Bet on Adele to win Grammy for Best Pop Vocal Album

Since it looks like Adele will sweep this year’s Grammys, she’ll probably nab Best Pop Vocal Album easily. Her sophomore disc, “21,” has topped Billboard’s 200 Album chart 13 weeks and its two breakout hits, “Rolling in the Deep” and “Someone Like You,” keep on rolling.

Adele’s chief competition may be Lady Gaga, whose debut album “The Fame” won Best Electronic/Dance Album in 2009 and her followup EP “The Fame Monster” won this race last year. However, in the 17-year history of this category, no music artist has claimed this award twice.

Last year, Bruno Mars won Best Male Pop Vocal Performance for his debut single “Just The Way You Are.” This track came from “Doo-Wops & Hooligans” which could contend in this category this year.

Also in the running is Elton John and Leon Russell‘s “The Union,” which Rolling Stone ranked at the third best album of 2010. Last year, they contended for Best Pop Collaboration with Vocals for “If It Wasn’t For Bad” but lost to Herbie Hancock, India.Arie, Jeff Beck, Konono No. 1, Oumou Sangare, Pink & Seal‘s cover of John Lennon‘s “Imagine.

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Following the acclaim for “The Union,” Russell was inducted into both the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Songwriter’s Hall of Fame earlier this year. Elton John promoted this disc by appearing on the cover of Rolling Stone for the first time since 1976 and being host and musical guest on “Saturday Night Live” for the first time since 1982. He was last nominated for Best Pop Vocal Album in 2001 for “Songs from the West Coast.”

Duffy won this race in 2008 for her debut disc “Rockferry” while The Black Eyed Peas claimed this prize in 2009 for “The E.N.D.”  Both released albums — “Endlessly” and “The Beginning” respectively — at the start of the eligibility period last November and hope to be remembered by Grammy voters.

Other artists who hope to return to this category include:

• Britney Spears is a previous two-time nominee in this category for “Oops … I Did It Again” (2000) and “Britney” (in 2002). She could be nominated for her seventh album “Femme Fatale.”

• Justin Bieber and Colbie Caillat have both been previously nominated in this category once and hope to contend for “My World (Acoustic)” and “All of You,” respectively.

Artists hoping to be nominated in this category for the first time include:

• SuperHeavy which is a supergroup consisting of Mick Jagger, Damian Marley, Joss Stone, Dave Stewart and A. R. Rahman for their self titled album.

Paul Simon for “So Beautiful or So What” and Rihanna for “Loud.”

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