John Slattery with slim 9/5 edge to win Emmy for Best Drama Supporting Actor

The battle to win an Emmy for Best Drama Supporting Actor this Sunday has five different men within striking distance of the prize. On his fourth nomination, John Slattery (“Mad Men“) has a very slim edge with 9/5 odds in our exclusive Gold Derby statistics.


This category has featured 15 different winners from Ray Walston (“Picket Fences”) in 1996 to Aaron Paul last year. Because Paul’s program “Breaking Bad” had no new episodes during the current eligibility period, it is guaranteed that yet another name will be added to that lengthy streak.

Slattery has his best episode submission to date, “Hands and Knees,” which has his character Roger Sterling losing his biggest advertising account and finding out his affair with Joan (Christina Hendricks) has left her pregnant. He is being predicted to win by experts Chrissy Le Nguyen (Yahoo! TV) and Ken Tucker (Entertainment Weekly), six of our editors, and 38% of users (232 votes).

Just behind with 10/3 odds is Alan Cumming (“The Good Wife“) who was nominated last year in the guest category for this same role of attorney Eli Gold. In “Silver Bullet,” he has the chance to hurt a political opponent by revealing she employees an illegal alien as a nanny (America Ferrera) but then feels sympathy for her. Experts Jace Lacob (Daily Beast), Melanie McFarland (IMDB), and Jill Serjeant (Reuters), editor Marcus Dixon and 23% of our users (142 votes) are predicting Cumming to win.

Walton Goggins (“Justified“) received his first career Emmy bid for his role as Boyd Crowder. His submission is “The I of the Storm,” which has the former prisoner trying his best to reform and leave his past behind but constanly being bothered by everyone. While he has the support of four experts, no editors and just 8% of users (51 votes) expect him to win, thus yielding 11/2 odds.

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With odds of 13/2 is Peter Dinklage (“Game of Thrones), another Emmy rookie. On the fantasy epic, he plays Tyrion Lannister, a member of the royal family who is readying for battle and confessing his past loves and sins in the episode “Baelor.” Expert Frazier Moore (Assocated Press), editor Matthew Cormier, and 20% of users (121 votes) are predicting him to prevail.

Josh Charles (“The Good Wife“) has the most screentime of any contender in this category. In the season finale “Closing Arguments,” his character Will Gardner is defending a client accused of murder and finally hooks up romantically with Alicia (Julianna Margulies). He has 8/1 odds with the support of editors Chris Beachum, Rob Licuria, and Matt Noble but just 7% of user votes.

The only nominee out of the race is Andre Braugher (“Men of a Certain Age“), a two-time Emmy champ — Best Drama Actor (“Homicide: Life on the Street,” 1998) and Best TV Movie/Miniseries Actor (“Thief,” 2006). With his TNT show cancelled and an episode (“Let the Sunshine In”) that highlights the ensemble, he has the support of just 4% of our users and odds of 100/1.

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