GoldDerby

Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

Nomadland 7/1
The Trial of the Chicago 7 15/2
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 17/2

Best Director

Chloe Zhao 69/20
David Fincher 9/2
Aaron Sorkin 6/1

Best Actress

Viola Davis 19/5
Frances McDormand 4/1
Vanessa Kirby 5/1

Best Actor

Chadwick Boseman 10/3
Anthony Hopkins 4/1
Riz Ahmed 5/1

Best Supporting Actress

Amanda Seyfried 39/10
Olivia Colman 4/1
Ellen Burstyn 5/1

Best Supporting Actor

Leslie Odom, Jr. 19/5
Sacha Baron Cohen 9/2
Daniel Kaluuya 5/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

Nomadland 71/20
One Night in Miami 4/1
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 9/2

Best Original Screenplay

The Trial of the Chicago 7 18/5
Mank 5/1
Minari 5/1

Grammy Nominations 2021

Predictions

Record of the Year

Blinding Lights 4/1
Don't Start Now 13/2
Circles 15/2

RSVP for TODAY.: / Q&As with doc-makers of 'Crip Camp,' 'Dissident,' '76 Hours,' 'Chechnya’

OSCAR PREDICTIONS BY 30 EXPERTS / See how they rank contenders for the top 14 races

OSCAR PREDICTIONS SLUGFEST: / Keith Simanton, Claudia Puig and Tom O'Neil track the top races

Chadwick Boseman next? / How often do dead Oscar nominees win?

RSVP now to see our lively upcoming chats with top award contenders

DOCUMENTARIES
Tues., Jan. 26 at 5 p.m. PT — Interviews: Nicole Newnham, James Lebrecht (‘Crip Camp’), Bryan Fogel (‘The Dissident’), Hao Wu (’76 Days’), David France (‘Welcome to Chechnya’). RSVP

FILM ANIMATION
Weds., Jan. 27 at 5 p.m. PT — Interviews: Joel Crawford (“The Croods: A New Age”), Glen Keane (“Over the Moon”), Will Becher (“Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon”) and Pete Docter (“Soul”). RSVP.

FILM DIRECTORS
Thurs., Jan. 28 at 5 p.m. PT — Interviews: Joe and Anthony Russo (“Cherry”), Rod Lurie (“The Outpost”), Ramin Bahrani (“The White Tiger”) and Robert Jury (“Working Man”). RSVP

Carey Mulligan (green line below) is a fast-rising threat to the early frontrunners for Best Actress: Viola Davis, Frances McDormand and Vanessa Kirby.

TV Shows

Awards

Oscars Nominations 2021

Nominees

Top Choice

Odds

Nomadland

2,746

7/1

The Trial of the Chicago 7

583

15/2

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

17/2

One Night in Miami

19/2

Mank

391

19/2

Minari

21/2

The Father

23/2

Da 5 Bloods

15/1

News of the World

18/1

10.

Promising Young Woman

22/1

11.

Soul

25/1

12.

Judas and the Black Messiah

28/1

13.

Sound of Metal

30/1

14.

The United States vs. Billie Holiday

100/1

15.

Malcolm and Marie

100/1

16.

Hillbilly Elegy

100/1

17.

On the Rocks

100/1

18.

First Cow

100/1

19.

The Prom

100/1

20.

Ammonite

100/1

21.

Palm Springs

100/1

22.

French Exit

100/1

23.

Falling

100/1

24.

Tenet

100/1

25.

I'm Thinking of Ending Things

100/1

26.

Pieces of a Woman

100/1

27.

Never Rarely Sometimes Always

100/1

28.

Emma

100/1

29.

The King of Staten Island

100/1

30.

Personal History of David Copperfield

100/1

31.

Working Man

100/1

32.

The Woman in the Window

100/1

33.

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

100/1

34.

Kajillionaire

100/1

35.

The Invisible Man

100/1

36.

Wild Mountain Thyme

100/1

37.

Another Round

100/1

38.

The Little Things

100/1

39.

Miss Juneteenth

100/1

40.

The Mauritanian

100/1

41.

The Devil All the Time

100/1

42.

The Assistant

100/1

43.

The White Tiger

100/1

44.

Let Them All Talk

100/1

45.

Supernova

100/1

46.

Wonder Woman 1984

100/1

47.

The Life Ahead

100/1

48.

Cherry

100/1

49.

The Midnight Sky

100/1

50.

Mulan

100/1

51.

Ordinary Love

100/1

52.

Greyhound

100/1

53.

The Glorias

100/1

54.

The Boys in the Band

100/1

55.

Driveways

100/1

56.

The Courier

100/1

57.

Breaking News in Yuba County

100/1

58.

I Care a Lot

100/1

59.

Land

100/1

60.

I'm No Longer Here

100/1

61.

The World to Come

100/1

62.

The Forty-Year-Old Version

100/1

63.

Let Him Go

100/1

64.

Unpregnant

100/1

65.

Joe Bell

100/1

66.

The Outpost

100/1

67.

Radioactive

100/1

68.

I'm Your Woman

100/1

69.

Wander Darkly

100/1

70.

The Way Back

100/1

71.

Those Who Wish Me Dead

100/1

72.

Shirley

100/1

73.

The Nest

100/1

74.

Happiest Season

100/1

75.

Palmer

100/1

Make or update my predictions

Keith Simanton IMDb

Updated Jan 26, 2021 12:25 pm

1

Zendaya (Malcolm and Marie)
2

Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)
3

Andra Day (The United States vs. Billie Holiday)

Michael Musto Queerty

Updated Jan 26, 2021 8:47 am

1

Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)
2

Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
3

Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)

Jazz Tangcay Variety

Updated Jan 25, 2021 11:11 am

1

Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)
2

Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)
3

Frances McDormand (Nomadland)

Perri Nemiroff Collider

Updated Jan 24, 2021 5:30 pm

1

Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
2

Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)
3

Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)

See All Experts' Predictions

Abel Gance

Updated Jan 26, 2021 2:07 pm

1

Amanda Seyfried (Mank)
2

Olivia Colman (The Father)
3

Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)

MilesTheEdwards

Updated Jan 26, 2021 1:48 pm

1

Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)
2

Olivia Colman (The Father)
3

Amanda Seyfried (Mank)

MrScreenAddict

Updated Jan 26, 2021 10:42 am

1

Olivia Colman (The Father)
2

Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman)
3

Amanda Seyfried (Mank)

dsps84

Updated Jan 25, 2021 7:21 pm

1

Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman)
2

Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy)
3

Amanda Seyfried (Mank)

See All Star24s' Predictions

Oscar predictions slugfest: Claudia vs. Keith vs. Tom on Best Picture, Actor, Actress and ... [video and audio podcast]

“I think it’s ‘Nomadland’s’ year,” says film critic Claudia Puig (KPCC) while discussing the Oscar race for Best Picture with me and Keith Simanton, who is Senior Film Editor of IMDb and Managing Editor of IMDbPro. (Watch above or listen to the audio podcast below). “I think it speaks to where we are, within the […]

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Latest Odds on Award Shows

TV Shows

Awards

Oscars Nominations 2021

Nominees

Top Choice

Odds

Nomadland

2,746

7/1

The Trial of the Chicago 7

583

15/2

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

17/2

One Night in Miami

19/2

Mank

391

19/2

Minari

21/2

The Father

23/2

Da 5 Bloods

15/1

News of the World

18/1

10.

Promising Young Woman

22/1

11.

Soul

25/1

12.

Judas and the Black Messiah

28/1

13.

Sound of Metal

30/1

14.

The United States vs. Billie Holiday

100/1

15.

Malcolm and Marie

100/1

16.

Hillbilly Elegy

100/1

17.

On the Rocks

100/1

18.

First Cow

100/1

19.

The Prom

100/1

20.

Ammonite

100/1

21.

Palm Springs

100/1

22.

French Exit

100/1

23.

Falling

100/1

24.

Tenet

100/1

25.

I'm Thinking of Ending Things

100/1

26.

Pieces of a Woman

100/1

27.

Never Rarely Sometimes Always

100/1

28.

Emma

100/1

29.

The King of Staten Island

100/1

30.

Personal History of David Copperfield

100/1

31.

Working Man

100/1

32.

The Woman in the Window

100/1

33.

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

100/1

34.

Kajillionaire

100/1

35.

The Invisible Man

100/1

36.

Wild Mountain Thyme

100/1

37.

Another Round

100/1

38.

The Little Things

100/1

39.

Miss Juneteenth

100/1

40.

The Mauritanian

100/1

41.

The Devil All the Time

100/1

42.

The Assistant

100/1

43.

The White Tiger

100/1

44.

Let Them All Talk

100/1

45.

Supernova

100/1

46.

Wonder Woman 1984

100/1

47.

The Life Ahead

100/1

48.

Cherry

100/1

49.

The Midnight Sky

100/1

50.

Mulan

100/1

51.

Ordinary Love

100/1

52.

Greyhound

100/1

53.

The Glorias

100/1

54.

The Boys in the Band

100/1

55.

Driveways

100/1

56.

The Courier

100/1

57.

Breaking News in Yuba County

100/1

58.

I Care a Lot

100/1

59.

Land

100/1

60.

I'm No Longer Here

100/1

61.

The World to Come

100/1

62.

The Forty-Year-Old Version

100/1

63.

Let Him Go

100/1

64.

Unpregnant

100/1

65.

Joe Bell

100/1

66.

The Outpost

100/1

67.

Radioactive

100/1

68.

I'm Your Woman

100/1

69.

Wander Darkly

100/1

70.

The Way Back

100/1

71.

Those Who Wish Me Dead

100/1

72.

Shirley

100/1

73.

The Nest

100/1

74.

Happiest Season

100/1

75.

Palmer

100/1

Make or update my predictions

Our Users' Best Prediction Scores

TV Shows

Awards

Grammy Nominations 2021

54.76

17706

Babygirl

52.38

51975

Kai

52.38

48344

Gotham Awards 2021

Noe

70.00

10704

Tariq Khan

70.00

5717

Pachara

70.00

5033

American Music Awards 2020

Tylizzle

90.00

25245

JadeSaga

86.67

16435

Breathe

83.33

33825

Latin Grammys 2020

Juank

53.85

26586

Andresg770

53.85

17925

Anderson_Partidas

53.85

5331

CMA Awards 2020

DarkSkyDestiny

81.82

6279

Maiko.

81.82

6209

Dferny

72.73

11519

BET Hip Hop Awards 2020

Folklorde

90.00

12960

Converseprince16

90.00

6354

Ryan Lapierre

80.00

22429

See All TV Shows Leaderboards

Make or update my predictions

Latest Odds on Reality TV Shows

TV Shows

Awards

The Masked Dancer 1

Rupauls Drag Race 13

Survivor: Worlds Apart

The Amazing Race 26

Survivor: Worlds Apart

The Amazing Race 26

Survivor: Worlds Apart

American Idol 14

The Amazing Race 26

The Voice 19: Finale

Nominees

Top Choice

Odds

Carter Rubin

31/10

Desz

25/1

Ian Flanigan

33/1

Jim Ranger

52/1

John Holiday

100/1

Make or update my predictions

Our Users' Best Prediction Scores

TV Shows

Awards

Season Scores

Recent Week Scores

Rupauls Drag Race 13

Episode 4

Blackie2018

100.00

9810

Pedrohdtl

100.00

8430

Momoschroeder

100.00

3400

The Masked Dancer 1

Episode 4

Thekingpig123

100.00

6477

GusCruz

80.00

7225

Jeredshaffer

80.00

4925

Rupauls Drag Race 13

Episode 3

SeBADo

100.00

13300

POR160893

100.00

8388

Josh Labron

100.00

3950

The Masked Dancer 1

Episode 3

Max

80.00

51545

Vinny

80.00

15545

MonStar

80.00

9050

See All TV Shows Leaderboards

Make or update my predictions

Watch our lively chats with 2021 Oscars contenders Aldis Hodge (“One Night in Miami”) and Nicole Beharie (“Miss Juneteenth”) plus more, including …

Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (“Trial of the Chicago 7”)
Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”)
Maria Bakalova (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”)
Kingsley Ben-Adir (“One Night in Miami”)
Marsha Stephanie Blake (“I’m Your Woman”)
Billy Brown (“Working Man”)
George Clooney (“The Midnight Sky”)
Olivia Cooke (“Sound of Metal”)
Carrie Coon (“The Nest”)
Clare Dunne (“Herself”)
Sidney Flanigan (“Never Rarely Sometimes Always”)
Peter Gerety (“Working Man”)
Eli Goree (“One Night in Miami”)
Priyanka Chopra Jonas (“The White Tiger”)
Rashida Jones (“On the Rocks”)
John Magaro (“First Cow”)
Valerie Mahaffey (“French Exit”)
Jonathan Majors (“Da 5 Bloods”)
Cristin Milioti (“Palm Springs”)
Viggo Mortensen (“Falling”)
Jim Parsons (‘Boys in the Band’)
Zachary Quinto (“Boys in the Band”)
Paul Raci (“Sound of Metal”)
Andy Samberg (“Palm Springs”)
Amanda Seyfried (“Mank”)
Talia Shire (“Working Man”)
Glynn Turman (“Trial of the Chicago 7”)
John David Washington (“Malcolm and Marie”)

Choices

Odds

1

Don't Start Now
Dua Lipa

4/1
2

Savage Remix
Megan Thee Stallion featuring Beyonce

11/2
3

Everything I Wanted
Billie Eilish

7/1
4

Circles
Post Malone

7/1
5

Black Parade
Beyonce

15/2

1 2 3 … 2,740 Next

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Will ‘What We Do in the Shadows’ sink its teeth into 2021 Golden Globes?

Frank Langella (‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’): Judge Hoffman was ‘as big a son-of-a-bitch as I’ve ever seen’

Watch out for ‘The Boys in the Band’ at the SAG Awards

Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross (‘Mank,’ ‘Soul’ composers): Working with David Fincher and Pete Docter because they are ‘geniuses’

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GoldDerby

Oscars Nominations 2021

Predictions

Best Picture

Best Director

Best Actress

Best Actor

Best Supporting Actress

Best Supporting Actor

Best Adapted Screenplay

Best Original Screenplay

Grammy Nominations 2021

Predictions

Record of the Year

Oscars race: Supporting Actor

See our ‘Meet the BTL Experts’ series

RSVP for our chat today with 4 top film production designers

Oscars' Best Actress

Oscar Predictions by our Experts: Best Actress

Our Editors' Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

News

Oscar predictions slugfest: Claudia vs. Keith vs. Tom on Best Picture, Actor, Actress and ... [video and audio podcast]

‘News of the World’ vs. Netflix at the Oscars: Old classic Hollywood vs. upstart new media

‘Judas and the Black Messiah’ producer Charles D. King on the ‘divine’ timing of telling this story amid the BLM movement [EXCLUSIVE VIDEO INTERVIEW]

Chadwick Boseman dethrones Anthony Hopkins from No. 1 spot in Golden Globe predictions

Will the 2021 Oscars have a record number of Black nominees for acting?

Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross (‘Mank,’ ‘Soul’ composers): Working with David Fincher and Pete Docter because they are ‘geniuses’ [EXCLUSIVE VIDEO INTERVIEW]

Will ‘What We Do in the Shadows’ sink its teeth into 2021 Golden Globes?

Frank Langella (‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’): Judge Hoffman was ‘as big a son-of-a-bitch as I’ve ever seen’ [EXCLUSIVE VIDEO INTERVIEW]

Watch out for ‘The Boys in the Band’ at the SAG Awards

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How to make predictions at Gold Derby, explained

‘The Masked Dancer’ Super 6 Hammerhead spotlight: Can he put a nail in the competition or is he swimming upstream?

‘The Masked Dancer’ Super 6 Exotic Bird spotlight: Will she soar over the competition en route to the Diamond Mask trophy?

Viola Davis poised to be 8th actress to pull off this Oscar double play with win for ‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’

‘The Masked Dancer’ Super 6 Tulip spotlight: Is she the one to beat after dancing her petals off in Group A playoffs?

‘Wander Darkly’ producer Samantha Housman on why this unique love story was ‘a very emotional experience’ [EXCLUSIVE VIDEO INTERVIEW]

Which Supporting Actor Oscar nominees had more screen time than the nominated leads?

Stay informed with our weekly Newsletter