Oscars 2012: Handicapping

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

= Odds to Win

Argo

Screenplay by Chris Terrio, based on an article by Joshuah Bearman. He has no previous Oscar nominations.

Lincoln

Screenplay by Tony Kushner, a Tony, Emmy, and Pulitzer Prize winner for "Angels in America" and an Oscar nominee for co-writing Steven Spielberg's "Munich."

Silver Linings Playbook

Screenplay by David O. Russell, who also directed. Russell has a previous Oscar nomination for directing ("The Fighter"), but none for writing.

Life of Pi

Screenplay by David Magee, previously nominated for his adapted screenplay for "Finding Neverland."

Beasts of the Southern Wild

Director Benh Zeitlin and Lucy Alibar adapted Alibar's stage play. They have no previous Oscar nominations.

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