Grammys Predictions: Album of the Year

Darrin Dortch and David Schnelwar agree on the disc that will win but disagree over what should win this top Grammy. They have already predicted Best New Artist, Song of the Year and Record of the Year.

“The Suburbs,” Arcade Fire
“Recovery,” Eminem
“Need You Now,” Lady Antebellum
“The Fame Monster,” Lady Gaga
“Teenage Dream,” Katy Perry

Darrin’s take: Katy Perry’s nomination here is a joke. Despite the album’s hit singles, reviews were brutal and sales were underwhelming. She has zero chance to win. Lady Antebellum won’t even win their genre category so they won’t win here either. Lady Gaga’s album is an EP and mainstream pop albums rarely win here so she’s a long shot as well. Other respected alternative acts like Radiohead and the Smashing Pumpkins failed to win here so Arcade Fire’s critically acclaimed LP is unlikely to win. Eminem’s mediocre dribble will win by default since it’s the year’s best selling album and he has 10 nominations.

Will win: “Recovery,” Eminem
Should win: “The Suburbs,” Arcade Fire
Spoiler: “The Fame Monster,” Lady Gaga

David’s take: Eminem’s “Recovery” was the best-selling album of 2010.  Last year, Taylor Swift‘s “Fearless” won Album of the Year and was the best-selling album of 2009. This is also Eminem’s third time nominated in this category. Previously, Radiohead and Kanye West have both been nominated three times in this category, and the third time was not the charm for either of them. Lady Antebellum had the second best-selling album of 2010. They are also nominated for Record of the Year and Song of the Year against Eminem. It is not expected that Lady Antebellum will win here. An album nominated for Best Alternative Music Album has yet to win in this category. Arcade Fire is unlikely to be the one to break that cycle. Lady Gaga’s “The Fame Monster” and Katy Perry’s “Teenage Dream” are both representing the Pop field and will likely split the vote. I expect Eminem’s “Recovery” to win.

Will win: “Recovery,” Eminem
Should win: “The Fame Monster,” Lady Gaga
Spoiler: “Need You Now,” Lady Antebellum


MUSIC VIDEO: Best Short Form

COUNTRY: Best Country Album, Best Country Song, Best Country Collaboration with Vocals, Best Country Performance by a Duo or Group with Vocals, Best Male Country Vocal Performance and Best Female Country Vocal Performance.

ALTERNATIVE: Best Alternative Music Album

R&B: Best R&B Song, Best Urban/Alternative Performance, Best R&B Performance By A Duo or Group with Vocals, Best Male R&B Vocal Performance, and Best Female R&B Vocal Performance

POP: Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album, Best Pop Vocal Album, Best Pop Collaboration with Vocals, Best Pop Performance By A Duo or Group with Vocals, Best Male Pop Vocal Performance and Best Female Pop Vocal Performance

DANCEBest Electronic/Dance Album and Best Dance Recording

RAPBest Rap SongBest Rap Album, Best Rap Duo or Group, Best Rap/Sung Collaboration and Best Rap Solo Performance

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