News & Views
The BAFTAs begin at the Royal Opera House in London at 7:00 pm Sunday (Feb. 14). However, the BBC won't air the show until 9 pm local time. And it won't go out on BBC America until 5 pm PT/8 pm ET. But we will have the results here at Gold Derby as they unfold, beginning at 11:00 am PT/2:00 pm ET.
Congratulations to Joyce Eng (TV Guide) for having the top score of 80% predicting the 2016 Writers Guild Awards winners on Saturday. Over 1,000 people worldwide predicted the winners in 10 WGA categories, including 10 Experts who cover film and television.
Eng got eight of those correct, including the feature film winners of "The Big Short" (adapted screenplay), "Spotlight" (original screenplay), and "Going Clear" (documentary screenplay). In fact, her only misses were Best TV Variety Talk Series, where she had "Daily Show with Jon Stewart" over actual champ "Real Time with Bill Maher," and Best TV Drama Series, where she had "Mr. Robot" instead of the winner "Mad Men."
Congratulations to Couch Potato for an excellent 90% accuracy in predicting the 2016 WGA Awards winners on Saturday. He actually tied with one other User -- AayaanUpadhyaya -- but had the better point total of 7,718 by using his 500 and 200 point bets wisely.
Over 1,000 people worldwide predicted the winners in 10 Writers Guild Awards categories. Our top scorer got nine of those correct, including the feature film winners of "The Big Short" (adapted screenplay), "Spotlight" (original screenplay), and "Going Clear" (documentary screenplay). In fact, his only miss was Best TV Variety Talk Series, where he had "Daily Show with Jon Stewart" over actual champ "Real Time with Bill Maher."
As expected, "The Big Short" won Best Adapted Screenplay and "Spotlight" took Best Original Screenplay at the Writers Guild Awards. Does that mean they'll win Oscars in those categories next? They are already the frontrunners according to our racetrack odds, but WGA is limited as an Oscar predictor. (For the complete list of WGA winners, click here.)
Gold Derby was on the red carpet at Saturday's Writers Guild Awards as top film and TV nominees and winners did interviews. We have eight exclusive chats with such people as Oscar nominees Drew Goddard ("The Martian"), Adam McKay and Charles Randolph ("The Big Short"), and Josh Singer ("Spotlight").
The Writers Guild Awards were presented on Saturday, February 13, during a ceremony hosted by comedian Patton Oswalt.
What's fun about dishing Oscars with Sasha Stone (Awards Daily) is that she's as thoroughly obsessed with "the stats" as you and me – maybe even more so. She can tell you, for example, that no film has won Best Picture after failing to be nominated for Best Screenplay at both the Oscars and BAFTA. But yet she's also savvy enough to add, "Maybe the film's experience is so big and powerful – especially for men – that 'The Revenant' could override that."
During my recent webcam chat with Gold Derby editors Daniel Montgomery and Paul Sheehan (watch above), I lay out my findings as to the success rate of the 10 most recent Best Picture winners at various precursor prizes. As detailed in this post, there were 35 boxes representing key races at these and the Oscars. On average, the Best Picture winner checked off 27 of these. Click here to read more about my research.
Let's apply my theory to see how this year’s eight Best Picture nominees are doing so far.
This year, we have seen key precursor prizes award Best Picture (or its equivalent) to three different films. The Critics' Choice and SAG went for for "Spotlight," the Golden Globes and DGA opted for "The Revenant" and the PGA picked "The Big Short." This is all terribly exciting but if you’re an Oscar pundit, it’s a dangerous time.
Predict Oscar winners: Claim bragging rights, top spot on our leaderboards and a place of honor in next year's Top 24 Users (see what this year's are predicting HERE). Be in our top three and you could win Amazon gift certificates (1st: $500; 2nd: $300; 3rd: $200).
Predict WGA, BAFTA, Indie Spirit, Razzies & Grammys winners: Be the best at predicting winners of these awards and you could claim a $100 Amazon gift certificate.
CLICK HERE TO GET STARTED. We'll send you personal notifications of your scores.