Independent Spirit Awards 2012:
Predicted Winners

Best Picture

Votes
%
Odds
1
Silver Linings Playbook
Silver Linings Pla..
423
34
19/10
2
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Beasts of the Sout..
276
30
23/10
3
Moonrise Kingdom
Moonrise Kingdom
40
17
5/1
4
Bernie
Bernie
1
11
8/1
5
Keep the Lights On
Keep the Lights On
3
8
12/1
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Best Director

Votes
%
Odds
1
Benh Zeitlin
Benh Zeitlin
(Beasts of the Southe..)
402
33
2/1
2
David O. Russell
David O. Russell
(Silver Linings Playb..)
274
29
12/5
3
Wes Anderson
Wes Anderson
(Moonrise Kingdom)
58
19
9/2
4
Ira Sachs
Ira Sachs
(Keep the Lights On)
0
11
8/1
5
Julia Loktev
Julia Loktev
(The Loneliest Planet..)
2
8
12/1
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Best Actor

Votes
%
Odds
1
John Hawkes
John Hawkes
(The Sessions)
380
32
21/10
2
Bradley Cooper
Bradley Cooper
(Silver Linings Playb..)
328
30
23/10
3
Jack Black
Jack Black
(Bernie)
12
12
15/2
4
Matthew McConaughey
Matthew McConaughey
(Killer Joe)
5
10
9/1
5
Thure Lindhardt
Thure Lindhardt
(Keep the Lights On)
4
9
10/1
6
Wendell Pierce
Wendell Pierce
(Four)
1
7
14/1
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Best Actress

Votes
%
Odds
1
Jennifer Lawrence
Jennifer Lawrence
(Silver Linings Playb..)
619
41
7/5
2
Quvenzhane Wallis
Quvenzhane Wallis
(Beasts of the Southe..)
93
25
3/1
3
Emayatzy Corinealdi
Emayatzy Corinealdi
(Middle of Nowhere)
9
13
13/2
4
Mary Elizabeth Winstead
Mary Elizabeth Winst..
(Smashed)
5
13
13/2
5
Linda Cardellini
Linda Cardellini
(Return)
3
8
12/1
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Best Supporting Actor

Votes
%
Odds
1
Matthew McConaughey
Matthew McConaughey
(Magic Mike)
574
38
13/8
2
Michael Pena
Michael Pena
(End of Watch)
60
21
4/1
3
Bruce Willis
Bruce Willis
(Moonrise Kingdom)
45
17
5/1
4
Sam Rockwell
Sam Rockwell
(Seven Psychopaths)
26
13
13/2
5
David Oyelowo
David Oyelowo
(Middle of Nowhere)
18
12
15/2
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Best Supporting Actress

Votes
%
Odds
1
Helen Hunt
Helen Hunt
(The Sessions)
436
36
9/5
2
Ann Dowd
Ann Dowd
(Compliance)
256
29
12/5
3
Rosemarie DeWitt
Rosemarie DeWitt
(Your Sisters Sister..)
15
14
6/1
4
Lorraine Toussaint
Lorraine Toussaint
(Middle of Nowhere)
5
12
15/2
5
Brit Marling
Brit Marling
(Sound of My Voice)
4
9
10/1
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Best Screenplay

Votes
%
Odds
1
Silver Linings Playbook
Silver Linings Pla..
360
33
2/1
2
Moonrise Kingdom
Moonrise Kingdom
330
32
21/10
3
Keep the Lights On
Keep the Lights On
6
13
13/2
4
Seven Psychopaths
Seven Psychopaths
5
12
15/2
5
Ruby Sparks
Ruby Sparks
6
9
10/1
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Best First Feature

Votes
%
Odds
1
Perks of Being a Wallflower
Perks of Being a W..
603
41
7/5
2
Safety Not Guaranteed
Safety Not Guarant..
66
24
10/3
3
Sound of My Voice
Sound of My Voice
15
14
6/1
4
Fill the Void
Fill the Void
11
13
13/2
5
Gimme the Loot
Gimme the Loot
3
8
12/1
More

Best First Screenplay

Votes
%
Odds
1
Safety Not Guaranteed
Safety Not Guarant..
540
39
8/5
2
Celeste and Jesse Forever
Celeste and Jesse ..
103
24
10/3
3
Fill the Void
Fill the Void
18
15
11/2
4
Robot and Frank
Robot and Frank
14
11
8/1
5
Gayby
Gayby
14
11
8/1
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Best Documentary Film

Votes
%
Odds
1
How to Survive a Plague
How to Survive a P..
526
39
8/5
2
The Central Park Five
The Central Park F..
96
23
10/3
3
The Invisible War
The Invisible War
41
18
9/2
4
Marina Abramovic The Artist is Present
Marina Abramovic T..
7
11
8/1
5
The Waiting Room
The Waiting Room
5
9
10/1
More

Best International Film

Votes
%
Odds
1
Amour
Amour
646
43
27/20
2
Rust and Bone
Rust and Bone
26
23
10/3
3
Once Upon a Time in Anatolia
Once Upon a Time i..
2
13
13/2
4
Sister
Sister
3
12
15/2
5
War Witch
War Witch
2
10
9/1
More

Best Cinematography

Votes
%
Odds
1
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Beasts of the Sout..
588
42
11/8
2
Moonrise Kingdom
Moonrise Kingdom
80
25
3/1
3
End of Watch
End of Watch
7
14
6/1
4
Here
Here
1
11
8/1
5
Valley of Saints
Valley of Saints
4
9
10/1
More

John Cassavetes Award

Votes
%
Odds
1
Middle of Nowhere
Middle of Nowhere
595
41
7/5
2
Breakfast with Curtis
Breakfast with Cur..
33
22
7/2
3
Mosquita y Mari
Mosquita y Mari
13
14
6/1
4
Starlet
Starlet
11
13
13/2
5
The Color Wheel
The Color Wheel
9
10
9/1
More

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