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Predict Best Editing Oscar: Will it continue to line up with Best Picture?

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Sep 23 2014 08:24 am

imitation game boyhood fury oscars best editing

Best Editing is known for its close correlation with Best Picture. Since 1981, every Best Picture winner has at least been nominated in this category. And of those 33 races, 16 editing champs went on to win the top prize.

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Exclusive: 'True Detective' will compete at Globes as limited series, SAG as drama series

By Chris Beachum
By Chris Beachum
Sep 23 2014 05:43 am

True Detective Matthew McConaughey Woody Harrelson Golden Globes SAG Awards Entertainment News

HBO confirms that a new rule at the Golden Globes is forcing "True Detective" to compete as a limited series, not as a drama. The HBO newcomer tried its luck at the Emmys in August as a drama series and will continue to contend in that category at the upcoming Screen Actors Guild Awards.

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'Dancing with the Stars' recap: Did last week's top performers live up to high expectations?

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Sep 22 2014 19:57 pm

dancing with the stars dwts alfonso ribeiro lea thompson

In last week's "Dancing With the Stars" season premiere, actor Alfonso Ribeiro and reality star Sadie Robertson set a high standard for themselves and the rest of the season 19 cast, finishing at the top of the leaderboard and sailing through to week two, but neither was quite able to match their initial success this week.

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Predict Best Production Design Oscar: 'Grand Budapest Hotel'? 'The Hobbit'?

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Sep 22 2014 14:36 pm

grand budapest hotel the hobbit battle of the five armies oscars production design

The Oscar for Best Production Design -- often associated with lavish sets, interiors, and settings -- is usually awarded to period films or fantasies. The most recent winner was "The Great Gatsby," set in the opulent Long Island homes of the wealthy, and other recent winners include period pieces "Lincoln," "Hugo," "Memoirs of a Geisha," and "The Aviator," as well as fantasies "Alice in Wonderland," "Avatar," and "Pan's Labyrinth."

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Oscars predictions slugfest: Thelma Adams vs. Tom O'Neil (podcast)

By Tom O'Neil
By Tom O'Neil
Sep 22 2014 13:42 pm

The Imitation Game Benedict Cumberbatch news entertainment Oscars

"Right now, of the things I've seen, 'The Imitation Game' is in the lead" for Best Picture," says Thelma Adams (Yahoo) in our podcast chat.

The reason: "Because it works. It's a brave story well told," she adds.

"It's about World War II codebreakers and then it has this historical kick. Alan Turing was a homosexual at a time when that was illegal and even though he saved the queen – God save the queen! – and made a huge difference in terms of World War II, he was arrested for being gay. Chemically castrated. He couldn't handle that and committed suicide."

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NYFF: 'Seymour' helped Ethan Hawke overcome 'feelings of inadequacy'

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Sep 22 2014 12:08 pm

seymour an introduction ethan hawke nyff

Ethan Hawke has every reason to be confident. He's an Oscar-nominated writer and actor, not to mention a Tony-nominee for Tom Stoppard's "The Coast of Utopia." Now he's at the New York Film Festival promoting his first documentary, "Seymour: An Introduction," which profiles classical pianist Seymour Bernstein. Recently, it was the second-runner up for the People's Choice Award for Best Documentary at the Toronto Film Festival, and it premieres at NYFF on Sept. 27, but the film, as well as his relationship with Bernstein, was spurred by feelings of self-doubt.

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Predict Best Costume Design Oscar: Will period and fantasy continue to dominate?

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Sep 22 2014 11:38 am

costume design oscar mr. turner maleficent into the woods

Because period films often feature elaborate, detailed garments, they almost always win the Oscar for Best Costume Design. Last year, the award went to the extravagant, 1920s-set "The Great Gatsby." Recent winners have also been set among the European upper-class ("Anna Karenina," "Marie Antoinette," "The Duchess," "The Young Victoria") as well as Hollywood elite ("The Aviator," "The Artist").

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NYFF: Oscar-nominee Joshua Oppenheimer revisits Indonesian genocide in 'The Look of Silence'

By Daniel Montgomery
By Daniel Montgomery
Sep 22 2014 10:30 am

the look of silence nyff

It would be hard to match the visceral impact of Joshua Oppenheimer's Oscar-nominated 2013 documentary "The Act of Killing," which brought to light the barbarity of the Indonesian anti-communist purge of the mid-1960s. I don't think his companion film, "The Look of Silence," has quite the same gut-punch effect, but it comes pretty darn close. It premieres Sept. 30 at the New York Film Festival, and Drafthouse Films has plans for a summer 2015 release. Will it give Oppenheimer a second chance at Oscar?

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Will rave reviews for 'Gone Girl' boost Oscars odds?

By Paul Sheehan
By Paul Sheehan
Sep 22 2014 09:35 am

Gone Girl Ben Affleck Rosamund Pike David Fincher movies entertainment 13579086 news story

The first reviews for "Gone Girl" have come in and, with one notable exception, they are raves. David Fincher's adaptation of Gillian Flynn's bestseller about a husband (Ben Affleck) who finds himself the prime suspect when his wife (Rosamund Pike) goes missing is to world premiere at the New York filmfest this Friday (Sept. 26), a week before its wide release

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Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever

Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Experts
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
9/2
2 BirdmanBirdman
6/1
3 UnbrokenUnbroken
15/2
4 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
8/1
5 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
10/1
6 The Theory of EverythingThe Theory of Everything
12/1
7 Gone GirlGone Girl
14/1
8 InterstellarInterstellar
16/1
9 The Grand Budapest HotelThe Grand Budapest Hotel
50/1
10 SelmaSelma
50/1
See complete statistics by Clicking Here

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Video: Here's How to Make Award Predictions at Gold Derby

Oscars 2014: Key Categories

BEST PICTURE:
'Boyhood' fights off strong challenges from 'Birdman' 'The Imitation Game.'
 
BEST DIRECTOR:
Past nominee Bennett Miller ('Foxcatcher') vs. rookies Linklater, Jolie. 
 
BEST ACTOR:
Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything') rising; Steve Carell ('Foxcatcher') falling.

 
BEST ACTRESS:
New entry Julianne Moore ('Still Alice') leaps ahead of Amy Adams ('Big Eyes').
 
BEST S. ACTOR:
Vet J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash') extends lead over Mark Ruffalo, ('Foxcatcher').
 
BEST S. ACTRESS: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood') far in front for her 12-year commitment to film. 
,
 
Predictions
See how each of these groups ranks the nominees for Best Picture according to likelihood of winning. Click through the links on top of that page to see more categories:
Here's the breakdown of their collective views:
See which ponies the real pros (Gold Derby's editorial staffers) are betting on:
Voting
Emmy Winners: Video Interviews

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