscars because the academy's deadline for ballots has passed. And, as in the past, the Indie Spirits went to the strongest Oscar contenders among their nominees. 

Granted, they nominated more Oscar frontrunners than usual this year, but that probably tells us more about the decreasing independence of the Indie Spirits than it does about the Oscars.

So, the Indie Spirits showed us what we already knew:

"12 Years a Slave" is a top contender for Best Picture. It didn't have to worry about "Gravity" or "American Hustle" here because they cost too much to qualify for these kudos.

Best Female Lead Cate Blanchett ("Blue Jasmine") and Best Supporting Male Jared Leto ("Dallas Buyers Club") are still virtual locks in their Oscar categories.

And Lupita Nyong'o ("12 Years") had pretty much a free ride in the Supporting Female race without Jennifer Lawrence ("American Hustle") in the mix.

RELATEDIndie Spirits preview Oscars: '12 Years a Slave,',McConaughey, Blanchett, Leto

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Indie Spirits preview Oscars: '12 Years a Slave' wins 5, McConaughey, Blanchett, Leto

By Paul Sheehan
By Paul Sheehan
Mar 01 2014 15:35 pm
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Nov 26 2014 03:19 am
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Saturday's Indie Spirit Awards offered an unprecedented preview of Sunday's Oscars. "12 Years a Slave" won Best Picture, Supporting Actress (Lupita Nyongo) and Adapted Screenplay here as it is predicted to do on Sunday. While the film also claimed Best Director (Steve McQueen) and Cinematography, it is not expected to repeat in those races at the Oscars. (See full list of winners here.)

All four Oscar frontrunners for acting -- leads Matthew McConaughey ("Dallas Buyers Club") and Cate Blanchett ("Blue Jasmine") and supporting players Jared Leto ("Dallas Buyers Club") and Lupita Nyongo ("12 Years a Slave") -- picked up prizes here as well.

And the Spirits pick for Best Documentary -- "20 Feet from Stardom" -- is predicted to prevail again on Sunday. 

"Blue is the Warmest Color" won Best International Film. It was ineligible for the foreign-language category at the Oscars as it did not open in its native France before the deadline. 

The academy snubbed "Fruitvale Station" which won Best First Feature. However, Best First Screenplay winner Bob Nelson ("Nebraska") is in contention on Sunday for his original script; however, that Oscar race looks like it is between "American Hustle" and "Her."

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Independent Spirit Awards: Complete list of winners

By Gold Derby News Desk
By Gold Derby News Desk
Mar 01 2014 12:51 pm
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Nov 26 2014 03:19 am
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Winners for the 29th annual Independent Spirit Awards were announced on Saturday (March 1), one day before the Oscars, during an afternoon ceremony on Santa Monica beach. The 1:30 p.m. start means that only a taped version of the show will air on IFC at 10 p.m. ET/PT. (Read full report on winners here.) 

Indie Spirits preview Oscars: '12 Years a Slave,' McConaughey, Blanchett, Leto

American feature film nominees, culled from entries with budgets of under $20 million, were determined by a committee while winners were chosen by members of Film Independent. 

RELATED: Make your Oscar predictions, win $1,000

BEST PICTURE
X - "12 Years A Slave"
"All is Lost"
"Frances Ha"
"Inside Llewyn Davis"
"Nebraska"

BEST DIRECTOR
Shane Carruth, "Upstream Color"
J.C. Chandor, "All Is Lost"
X - Steve McQueen, "12 Years A Slave"
Jeff Nichols, "Mud"
Alexander Payne, "Nebraska"

BEST ACTOR
Bruce Dern, "Nebraska"
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years A Slave"
Oscar Isaac, "Inside Llewyn Davis"
Michael B Jordan, "Fruitvale Station"
X - Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club"
Robert Redford, "All Is Lost"

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Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

Oscars Predictions by Top Experts

See the latest Oscar predictions of our famous pundits — Click Here. See the category rankings when their predictions are combined - Click Here. Sample below. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Experts
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
9/2
2 UnbrokenUnbroken
15/2
3 BirdmanBirdman
15/2
4 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
8/1
5 SelmaSelma
9/1
6 The Theory of EverythingThe Theory of Everything
10/1
7 Gone GirlGone Girl
16/1
8 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
16/1
9 WhiplashWhiplash
25/1
10 InterstellarInterstellar
25/1
See complete statistics by Clicking Here

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Video: Here's How to Make Award Predictions at Gold Derby

Oscars 2014: Key Categories

BEST PICTURE:
'Boyhood' fights off strong challenges from 'Birdman' 'The Imitation Game.'
 
BEST DIRECTOR:
Richard Linklater ('Boyhood') widens lead over other rookie contenders. 
 
BEST ACTOR:
Michael Keaton ('Birdman) over Eddie Redmayne ('Theory of Everything').

 
BEST ACTRESS:
Julianne Moore ('Still Alice') now far ahead of Amy Adams ('Big Eyes').
 
BEST S. ACTOR:
Vet J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash') extends lead over Mark Ruffalo, ('Foxcatcher').
 
BEST S. ACTRESS: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood') far in front for her 12-year commitment to film. 
,
 
Predictions
See how each of these groups ranks the nominees for Best Picture according to likelihood of winning. Click through the links on top of that page to see more categories:
Here's the breakdown of their collective views:
See which ponies the real pros (Gold Derby's editorial staffers) are betting on:
Voting

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