GoldDerby

Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

Nomadland 7/1
The Trial of the Chicago 7 15/2
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 17/2

Best Director

Chloe Zhao 7/2
David Fincher 9/2
Aaron Sorkin 13/2

Best Actress

Viola Davis 19/5
Frances McDormand 4/1
Vanessa Kirby 9/2

Best Actor

Chadwick Boseman 10/3
Anthony Hopkins 4/1
Riz Ahmed 5/1

Best Supporting Actress

Amanda Seyfried 39/10
Olivia Colman 4/1
Ellen Burstyn 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

Leslie Odom, Jr. 19/5
Sacha Baron Cohen 9/2
Daniel Kaluuya 11/2

Best Adapted Screenplay

Nomadland 71/20
One Night in Miami 4/1
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

The Trial of the Chicago 7 18/5
Mank 5/1
Minari 5/1

Grammy Nominations 2021

Predictions

Record of the Year

Blinding Lights 4/1
Don't Start Now 13/2
Circles 15/2

RSVP for Friday, Jan. 22: / 4 screenwriters share the secrets of their Oscar-contending scripts

Oscars Update / ‘Minari’ director Lee Isaac Chung moves into Experts’ top 5

RSVP for Monday, Jan. 25 / 4 Oscar rivals for Best Production Design join our panel discussion

NEW LEADERBOARDS: / See recent best prediction scores at Gold Derby

RSVP now to see our lively upcoming chats with top award contenders

FILM WRITERS — Fri., Jan. 22 at 5 p.m. PT — Interviews: Angela Russo-Otstot and Jessica Goldberg (‘Cherry’), Ruben Santiago-Hudson (‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’), Kemp Powers, (‘One Night in Miami’), Darius Marder (‘Sound of Metal’). RSVP

PRODUCTION DESIGN — Mon., Jan. 25 at 5 p.m. PT / 8 pm ET — Interviews: Jan Pascale (‘Mank’), Mark Ricker (‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’), David Crank (‘News of the World’), Barry Robison (‘One Night in Miami’) RSVP

DOCUMENTARIES
Tues., Jan. 26 at 5 pm PT — Interviews: Nicole Newnham, James Lebrecht (‘Crip Camp’), Bryan Fogel (‘The Dissident’), Hao Wu (’76 Days’), David France (‘Welcome to Chechnya’). RSVP

Amanda Seyfried was the solid frontrunner early in this race, but now she faces serius challenges from Olivia Coleman ("The Father"). Use the drop-down menu above to view other categories.

TV Shows

Awards

Oscars Nominations 2021

Nominees

Top Choice

Odds

Nomadland

2,648

7/1

The Trial of the Chicago 7

559

15/2

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

17/2

Mank

406

19/2

One Night in Miami

10/1

The Father

11/1

Minari

11/1

Da 5 Bloods

16/1

News of the World

18/1

10.

Promising Young Woman

22/1

11.

Soul

22/1

12.

Judas and the Black Messiah

30/1

13.

Sound of Metal

35/1

14.

The United States vs. Billie Holiday

100/1

15.

Hillbilly Elegy

100/1

16.

Malcolm and Marie

100/1

17.

First Cow

100/1

18.

The Prom

100/1

19.

On the Rocks

100/1

20.

Ammonite

100/1

21.

Palm Springs

100/1

22.

French Exit

100/1

23.

Falling

100/1

24.

Tenet

100/1

25.

Never Rarely Sometimes Always

100/1

26.

I'm Thinking of Ending Things

100/1

27.

Pieces of a Woman

100/1

28.

Emma

100/1

29.

The King of Staten Island

100/1

30.

Personal History of David Copperfield

100/1

31.

Working Man

100/1

32.

The Woman in the Window

100/1

33.

Wild Mountain Thyme

100/1

34.

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

100/1

35.

Kajillionaire

100/1

36.

Ordinary Love

100/1

37.

The Invisible Man

100/1

38.

The Devil All the Time

100/1

39.

The Assistant

100/1

40.

Let Them All Talk

100/1

41.

The Mauritanian

100/1

42.

Miss Juneteenth

100/1

43.

The Little Things

100/1

44.

Another Round

100/1

45.

Supernova

100/1

46.

Wonder Woman 1984

100/1

47.

Greyhound

100/1

48.

The Midnight Sky

100/1

49.

Mulan

100/1

50.

Cherry

100/1

51.

The Life Ahead

100/1

52.

The Glorias

100/1

53.

The Boys in the Band

100/1

54.

The Forty-Year-Old Version

100/1

55.

Driveways

100/1

56.

Land

100/1

57.

The World to Come

100/1

58.

The Courier

100/1

59.

I'm No Longer Here

100/1

60.

I Care a Lot

100/1

61.

Let Him Go

100/1

62.

Unpregnant

100/1

63.

The White Tiger

100/1

64.

Joe Bell

100/1

65.

The Outpost

100/1

66.

Radioactive

100/1

67.

I'm Your Woman

100/1

68.

Wander Darkly

100/1

69.

The Way Back

100/1

70.

Those Who Wish Me Dead

100/1

71.

Shirley

100/1

72.

The Nest

100/1

73.

Happiest Season

100/1

74.

Breaking News in Yuba County

100/1

Make or update my predictions

Jazz Tangcay Variety

Updated Jan 22, 2021 1:47 pm

1

Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)
2

Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)
3

Frances McDormand (Nomadland)

Tom O'Neil Gold Derby

Updated Jan 22, 2021 1:39 pm

1

Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)
2

Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
3

Zendaya (Malcolm and Marie)

Claudia Puig KPCC

Updated Jan 22, 2021 12:26 pm

1

Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)
2

Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)
3

Frances McDormand (Nomadland)

Anne Thompson Indiewire

Updated Jan 21, 2021 8:19 pm

1

Zendaya (Malcolm and Marie)
2

Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)
3

Frances McDormand (Nomadland)

See All Experts' Predictions

C.P.

Updated Jan 21, 2021 2:59 pm

1

Amanda Seyfried (Mank)
2

Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)
3

Olivia Colman (The Father)

MrScreenAddict

Updated Jan 19, 2021 2:54 pm

1

Olivia Colman (The Father)
2

Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman)
3

Amanda Seyfried (Mank)

zachbgilbert

Updated Jan 19, 2021 11:42 am

1

Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy)
2

Amanda Seyfried (Mank)
3

Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)

rkenny4

Updated Jan 19, 2021 8:47 am

1

Amanda Seyfried (Mank)
2

Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)
3

Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)

See All Star24s' Predictions

Steven Yeun, Will Patton and Lee Isaac Chung, Minari

Oscars update: 'Minari' director Lee Isaac Chung moves into Experts' top 5

After weeks of staticity, there’s a new face in our Experts’ Best Director Oscar top five. “Minari’s” Lee Isaac Chung has entered in fifth place, according to our racetrack odds. Chung knocked out Paul Greengrass (“News of the World”), and is behind frontrunner Chloé Zhao (“Nomadland”), David Fincher (“Mank”), Regina King (“One Night in Miami”) […]

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Jan 22, 2021 9:30 am
Film News

Latest Odds on Award Shows

TV Shows

Awards

Golden Globes (Film)

Golden Globes (TV)

SAG Awards (Film)

SAG Awards (TV)

Critics Choice TV Awards

Grammys

Tonys

Oscars

Tonys

Critics Choice Film Awards

Oscars Nominations 2021

Nominees

Top Choice

Odds

Nomadland

2,648

7/1

The Trial of the Chicago 7

559

15/2

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

17/2

Mank

406

19/2

One Night in Miami

10/1

The Father

11/1

Minari

11/1

Da 5 Bloods

16/1

News of the World

18/1

10.

Promising Young Woman

22/1

11.

Soul

22/1

12.

Judas and the Black Messiah

30/1

13.

Sound of Metal

35/1

14.

The United States vs. Billie Holiday

100/1

15.

Hillbilly Elegy

100/1

16.

Malcolm and Marie

100/1

17.

First Cow

100/1

18.

The Prom

100/1

19.

On the Rocks

100/1

20.

Ammonite

100/1

21.

Palm Springs

100/1

22.

French Exit

100/1

23.

Falling

100/1

24.

Tenet

100/1

25.

Never Rarely Sometimes Always

100/1

26.

I'm Thinking of Ending Things

100/1

27.

Pieces of a Woman

100/1

28.

Emma

100/1

29.

The King of Staten Island

100/1

30.

Personal History of David Copperfield

100/1

31.

Working Man

100/1

32.

The Woman in the Window

100/1

33.

Wild Mountain Thyme

100/1

34.

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

100/1

35.

Kajillionaire

100/1

36.

Ordinary Love

100/1

37.

The Invisible Man

100/1

38.

The Devil All the Time

100/1

39.

The Assistant

100/1

40.

Let Them All Talk

100/1

41.

The Mauritanian

100/1

42.

Miss Juneteenth

100/1

43.

The Little Things

100/1

44.

Another Round

100/1

45.

Supernova

100/1

46.

Wonder Woman 1984

100/1

47.

Greyhound

100/1

48.

The Midnight Sky

100/1

49.

Mulan

100/1

50.

Cherry

100/1

51.

The Life Ahead

100/1

52.

The Glorias

100/1

53.

The Boys in the Band

100/1

54.

The Forty-Year-Old Version

100/1

55.

Driveways

100/1

56.

Land

100/1

57.

The World to Come

100/1

58.

The Courier

100/1

59.

I'm No Longer Here

100/1

60.

I Care a Lot

100/1

61.

Let Him Go

100/1

62.

Unpregnant

100/1

63.

The White Tiger

100/1

64.

Joe Bell

100/1

65.

The Outpost

100/1

66.

Radioactive

100/1

67.

I'm Your Woman

100/1

68.

Wander Darkly

100/1

69.

The Way Back

100/1

70.

Those Who Wish Me Dead

100/1

71.

Shirley

100/1

72.

The Nest

100/1

73.

Happiest Season

100/1

74.

Breaking News in Yuba County

100/1

Make or update my predictions

Our Users' Best Prediction Scores

TV Shows

Awards

Grammy Nominations 2021

54.76

17706

Babygirl

52.38

51975

Kai

52.38

48344

Gotham Awards 2021

Noe

70.00

10704

Tariq Khan

70.00

5717

Pachara

70.00

5033

American Music Awards 2020

Tylizzle

90.00

25245

JadeSaga

86.67

16435

Breathe

83.33

33825

Latin Grammys 2020

Juank

53.85

26586

Andresg770

53.85

17925

Anderson_Partidas

53.85

5331

CMA Awards 2020

DarkSkyDestiny

81.82

6279

Maiko.

81.82

6209

Dferny

72.73

11519

BET Hip Hop Awards 2020

Folklorde

90.00

12960

Converseprince16

90.00

6354

Ryan Lapierre

80.00

22429

See All TV Shows Leaderboards

Make or update my predictions

Latest Odds on Reality TV Shows

TV Shows

Awards

The Masked Dancer 1

Survivor: Worlds Apart

The Amazing Race 26

Survivor: Worlds Apart

The Amazing Race 26

Survivor: Worlds Apart

American Idol 14

The Amazing Race 26

Dancing with the Stars 20

The Voice 19: Finale

Nominees

Top Choice

Odds

Carter Rubin

31/10

Desz

25/1

Ian Flanigan

33/1

Jim Ranger

52/1

John Holiday

100/1

Make or update my predictions

Our Users' Best Prediction Scores

TV Shows

Awards

Season Scores

Recent Week Scores

The Masked Dancer 1

Episode 4

Thekingpig123

100.00

6477

GusCruz

80.00

7225

Jeredshaffer

80.00

4925

Rupauls Drag Race 13

Episode 3

SeBADo

100.00

13300

POR160893

100.00

8388

Josh Labron

100.00

3950

The Masked Dancer 1

Episode 3

Max

80.00

51545

Vinny

80.00

15545

MonStar

80.00

9050

Rupauls Drag Race 13

Episode 2

Anthonyz12345

80.00

20600

POR160893

80.00

10500

Bagzzz

80.00

4303

See All TV Shows Leaderboards

Make or update my predictions

Watch our lively chats with 2021 Oscars contenders Aldis Hodge (“One Night in Miami”) and Nicole Beharie (“Miss Juneteenth”) plus more, including …

Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”)
Maria Bakalova (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”)
Marsha Stephanie Blake (“I’m Your Woman”)
Billy Brown (“Working Man”)
George Clooney (“The Midnight Sky”)
Olivia Cooke (“Sound of Metal”)
Carrie Coon (“The Nest”)
Clare Dunne (“Herself”)
Sean Durkin (“The Nest” director)
Fernando Frias de la Parra (“I’m No Longer Here” director)
Peter Gerety (“Working Man”)
Eli Goree (“One Night in Miami”)
Julia Hart (“I’m Your Woman” director)
Eliza Hittman (“Never Rarely Sometimes Always” director)
Rashida Jones (“On the Rocks”)
Robert Jury (“Working Man” director)
Phyllida Lloyd (“Herself” director)
John Magaro (“First Cow”)
Valerie Mahaffey (“French Exit”)
Jonathan Majors (“Da 5 Bloods”)
Darius Marder (“Sound of Metal” director)
Jim Parsons (‘Boys in the Band’)
Edoardo Ponti (“The Life Ahead” director)
Zachary Quinto (“Boys in the Band”)
Paul Raci (“Sound of Metal”)
Andy Samberg (“Palm Springs”)
Aaron Schneider (“Greyhound” director)
Talia Shire (“Working Man”)
Julie Taymor (“The Glorias” director)
Glynn Turman (“Trial of the Chicago 7”)
Florian Zeller (“The Father” director)

Choices

Odds

1

Don't Start Now
Dua Lipa

4/1
2

Savage Remix
Megan Thee Stallion featuring Beyonce

11/2
3

Everything I Wanted
Billie Eilish

7/1
4

Circles
Post Malone

7/1
5

Black Parade
Beyonce

15/2

1 2 3 … 2,736 Next

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2021 Golden Globes TV predictions slugfest: ‘Schitt’s Creek’ will sweep like Emmys … or will it? [Video and audio podcast]

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These 4 TV actresses will win Golden Globes, per Gold Derby odds: Anya Taylor-Joy, Catherine O’Hara …

Viola Davis (‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’) to follow in Renee Zellweger’s Oscar footsteps? Here are the eerie similarities

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GoldDerby

Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

Best Director

Best Actress

Best Actor

Best Supporting Actress

Best Supporting Actor

Best Adapted Screenplay

Best Original Screenplay

Grammy Nominations 2021

Predictions

Record of the Year

Oscars race: Best Picture

See our ‘Meet the BTL Experts’ series

Watch our Q&As with 6 leading film writers

Oscars' Best Director

Oscar Predictions by our Experts: Best Actress

Our Editors' Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

News

Oscars update: 'Minari' director Lee Isaac Chung moves into Experts' top 5

Viola Davis (‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’) to follow in Renee Zellweger’s Oscar footsteps? Here are the eerie similarities

Billy Ray on directing and writing ‘The Comey Rule’: The 2016 election ‘completely flattened me’

Diane Warren (‘The Life Ahead’ and ‘The One and Only Ivan’ songwriter) felt ‘lucky’ to compose for two ‘fantastic’ movies [EXCLUSIVE VIDEO INTERVIEW]

‘Fargo’ standout Glynn Turman closing in on first Golden Globes nomination

With Jennifer Aniston ineligible, who will win SAG Award for Best Drama Actress: Olivia Colman, Laura Linney … ?

These 4 TV actresses will win Golden Globes, per Gold Derby odds: Anya Taylor-Joy, Catherine O’Hara …

How Beyoncé helped John David Washington and Zendaya bond on ‘Malcolm and Marie’ [EXCLUSIVE VIDEO INTERVIEW]

2021 Golden Globes TV predictions slugfest: ‘Schitt’s Creek’ will sweep like Emmys … or will it? [Video and audio podcast]

Viggo Mortensen (‘Falling’): ‘It was a very emotional and satisfying journey’ to write, direct, compose for and star in his labor of love [EXCLUSIVE VIDEO INTERVIEW]

How to make predictions at Gold Derby, explained

How ‘Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist’ Season 2 could help the show’s Golden Globe chances

Priyanka Chopra Jonas hopes ‘The White Tiger’ can normalize South Asian representation [EXCLUSIVE VIDEO INTERVIEW]

Zendaya and John David Washington on quarantining together to make ‘Malcolm & Marie’

Sean Durkin deserves awards attention for ‘The Nest’ original screenplay

Don’t be surprised if Keanu Reeves gets a Golden Globe nom for ‘Bill and Ted Face the Music’ – it’s the Keanu-ssance

Sidney Flanigan (‘Never Rarely Sometimes Always’): ‘I never thought I’d be in a movie’ [EXCLUSIVE VIDEO INTERVIEW]

Stay informed with our weekly Newsletter